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Microsoft Update: Key Levels to WatchMicrosoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is at an important point right now, and here’s what to look out for: If we close above $442: There’s a good chance we’ll see targets at $453 or even $478 as buyers take control. If the price breaks down out of the current range: A correction to $422 or $415 becomes a strong possibility. Stay focused on these levels and let the market show you the way forward. No need to force it—patience pays. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Mindbloome-Trading
Microsoft Update: Key Levels to WatchMicrosoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is at an important point right now, and here’s what to look out for: If we close above $442: There’s a good chance we’ll see targets at $453 or even $478 as buyers take control. If the price breaks down out of the current range: A correction to $422 or $415 becomes a strong possibility. Stay focused on these levels and let the market show you the way forward. No need to force it—patience pays. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Mindbloome-Trading
Tesla’s Next Big Move: Here’s What to WatchQuick Tip: If you’re on a losing streak—three trades down—it’s okay to take a break. Don’t let FOMO (fear of missing out) get to you! Set a timer for 15 minutes, step away from your screen, and do something else. Go for a walk, change rooms, or just breathe. No charts for those 15 minutes. You’ll come back clearer and ready to make better decisions. What’s Up With Tesla? Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is at a crossroads, and things could get interesting soon. Here’s what to watch for: If Tesla breaks above $440: We could see the stock climb toward $544, which would be a strong move for the bulls. If Tesla drops below $417: It might head down to $389 or even lower, so be cautious. Keep it simple: watch these levels, stay patient, and let the market show you where it’s going. No need to rush—trade smart! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
MARKETSCOM:TESLA
by Mindbloome-Trading
USDCAD: HTF DT OPPORTUNITYThis is an UPDATE to the previous analysis. Read the notes from the previous analysis (see link below) Due to yesterday's BIG NEWS regarding lower USD interest rates, PA on this pair spiked to the upper Resistance (distal) before showing signs of the DT we anticipated earlier. HIGH TIMEFRAME DOWNTREND Pivot High @ 1.46685 Resistance, Major @ 1.4463 Resistance, Major @ 1.4209 SLO2 @ 1.4536 ⏳ SSO1 @ 1.4270 ⏳ SLO1 @ 1.4188 📉 TP1 @ 1.3763 TP2 @ 1.3337 TP3 @ 1.3024 TP4 @ 1.2539 Support, Minor @ 1.33858 Support, Major @ 1.32522 BLO1 @ 1.2422 ⏳ BLO2 @ 1.2140 ⏳ Pivot Low @ 1.2007
Short
by ProfessorCEWard
Tesla’s Next Big Move: Here’s What to WatchQuick Tip: If you’re on a losing streak—three trades down—it’s okay to take a break. Don’t let FOMO (fear of missing out) get to you! Set a timer for 15 minutes, step away from your screen, and do something else. Go for a walk, change rooms, or just breathe. No charts for those 15 minutes. You’ll come back clearer and ready to make better decisions. What’s Up With Tesla? Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is at a crossroads, and things could get interesting soon. Here’s what to watch for: 1) If Tesla breaks above $440: We could see the stock climb toward $544, which would be a strong move for the bulls. 2) If Tesla drops below $417: It might head down to $389 or even lower, so be cautious. Keep it simple: watch these levels, stay patient, and let the market show you where it’s going. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
MARKETSCOM:TESLA
by Mindbloome-Trading
USDCAD (4D) HIGH-RISK OPPORTUNITY, DTA Cautious Downtrend Retracement in an Upward Trend The USDCAD pair is currently experiencing a short-term retracement within a longer-term uptrend. While the overall trend remains bullish, it's important to exercise caution as we approach key support and resistance levels. Key Levels to Watch: Pivot High @ 1.4238 Resistance, Major @ 1.4209 SLO2 @ 1.4188 📉 SLO1 @ 1.4087 ⏳ TP1 @ 1.3894 TP2 @ 1.3733 TP3 @ 1.3614 TP4 @ 1.3430 BLO1 @ 1.3386 ⏳, minor support BLO2 @ 1.3279 ⏳, above major support Support, Major @ 1.3252 Pivot Low @ 1.32286 Trading Strategy: Consider buying or taking long positions below 1.3386. Be aware of the potential for a sharp reversal. Maintain a bullish bias. Be prepared to adjust your position based on market developments. Risk Management: A tight stop-loss order is crucial to limit potential losses. Manage your risk by avoiding over-leveraging your positions. Remember, technical analysis is a valuable tool, but it's not foolproof.
Short
by ProfessorCEWard
Bears dominate - gold selling pressure below 2600⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Thursday's US economic data revealed a decline in unemployment claims, while the final Q3 GDP report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis confirmed 3.1% year-over-year growth. Despite these figures, market attention remains focused on projections for 2025. The Federal Reserve (Fed), led by Chair Jerome Powell, reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, though the decision was not unanimous, with Cleveland Fed's Beth Hammack dissenting in favor of maintaining current rates. Fed officials have also shifted focus to inflation, as reflected in the dot plot. Their projections indicate two 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2025 and another two in 2026. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Strong Bearish Trend - Pressure on Market Maintains Around 2600 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2626 - $2628 SL $2633 TP1: $2620 TP2: $2610 TP3: $2600 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2576 - $2574 SL $2569 TP1: $2582 TP2: $2590 TP3: $2600 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
6
Bitcoin Will Grow Based on The Market ConditionBitcoin Price will Grow again and Reach To The Top Resistance Zone Zone 105K Based on the market Condition. Upgrades to the Bitcoin Network such as Improvements to Scalability security or adoption of new protocols Could Push the Price Higher. The 105K Price Target Would likely represent a significant resistance Zone previous all time High But Achieving it would require positive momentum in the market and overcoming potential headwinds. Always keep mind That Cryptocurrency Markets are Volatile and Prices can Fluctuate Rapidly. Rate Share Your Idea what's Going On Thanks.
Long
by FxJennefir
Comcast Web CastA web of potential zones of influence and 3 curves that might act as support and/or resistance. Looking for consolidations at the elements, breaks, and perhaps one important inflection point at one of them. The main scenario follows the path of the rectangles, but hopefully they are designed well enough so that if the path of the stock price deviates into anything else, we might see a pivot or other developments (: bounce) at the most important of them all which can be either of them depending on the evolutions.
NASDAQ:CMCSA
by nen
ALGO 4-hour .. Trade Long in progressI figured this one out a day or two ago. Placed an order in for the long position. I am now active in the trade. Even if it goes lower I will just stay in the trade. I see ALGO going upwards for another run. Yeah so... risky as it may seem, I guessed purely on historical support area and 50% drop from recent ATH. I am going with the trade, "Buy the dip" philosophy. Buying in, on the way down. It is possible that, if the market in whole, continues a down hill march... ALGO will probably reach the 20 cent area. .. Then 15 and 10 cent areas. Highly unlikely, however it still could happen, nothing is guaranteed.
COINBASE:ALGOUSDLong
by Quartz-
Is the Top In? Bitcoin's Diminishing ReturnsMany of us have seen the Bitcoin Rainbow chart before. Right now, it implies that there is still room for another leg higher. According to Blockchain Center's 2023 chart , the 'Is this a bubble?' price range is around $111,914 to $143,429. However, we also see the highs diminish over time. The first peak is outside of 'Maximum Bubble Territory,' the second reaching the same area, and the third hitting 'Sell. Seriously, SELL.' While this pattern suggests BTC may only reach 'Is this a bubble?' or 'FOMO intensifies' this cycle, there's another pattern that indicates 'HODL' might be as far as it goes. In the logarithmic chart above, we can see that BTC's price follows a pattern of diminishing returns. It has moved from low to high as follows (rounded): 1. 2010/2011: 0.01 to 31.91 = 3,191x 2. 2011/2013: 1.99 to 1,242 = 624x 3. 2015/2017: 162 to 19,785 = 122x 4. 2018/2021: 3,125 to 68,977 = 22x 5. 2022/2024: 15,479 to 108,367 = 7x That means the multipliers from low to high have decreased with the following factors: 624.12 ÷ 3,191 ≈ 0.1957 (a 5.10x factor decrease) 122.09 ÷ 624.12 ≈ 0.1955 (a 5.11x factor decrease) 22.07 ÷ 122.09 ≈ 0.1809 (a 5.52x factor decrease) 7.00 ÷ 22.07 ≈ 0.3170 (a 3.15x factor decrease) The most recent bullish run appears to be an outlier; if there'd been a 5.52x factor decrease from 22.07, that would've meant a rough 4x (22.07 ÷ 5.52) from the low, or a peak of 61,916. There are multiple ways to interpret this pattern, and why it may or may not be holding this time around: On the bullish side: It's 'different' this cycle A pro-crypto Trump administration/SEC chair shifts fundamentals Growing legitimisation of BTC in institutional and regulatory circles More funds flowing in via BTC ETFs Currency debasement means more demand for BTC The Rainbow chart indicates there's more room to grow The halving pattern is still playing out Search interest is below previous peaks on Google Trends , implying more potential interest On the bearish side: The culmination of bullish fundamental factors has overextended the pattern (much like how RSI can show an asset overbought for a long time before an eventual correction) A risk-on year for assets more broadly has dragged BTC up with it, taking it past the established pattern A larger market cap makes it harder to continue expanding exponentially as the market matures. BTC's market cap is $1.8t right now. There is diminishing marginal demand—those already interested in BTC have bought in, reducing the pool of potential buyers The Fear and Greed index has already reached levels see in previous peaks, like 2021 The feverishness surrounding meme coins is reminiscent of previous bubbles, like the ICO bubble and Dotcom bubble Discussion I think there are strong arguments to be made on both sides. On one hand, it's true that it really might be different this time around. There's certainly more institutional adoption and regulatory clarity than ever before, with Trump even talking about a strategic Bitcoin reserve. There weren't Bitcoin ETFs in previous cycles, and the halving pattern suggests a peak usually around 1-1.5 years later; it's only been 8 months since the halving in April. While the dollar will likely get stronger under Trump (potentially weakening BTC), there is the argument that weakening purchasing power in many countries is driving entities towards 'hard' assets, like gold, silver, and Bitcoin. Then there is the room for more retail investors to participate, given search results for ' Bitcoin ' and ' buy Bitcoin ' are lower than previous highs (though I will note that 2021 was also lower than 2017). Lastly, while the Rainbow chart does show diminishing peaks, it does suggest we could still hit 'Is this a bubble?' or higher. On the other hand, this recent run to $100k+ was mostly fueled by Trump's election win and his backing of crypto-friendly Paul Atkins for SEC chair. BTC jumped from around $69k on the day of the election—a bit above the top projected by the factor decrease pattern—and Trump's win may have temporarily distorted the pattern. It is also possible that the market is reaching maturity. Assuming that BTC will move to $250k in 2025 as some predict, its market cap would be around $4.9t. That would put it above Apple's market cap of $3.775t but still decently below gold's $17.6t . However, there's a reason gold is the most valuable asset in the world by market cap: it has historical, cultural, and social significance. Its durability and lustre meant it was used to decorate temples in ancient times and as a symbol of divinity. Over time, that led to it being valued as currency in ancient empires and eventually backing the dollar. In contrast, Bitcoin is relatively young; while feasible that it could eventually overtake gold and still remarkable that it's achieved such a large market cap in around 15 years, it does beg the question if $250k would be too far, too soon. After all, central banks are hoarding gold right now, not Bitcoin. This ties in with the reducing marginal demand for BTC. Those who already believe in its potential have bought in; while the number of participants is likely to go up over time, there don't seem to be many catalysts for many more to join in the near-term (besides rumours of a strategic BTC reserve). 2017 was the first time BTC really went mainstream. Alongside relatively low interest rates and a weak dollar, FOMO drove the rally; BTC jumped more than 20x that year. 2021 was similar; cheap money, pandemic boredom, a broader awareness of crypto, and FOMO, pushed BTC to new ATHs. Looking ahead to 2025, there appear to be more bearish catalysts than bullish. Most notable is a Fed worried about inflation and whether it's appropriate to pause easing of rate cuts ( Deutsche Bank expects no cuts in 2025 , which while a bit extreme, is indication of the current state of affairs). At the time of writing, that's already pushed BTC down to GETTEX:92K from $108k. There is a US stock market that has risen over 60% since the start of 2023, compared to an average annual return of around 10-11% since 1980. There's also the promise of inflationary tariffs, discretionary spending cuts, rising yields, etc. all of which are the opposite of bullish signals. Combined with the Fear and Greed index hitting 94 in November (just under the 95 peak in early 2021, late 2021 saw peaks of 74) and extraordinary runup in memecoins recently—Fartcoin is worth $1.25 billion right now, up from $40 million at the end of October—the vibes are feeling a bit toppy. Conclusion In my opinion and on the balance of probabilities, the combination of the currently-overextended diminishing returns pattern and the fundamental factors described skews Bitcoin bearish from here. There are certainly many counter-arguments to be made and I respect the fact that markets can stay irrational for a long, long time and I could be completely wrong (along with the fact I have my own biases). But, I do think it's at least difficult for me to be bullish or buy into Bitcoin here. The risk-reward isn't great; maybe a 2x is achievable, and that also possibly explains a lack of further retail interest and the pump in meme coins recently. As an aside, it's interesting that this pattern would theoretically continue to produce diminishing returns until the multiplier eventually reaches near-zero. I don't think that would be how it works in reality, but it does indicate that Bitcoin could reach a ceiling as cycles continue. Does that imply the pattern has to break at some point, or that there is a true 'natural' high for BTC? I'd be interested to hear your thoughts. Thanks for reading. Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. The author is not responsible for any financial losses incurred based on this information. The opinions expressed are solely those of the author and are based on current data and analysis, which may not be accurate or complete. Always conduct your own research.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by pasojov
1
Bitcoin Santa Rally My view for year-end rally in Bitcoin is based on seasonal and global liquidity (GLI) My projection for the Treasury General Account (TGA) is an increase from $740B today to a peak of $880B on 12/17 (which will be negative for Bitcoin and assets) and then a decrease (positive liquidity) of $200+ Billion down to a low of $630B on 1/10. This will be the window to buy a dip IMO. These figures do not take into account any additional reduction from the debt ceiling being reinstated on 1/1... which could add additional liquidity not accounted for as it is an unknown. That said, the debt ceiling debate is less of a factor now that we had a red sweep in the elections and the republicans control the votes, thus unlikely to be much of a "debate"... Simple but my view.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Trainwreck
1
Technical Review - BTCThere are lots of confident predictions about where markets will head next. However, at its core, trading is about speculation and taking calculated risks—not about certainty. In this post, I'll share some technical trades in BTC from recent price action. While hindsight bias will naturally come into play, I did take several of these setups in real time. Higher Timeframe Context (1-Month) In terms of the higher timeframe context, there has been a clear uptrend with two distinct continuation setups (noticeable move up, followed by a contraction towards the mean price which then sets up for a continuation). At the current time there has been an attempt for a third move. These could have been entered on the range expansion from the contractive state, however when prices become extended towards the outer boundaries we better be cautious due to risk of mean reversion. At such extremes, its better to scale out or look for better opportunities. These locations are often reached as measured moves (assumed average price volatility is sustained, as seen on the right side of the chart). This does not meant the move is over, but rather where the risk of mean reversion is increased, price can deviate from average volatility all the time. This analysis is not a prediction of future behavior, but rather a review of recent events and how they could have been traded in technical terms. There is also a component of discretion, which occur in in real time, but is not relevant to asses at this point. Before we take a trade we want to consider: What is the current structure in play, is it a trend or a range? Where is price located within that structure, are we at or near extremes? In case above conditions are met, is there a setup or an entry trigger? This all boils down to the search for imbalance. Daily Timeframe: Range-Bound Trading Opportunities In terms of my trading timeframe, which is the daily, BTC has spent the past months within a distinct range. When such a structure is in play, the locations of interest are at or near the extremes (upper and lower boundaries) where imbalances tend to occur. Efficient trades at these extremes typically arise when there’s a failure test (also known as a failed breakout or 2B pattern). In these cases, price pushes outside the boundary, fails to follow through, and reverses back inside—often trapping participants and can fuel a move in the opposite direction. This dynamic tend to hold until there is an actual breakout, there is no bulletproof way to know what will happened, but most of the time it can be helpful to reference the higher timeframe. For example, in case breakout happen in opposite to the trend we can treat them as potential failures, while with trend (as in this case with BTC to the upside) we can either treat them as breakouts or at least not fade the move. There are however exceptions and nuances to these type of plays. On the chart, I’ve marked all failure tests where price moved back into the range and formed bullish continuation structures. These setups offered opportunities to enter and take profits. In my case, I typically targeted 1R trades on these setups, with some extending into full measured moves. In conclusion, its probably a decent idea to have a structured framework to locate imbalance, but it must be combined with discretion so we can adapt to different conditions. Its not about confident predictions, but rather probabilities and calculated risks. Don't become attached to positions, let the cumulative effect drive results.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Trader-Shah
Starbucks: A Bearish OutlookStarbucks: A Bearish Outlook Starbucks completed a five-wave pattern at 103, with the price moving down clearly. A large Rising Wedge pattern represents the fifth wave of the movement that began on May 2024 and finished at the end of November 2024 Currently, the price has broken through the support line of the pattern, indicating further decline. After any small correction, we should see SBUX moving down to 88 and 82.5. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
NASDAQ:SBUXShort
by KlejdiCuni
1