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#EURUSD 4HEURUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis Pattern Identified: Trendline Resistance: Price is respecting a descending trendline, indicating selling pressure and a bearish outlook in the short term. Forecast: Sell Now: The price is currently near the trendline resistance, providing an opportunity for a short position as the trend remains bearish. Buy Opportunity: If the price drops and touches the identified support level, a potential buying opportunity may arise, expecting a bounce from support. Key Levels: Sell Entry: Near trendline resistance. Stop Loss (Sell): Above the trendline resistance to limit risk. Take Profit (Sell): At the next support level. Buy Entry: At the support zone, once a bullish confirmation is observed. Stop Loss (Buy): Below the support level in case of a breakout. Take Profit (Buy): Towards the trendline resistance or next resistance level. Market Sentiment:* Short-Term Bearish: Dominated by sellers under trendline resistance. Reversal Potential: Watch for support zone reactions to switch to a buy setup.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
WTI Crude Oil: Mastering Price Action for Profitable Trades!TVC:USOIL ALEXGOLDDHUNTER Chart Analysis: WTI Crude Oil 1-Hour Timeframe Key Levels and Zones Support Levels: Around $68.70 - $68.80 $69.50 (Break of Structure - BOS) Resistance Levels: Around $70.00 $70.16 (Short 2022 Model) Fair Value Gap (FVG): Between $69.80 - $70.00 Indicators: RSI: 61.59 (neutral to slightly bullish) MACD: Shows bullish momentum with the MACD line above the signal line Volume: High trading activity around key levels Buy Strategy Entry Point: Look for bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing) near the support level around $68.70 - $68.80. Confirm the trend continuation with a Break of Structure (BOS) above $69.50. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the recent support level at around $68.50 to minimize risk. Take Profit: First target at the 0.5 Fibonacci level around $69.80. Second target at the Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $69.80 - $70.00. Sell Strategy Entry Point: Look for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing) near the resistance level around $70.16. Confirm the trend continuation with a Change of Character (CHoCH) below $69.50. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the recent resistance level at around $70.30 to minimize risk. Take Profit: First target at the Break of Structure (BOS) level around $69.50. Second target at the support level around $68.70 - $68.80. VIP Signal Format (lowercase) entry: $68.70 - $68.80 (buy) tp1: $69.80 tp2: $70.00 sl: $68.50 entry: $70.16 (sell) tp1: $69.50 tp2: $68.70 - $68.80 sl: $70.30 Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading financial instruments involves significant risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds
TVC:USOIL
by Alexgoldhunter
Bitcoin Mega Crash? Analyzing the Potential 30% Decline and KeyThe chart provides a technical analysis of Bitcoin's price movement, indicating a potential scenario for further decline. Bitcoin has already dropped by approximately 15%, and the analysis suggests an additional 16% decrease, resulting in a total 30% correction. Key levels in the chart include: Support and Resistance: The green zones represent strong support areas, where buying interest may emerge. Bitcoin is currently testing a critical support level near $92,000. If the price breaks below this level, it could lead to a deeper correction, with the next support zone around $76,000. Trendlines and Moving Averages: An orange trendline shows a previous upward trend that has been broken, suggesting a shift in market sentiment. A green moving average line may indicate long-term support, having been tested multiple times. Projected Scenarios: The chart outlines two potential scenarios. One suggests continued bearish momentum, with Bitcoin dropping to the next support level. The other scenario anticipates a rebound from the current support level, followed by consolidation and a possible recovery. Market Sentiment: The analysis highlights bearish sentiment, which could be driven by macroeconomic factors, lack of buying pressure, or reduced market confidence. Traders should closely monitor the $92,000 level. A break below this could confirm the bearish outlook, while a strong bounce may signal a potential reversal. Bitcoin's price action in the coming days will determine whether the predicted 30% drop occurs or if the market stabilizes.
Short
by bullanceprime
BTCUSDT Expert Price Action Buy/Sell Strategies!BINANCE:BTCUSDT ALEXGOLDHUNTER Chart Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC) vs Tether (USDT) on Binance (1-Hour Timeframe) Key Levels and Zones Strong High: Around 96,570 USDT Swing High: Around 95,596 USDT Swing Low: Around 94,400 USDT Order Block (OB): Around 97,340 USDT Break of Structure (BOS): Indicates potential reversal or continuation Change of Character (CHoCH): Indicates trend reversal Fibonacci Retracement Levels 0.786: 96,570.2239 USDT 0.705: 92,474.48075 USDT 0.618: 95,596.8307 USDT 0.5: 95,225.995 USDT 0.382: 95,095.1593 USDT Buy Strategy Entry Point: Look for a bullish reversal pattern or strong bullish candle near the support level around 94,400 USDT or the 0.382 Fibonacci level at 95,095.1593 USDT. Confirm the trend reversal with a Change of Character (CHoCH). Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the recent swing low at 94,400 USDT to minimize risk. Take Profit: First target at the 0.618 Fibonacci level at 95,596.8307 USDT. Second target at the strong high around 96,570 USDT. Final target at the order block (OB) around 97,340 USDT. VIP Signal Format (lowercase) entry: 94,400 USDT tp1: 95,596.8307 USDT tp2: 96,570 USDT sl: 94,000 USDT Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds
by Alexgoldhunter
TEMPORARY SELLS ON NASDAQGood day traders, today we have beautiful market structure on Nasdaq as you can see on the 15m timeframe the market gave us a bearish market structure shift after reaching the FVG on the right, we are in the london killzone i am looking for this market to trade down to the level @21098.7 so that I can execute my buys(long term positions) so do not worry if you missed the perfect entry on this one, there will be more during the day.currently we are selling to buy ENTRY:21538.1 SL:21616.8 TP:21098.7
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by Mokgethoa_MK
Could AI Unlock the Secrets of Life's Building Blocks?In a remarkable leap forward for biotechnology, scientists have unveiled MassiveFold, a revolutionary adaptation of Google DeepMind's AlphaFold that transforms our ability to understand protein structures. This groundbreaking system achieves what was once thought impossible: reducing protein structure prediction time from months to mere hours. By combining parallel processing with sophisticated optimization techniques, Université de Lille and Linköping University researchers have created a tool that democratizes access to one of science's most powerful capabilities. The implications of this advancement ripple across multiple industries, from pharmaceutical development to sustainable agriculture. MassiveFold's ability to rapidly decode protein structures – the fundamental building blocks of life – accelerates our potential to develop new medicines, enhance crop yields, and create more efficient biofuels. What makes this development particularly significant is its accessibility; the system operates efficiently on both modest computing setups and advanced GPU infrastructures, making it available to research teams worldwide. Perhaps most intriguing is MassiveFold's performance in real-world applications. During the prestigious CASP15-CAPRI blind structure prediction trials, the system demonstrated remarkable accuracy, sometimes surpassing the capabilities of its predecessor, AlphaFold3. This success, combined with its open-source availability, suggests we're entering a new era of biological understanding where the mysteries of protein structures – and thus the fundamental mechanics of life – become increasingly accessible to scientific exploration. As this technology continues to evolve, it promises to unlock new possibilities in everything from disease treatment to environmental conservation, potentially revolutionizing our approach to humanity's most pressing challenges.
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by UDIS_View
EUR/USD - Sell Limit Opportunity After Liquidity GrabEUR/USD has cleared liquidity above a key resistance zone, presenting a strategic sell limit setup. This move indicates the market has likely trapped buyers and may reverse downward. Key Observations: Liquidity Sweep: Price spiked above a critical resistance level, triggering stop-losses and trapping breakout buyers. Market Structure: Bearish rejection candles and fading upward momentum suggest a potential reversal. Optimal Entry: A sell limit at aligns with the liquidity grab and anticipated downside move. Trade Plan: Entry: Sell limit at , targeting a reversal from the liquidity zone. Stop Loss: Above the recent liquidity sweep to account for volatility. Take Profit: Targeting support levels around for a favorable risk-reward ratio. Risk Management: This setup leverages the liquidity grab for a high-probability trade, but strict risk management and proper position sizing are essential. Monitor price action for confirmation of bearish momentum.
Short
by Vusizwe_Capital
USD/CAD - Buy Limit Opportunity at Key Liquidity ZoneUSD/CAD has swept liquidity below a significant support level, creating a high-probability buy limit setup. This price action suggests that the market has absorbed selling pressure, signaling a potential bullish reversal from this zone. Key Observations: Liquidity Grab: A dip below a key support level cleared stop-losses, trapping sellers and setting the stage for a bounce. Market Structure: Early signs of bullish rejection and a shift in momentum suggest a recovery is imminent. Optimal Entry: A buy limit at targets the liquidity zone for a potential upward move. Trade Plan: Entry: Buy limit at , anticipating a bounce from the liquidity zone. Stop Loss: Below the recent liquidity sweep to manage risk effectively. Take Profit: Targeting resistance levels around to capture the bullish move. Risk Management: This setup takes advantage of liquidity dynamics for a strategic entry, but disciplined risk management is key. Keep position sizing appropriate and monitor price action for additional confirmation of bullish intent.
Long
by Vusizwe_Capital
IO Weekly Technicals Review [2024/51]: Bearish Trend StrengthensSGX TSI Iron Ore CFR China (62% Fe Fines) Index Futures (“SGX IO Futures”) fell last week, closing USD 3.82/ton lower by 20/Dec (Fri). SGX IO Futures opened at USD 104.45/ton on 16/Dec (Mon) and closed at USD 100.63/ton on 20/Dec (Fri). Prices briefly touched a weekly high of USD 105.80/ton on 17/Dec (Tue) and a low of USD 99.80/ton on 20/Dec (Fri). It traded in a range of USD 6/ton during the week, which was wider than the prior week. Prices tested the pivot point of USD 104.60/ton at the start of the week and closed below the S1 point of USD 101.85/ton. Volume peaked on 19/Dec (Thu), as iron ore prices declined by 0.9%, as the PBoC kept its loan prime rates unchanged. Iron Ore Fundamentals in Summary Iron ore prices declined for the week ending 20/Dec, following the PBoC's decision to keep loan prime rates unchanged on 19/Dec. Earlier optimism over China’s 2025 monetary policy easing plans faded after the rate pause dampened market sentiment. Australia’s Department of Industry, Science and Resources said in a quarterly outlook that iron ore prices will average USD 80/ton in 2025 and then drop to USD 76/ton in 2026. With the US dollar touching a two-year high, Iron Ore prices are turning bearish with markets awaiting China’s next move to support its economy. China's port iron ore stockpiles inched up 0.01% to 145.85 million tons in the week ending 20/Dec, according to MMI data . Based on seasonality, SGX IO Futures Jan contract traded 18.8% below its last 5-year average (USD 123.99/ton). Short-Term Moving Averages Indicate Reversal in Bullish Trend The 9-day moving average crossed the 21-day moving average from above, culminating in a death cross on 20/Dec (Fri). This signals the potential onset of a bearish trend. Long-Term Averages Signal Potential Beginning of a Bearish Trend IO prices tested the 200-d SMA at the start of the week but sharply fell, closing below the 100-d SMA by the end of the week. This indicates the beginning of a bearish trend as prices fell below both the long-term moving averages. MACD Points to Growing Bearishness, RSI Inches Towards Oversold Territory The MACD indicates a growing bearish sentiment starting from 18/Dec. Meanwhile, the RSI is at 40.60 and is inching towards oversold territory treading below the midpoint, while the RSI-based moving average is at 51.90. Volatility Inched Down, Price Closed Below 23.6% Fibonacci Level Volatility declined moderately last week. Prices tested the 50% Fibonacci level at USD 105.4/ton at the start of the week but quickly declined in the week to close below the 23.6% Fibonacci level at USD 100.35/ton. Going forward, the 23.6% Fibonacci level will act as resistance while the 38.2% level at USD 103.15/ton will act as the support. Selling Pressure Intensified, Price Trading at Low Volume Nodes Selling pressure continues to dominate and has grown stronger since the start of December, according to the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) indicator. The price is trading at a relatively low-volume node. Price also closed the week below the lower Bollinger Band. Iron Ore Prices Likely to Fall in December Despite Seasonality Iron ore prices generally increase in December due to seasonal patterns that prompt restocking in anticipation of China's Lunar New Year, driven by higher demand for steel production. However, it looks like in December 2024, prices will likely decline. IO Futures Only Aggregate Exposure Financial Institutions (FIs) and Managed money are net long with 124.7k and 26.6k lots across all futures expiries. Physical market participants and Others are net short with 110.1k and 41.2k lots across all futures expiries. Overall futures open interest as of 13th Dec 2024 stood at 1,259,936 lots. Source: SGX IO Futures & Options Aggregate Exposure Financial Institutions (FIs) and Managed money are net long with 121.5k and 37.1k lots across all futures & options expiries. Physical market participants and Others are net short with 117.6k and 41k lots across all futures & options expiries. Overall futures & options open interest as of 13th Dec 2024 stood at 1,565,080 lots. Source: SGX Historical Futures Aggregate Exposure by Market Participants Physical participants have switched from net long to net short over the last quarter. Managed Money has shifted from net short to net long. Financial Institutions continue to hold net long positions since the second quarter of this year. Source: SGX Hypothetical Trade Setup Despite expectations of seasonally strong demand ahead of the Lunar New Year, market sentiment for SGX Iron Ore remains bearish. China's sluggish economic recovery suggests a rebound may hinge on monetary policy easing in 2025. Additionally, technical indicators reinforce the bearish outlook, with prices falling below both short- and long-term moving averages. A short position on SGX Iron Ore could be a strategic way to express this view. We propose a hypothetical trade setup involving selling the SGX Iron Ore January Futures Contract at USD 102/ton, with a stop loss at USD 105/ton and a target price of USD 97/ton, yielding a reward-to-risk ratio of 1.67x. Each contract provides exposure to 100 tons of iron ore, resulting in a potential gain of USD 500/lot ((102 - 97) x 100) against a risk of USD 300/lot. This calculation excludes transaction costs, such as clearing broker and exchange fees. The SGX requires a minimum initial margin of USD 1,188/lot and a maintenance margin of USD 1,080/lot. DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
SGX:FEFX2024Short
by MintBulkCommods
Long MLP ETF & Short Micro Nat Gas Futures on Shifting SeasonaliHenry Hub Natural Gas (US LNG) prices have surged 46.2% since November 2024, driven by colder weather forecasts, rising European gas prices, increased feed gas to U.S. LNG facilities, and expectations of stronger domestic and European demand. US LNG prices typically climb in winter as U.S. heating needs spike, with the December-March period marking a net drawdown in storage. However, the recent rally has been volatile. Shifting weather forecasts triggered fluctuations, including a sharp 7.6% one-day drop on 27/Nov. Source: CME CVOL Turbulent fundamentals, choppy weather, and uncertain geopolitics have forced implied volatilities on US LNG to spike to levels of 99.47 on 20/Dec, unseen over the last 12 months. Supply concerns in Europe have further supported the uptrend. In reducing reliance on Russia, EU’s demand for US LNG has intensified, which accounted for 48% of the imports in H1 2024. US LNG exports increased to 14 bcfd in December, up from 13.6 bcfd in November, reflecting strong activity. For 2024, US LNG shipments are projected to reach 86.9 million metric tons, about 720,000 tons (0.8%) higher than in 2023, reports Reuters . Trump’s re-election has fired up optimism of accelerated LNG project approvals, increased drilling, & relaxed pipeline regulations, potentially boosting US LNG exports. DATA CENTRES TO DRIVE ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION GROWTH The growing adoption of AI-driven technologies and the expansion of data centres are significantly increasing electricity demand, placing utilities at the forefront of powering the tech industry's rapid evolution. Source: IBISWorld Deloitte projects U.S. data centre electricity demand to rise sharply reaching 515–720 terawatt-hours (TWh) by 2030 (up from 180–290 TWh in 2024; CAGR of 17%). Tech giants are turning to renewables and nuclear energy to meet rising energy needs. However, challenges with wind and solar intermittency, alongside the delayed rollout of modular nuclear reactors, make natural gas indispensable. Source: EIA STEO US LNG remains dominant, generating 43% of U.S. electricity. It is solidifying its role as the backbone of tech energy needs. MIDSTREAM GAS COMPANIES PRIMED TO BENEFIT FROM TRUMP’S SECOND TERM Trump’s support for US oil & gas is expected to push production up. LNG exports surged under his administration, rising from 186.8 Bcf in 2016 to 2,390 Bcf in 2020. Source: EIA While increased supply could exert downward pressure on US LNG prices, particularly as winter demand wanes, lower gas prices benefit utilities by improving cost efficiency. Additionally, rising electricity demand supports pipeline, LNG infrastructure, & midstream gas companies, which are less exposed to price fluctuations than drillers. Performance of midstream energy stocks is a function of production volumes & pipeline capacity rather than energy prices. Record U.S. oil production has kept pipeline utilization rates high, supporting midstream revenues. However, infrastructure deficits in key regions have created transportation bottlenecks, leading to backlogs. The completion of new pipelines, storage units, processing facilities, and export terminals will ease these supply constraints. A Trump presidency could expedite the approval of LNG transport infrastructure. LNG exports remain a key growth driver as new terminals and processing plants come online. Even if US LNG prices fall to USD 2/MMBtu, producers will remain profitable due to higher global LNG pricing. The US is the largest LNG exporter and is set for further growth. The EIA projects LNG exports to rise by 15% to nearly 14 Bcfd in 2025, driven by increased capacity. MLP ETFs CAPTURE US ENERGY OUTPUT GROWTH WITH REDUCED EXPOSURE TO PRICES To capitalize on the expected growth in natural gas production, exports, and supply infrastructure, there are many alternatives. Investing into listed Master Limited Partnership (MLP) is one among them. An MLP is a publicly traded entity that combines the tax benefits of a partnership with the liquidity of listed stocks. MLPs manage midstream infrastructure like pipelines, storage, & processing facilities for transporting and processing oil & gas. The main drawback of MLPs is their complex tax form, potentially leading to higher taxes upon investment exit. To address this, an MLP ETF, which invests in a diversified group of MLPs focused on energy infrastructure, offers convenience of trading, diversification, high dividend yields, and simplified tax reporting. The low correlation to underlying energy prices has made MLP ETFs increasingly attractive to investors over the past year. These ETFs are the only one in energy segment to attract inflows in 2024, while broader energy and other subsectors faced outflows, according to ETFTrends.com . The largest MLP ETF in the U.S., the Alerian MLP ETF ( AMEX:AMLP ) recorded USD 1.30 billion in net inflows over the past year, while the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) and Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) saw outflows of USD 3.24 billion and 745.2 million, respectively. Since 2015, on average, AMEX:AMLP has gained 2.7% in January, while $Henry Hub has increased by 6.8%. Additionally, the ETF has exhibited a lower standard deviation, indicating less volatility. AMEX:AMLP tracks the Alerian MLP Infrastructure Index ( LSE:AMZI ), which comprises North American-based energy infrastructure MLPs generating most of their cash flow from fee-based midstream activities. With an AUM of USD 9.6 billion, AMEX:AMLP is the second-largest energy ETF. The ETF has a yield of 7.87% and an expense ratio of 0.85%. The ETF’s largest holdings are major MLPs, such as ENERGY Transfer, NYSE:MPLX , and ENERGY Products Partners, among others. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP The AMEX:AMLP gained significant investor attention post-Trump’s re-election, with net inflows of USD 518.2 million from 06/Nov to 20/Dec, including USD 152 million on 06/Nov—the highest in the past year. Its appeal lies in a healthy yield, low sensitivity to interest rates, and a fee-based model that stabilizes cash flows, making it less volatile than other energy subsectors. Looking ahead, MLP yields are expected to remain attractive as interest rates decline. However, since the start of December, AMEX:AMLP fell sharply while the $Henry Hub gained 17%. This correction in the AMEX:AMLP prices offers a compelling entry-level, given the favourable macroeconomic conditions and positive seasonality going into January. Bullish drivers aside, risks to the downside exist from policy shifts and weather linked price volatility. Portfolio managers who wish to invest into AMEX:AMLP ETF could consider hedging the downside risk using CME Micro Natural Gas Futures. Each lot of Micro Natural Gas Futures represents 1,000 MMBtu. CME Micro Natural Gas Futures contract expiring in February 2025 (MNGG2025) settled at 3.412/MMBtu last Friday. On that basis, each lot of MNGG2025 represents a notional value of USD 3,412. For the spread trade to be effective, a portfolio manager will require 72 shares of AMLP ETF to hedge against one lot of CME Micro Natural Gas Futures. This paper posits a hypothetical trade setup consisting of long 72 shares of AMEX:AMLP and short 1x CME Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas February Futures Contract (expiring on 01/Feb). An entry at 13.9 coupled with a target at 16.1 and stop-loss at 12.6 delivers a 1.27x-1.62x in reward-to-risk ratio. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
AMEX:AMLPLong
by mintdotfinance