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Beyond Technical Analysis

Gold - The Next Bitcoin?The markets are beyond stretched—they’re squeezed all the way to the moon. Today, I heard some major news: Big Money has already left the party, and others are following suit. This is HUGE. It’s also that classic moment when the barber starts sharing his “secret” stock tips. Now, if you pair this with my recent Bitcoin post—where I outlined how a tulip-like crash could unfold—you’ll see we’re staring at the perfect recipe for a stock market KABOOM. So, where will traders, investors, and even grandmas rush to when this unwinds? My bet: Gold. Where else? This is when the Gold Rocket ignites, replacing Bitcoin and the MAG7, creating yet another bubble—a glittering tulip 5.0. And just like before, it’ll burst when the fuel runs out. Buckle up! 🚀
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Tr8dingN3rd
Nifty 50 hero zero trade for 19 December 2024 expiry Trading Guidance for NIFTY50 index options In the world of trading, greed and fear are your worst enemies. Trading without full knowledge and proper back testing—whether of your own trades or the advisors' suggestions—is a recipe for disaster. Important Note: Read and understand everything in this post and any accompanying images before taking any trade action. Nifty 25000 Call Option Current Scenario: There's a gap in the Nifty 50 index which could drag the index towards 24720 around expiry (possibly on Friday when Sensex has its weekly expiry). This is a high-risk, high-reward trade (hero or zero). Buying Price: ₹5.10 Maximum Potential: ₹235 Target Price: Set the final target at ₹184, as the price is expected to drop sharply after reaching between ₹140 and ₹235. Profit Strategy: If the price hits ₹140, it's wise to take some profits. Don't be greedy. Loss Strategy: Cut half the trade amount if it drops to ₹3 in loss or reaches ₹10 in profit, whichever comes first. Best Timing: Aim to enter or exit trades during high market activity periods to maximize gains and minimize losses. Capital Management Divide Your Capital: If you're following my trading suggestions, divide your total capital by 40. No single trade should exceed 1/40 of your capital. Risk Management: Only trade with money you can afford to lose. Avoid going all-in to ensure you have funds for future trades in case one fails. Market Conditions Stay updated with the latest market trends and news that could impact the Nifty 50 index. Learning Resources For those looking to deepen their understanding, consider reading books on options trading, attending webinars, or following reputable market analysts. Risk Disclaimer Remember, trading options involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for every investor. Always trade responsibly. For more information about money management for options trading, feel free to contact me. I'll provide all the details you need. Remember, prudent management of your capital is crucial to long-term trading success. Stay informed and trade wisely!
NLong
by Mukul_Singh_Shekhawat
XRP's Tug-of-War: $2.45 in the SpotlightXRP is back to $2.45 zone, trying to confirm it as a support. 1. If the price faces rebound from $2.45 with strength it will have to deal with $2.59 (dashed green projection). 2. A breakout of $2.59 signals strong buyer activity and could pave the way for a climb toward $2.82, the last key resistance below ATH (solid green projection). 3. On the downside, failure to hold above $2.45 may indicate weakening sentiment, potentially leading to a drop toward the next important support level at $2.19 (red projection).
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by Trade-Lean
GBP/USD Short bias - Targeting Last week's low.The GBP/USD pair saw a bullish trend yesterday following better-than-expected claimant data. However, today's inflation rate increase to 2.6% from 2.3% has put pressure on the pound With the Federal Reserve expected to lower rates later. Following the bullish Monday and Tuesday days, this means might just show price opened and rallied above last week's close and might now be distributing lower. The pair saw Asian highs and lows taken out, leaving a sell-side imbalance in the 1-minute timeframe. With the short bias identified, this creates a near-perfect entry targeting sell-side liquidity on previous weekly lows and partials along the road. Bias: Short Entry: 1.27070 Targets: Previous weekly lows
Short
by hskarue
1
atomusdt buy midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟 We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎 Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫 Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭 Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Long
by Golden_candle
Pride Comes Before the Fall: A Trading Lesson in HumilityIn trading, as in life, pride can be your undoing. The saying “Pride comes before the fall” holds a profound lesson for traders who let overconfidence cloud their judgment. While confidence is an essential trait for success, excessive pride often leads to reckless decision-making, ignored warnings, and ultimately, significant losses. This post explores the dangers of pride in trading and how maintaining humility can safeguard your capital and enhance your decision-making process. The Dangers of Pride in Trading 1. Overconfidence in Winning Streaks Few things inflate a trader's ego like a winning streak. When every trade seems to go in your favor, it's tempting to believe you've mastered the market. However, markets are dynamic and unforgiving. - Overconfidence may lead you to take larger positions, abandon risk management strategies, or ignore market signals. - A single unexpected move can erase gains and even wipe out your account. 2. Refusal to Admit Mistakes Pride can prevent traders from accepting when a trade idea is wrong. This often results in: - Holding onto losing trades longer than necessary. - Averaging down into bad positions, magnifying losses. - Ignoring stop-loss levels because of a belief that the market will "come back." 3. Chasing "Revenge Trades" After a loss, pride might push you to recover your losses immediately by doubling down on risk. Revenge trading is driven by emotions rather than logic, often leading to bigger losses. 4. Ignoring the Bigger Picture Pride can blind traders to critical market realities. Instead of adapting to changing conditions, they stubbornly cling to outdated strategies or refuse to learn from others. How to Keep Pride in Check 1. Treat Every Trade as a Probability Game The market doesn't owe you anything, and no strategy guarantees success. Every trade involves risk, and outcomes are influenced by factors beyond your control. - Focus on executing your strategy consistently rather than trying to "win." - Acknowledge that losses are a natural part of trading. 2. Stick to a Risk Management Plan Pride can tempt you to exceed your risk limits. Combat this by: - Using fixed position sizes relative to your account balance. - Setting stop-loss levels for every trade and respecting them. 3. Practice Continuous Learning Markets evolve, and so should you. Humility keeps you open to learning new strategies, techniques, and perspectives. - Analyze your trades, both wins and losses, to identify areas for improvement. - Seek mentorship or study market history to gain broader insights. 4. Detach Emotionally from Trades Acknowledge that a single trade doesn't define you as a trader. - Avoid tying your self-worth to your trading results. - Focus on the long-term process rather than short-term outcomes. Conclusion Pride is one of the most dangerous emotions a trader can harbor. It clouds judgment, promotes reckless behavior, and blinds you to market realities. Trading is not about proving you're right—it's about staying disciplined, managing risk, and adapting to ever-changing conditions. Remember, humility is your greatest ally in the market. Stay grounded, respect the risks, and you'll be better equipped to navigate the ups and downs of trading without falling victim to the perils of pride. Pro Tip: Write this on a sticky note and place it near your trading screen: "The market is always right. My job is to listen, adapt, and act accordingly."
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
2
Bitcoin Tests Key Support: Eyes on $103KBitcoin is technically bullish in the 4-Hour chart. However, it gave up bullish move from the last days and is now testing the key support zone near $103,033. 1. A pullback to retest the $103,032 with a dip below it, followed by a strong rebound above this level will push Bitcoin price towards $108,550 (dashed green projection). 2. A decisive move towards $108,550 and breakout with confidence could pave the way for further upward momentum towards $113,692(solid green projection). 3. If Bitcoin fails to hold above $103,032 and breaks below this level without a swift recovery, it could indicate a loss of bullish strength and Bitcoin chart will turn to neutral. This may trigger increased bearish activity, leading to sideways movement or a potential decline toward the $99,108 support level (red projections).
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Trade-Lean
#XAUUSD 1HXAUUSD Based on the 1-hour analysis, I am observing the resistance zone around 2660.00 and 2665.00 for potential selling opportunities. Target levels: 2655.00, 2640.00, 2625.00, 2614.00, and 2605.00. Key pattern: Bearish engulfing near the resistance area. Important note: Avoid placing any pending orders at this time. Wait for strong bearish confirmation signals before entering a trade. If the price successfully closes above 2672.00, it is recommended to avoid taking sell positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
High certainty pickBased on the estimated 2026 EBITDA of 76 Crs INR and Forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 21x, I think the stock may have an FV of 94 INR (upside of 20% from 79 INR). The EBITDA projection stems from assuming higher capacity utilization in 2026. The current capacity of the hospital is sitting around 71%, due to their recent expansion. I am of the view that as they market the hospital further they will get back to the 85% - 90% utilization range. To be conservative, I have modeled 85% OPD utilization in 2026, however, there may be a good shot their capacity may reach 90% in which case the stock could rally >100 INR. For OPD/IPD revenue, I have assumed no growth in 2026. If I add even below-average growth, the FV jumps >100 INR. Thus, considering the recent sell-off of 25% from its high, and decent upside in a conservative scenario, this could be an inflection point for the stock. This is not investment advice, this is what I AM GOING TO DO.
BSE:KMCSHILLong
by kurrent
Crude Oil Eating Up Time - Plate almost emptyPrice bounced many times at the Green Support-Zone. It's the same level where the Huge Pendulums Fork Center-Line is (white-dashed). Next, we have the Yellow Fork. Price traded outside the L-MLH, bounced a couple times at the Support-Zone and eat up time. But now, I think the "Plate" is almost empty. Why? Price arrived at a decision point, a confluence point. This confluence point is where the Warning-Line and Price intersect. To me, a Long Trade is more likely than a Short. - world wide tensions - so many bounces at the Support-Zone, they won't let price go down much - price has not re-tested the L-MLH of the Yellow Pitchfork As this is a very long term play, it's obvious that this Chart/Idea would serve to build a position, rather than using it as a simple trade.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by Tr8dingN3rd
#XAUUSD 4HXAUUSD Based on the 4-hour analysis, I am currently monitoring key support levels at 2610.00 and 2605.00 for potential buying opportunities. Target levels: 2660.00, 2680.00, 2700.00, and 2780.00. Important note: If the price closes below 2600.00, it is advisable to avoid any buying positions. For now, refrain from placing any pending orders. Wait for strong bullish confirmation signals before entering a trade. This setup represents a significant swing trade opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PIPSFIGHTER
BITCOIN's Distribution, Greed and Dutch TulipsThe **Tulip Mania** of the 1630s was the original bubble—and it was as absurd as it was dramatic. Picture this: a single tulip bulb sold for the price of a luxurious Amsterdam townhouse. Traders flipped tulips like hotcakes, fortunes were made overnight, and the humble flower became a symbol of outrageous wealth and speculation. Then, in February 1637, the fever broke. Buyers disappeared faster than a Dutch winter thaw, and the market collapsed like a poorly built dike. Those who had mortgaged their futures for tulips were left with nothing but petals and regret. It was a dazzling rise and a catastrophic fall—a timeless lesson in the dangers of speculative greed! 🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉 Why do I write about the Tulip Crash? These days, not many young Trader and Investors know about it. And why not learn from the past? Happy profits all.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Tr8dingN3rd
#EURNZD 2HEURNZD 2-Hour Analysis The EURNZD pair is forming a rising wedge pattern on the 2-hour chart, which often signals a potential bearish reversal. The price is trading near the wedge's upper levels, and a breakdown below the support line would confirm selling pressure, offering further sell opportunities. Technical Outlook: Pattern: Rising Wedge Forecast: Bearish (Sell, and Sell More on Support Line Breakdown) Entry Strategy: Initiate a sell position if the price shows bearish signals near the wedge's resistance. Add to the position or open new sell trades once the support line is broken and confirmed with a retest or bearish price action. Traders should monitor indicators like RSI for overbought conditions or MACD for bearish crossovers to strengthen the case for a sell. Use proper risk management by setting stop-loss orders above the wedge resistance and targeting key support levels below the breakdown point.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
Is the AI Revolution Built on a House of Cards?In the treacherous landscape of technological ambition, Nvidia emerges as a cautionary tale of unchecked corporate hubris and potentially unsustainable growth. What appeared to be an unstoppable technological juggernaut now reveals deep fissures in its seemingly impenetrable facade, with mounting challenges threatening to unravel its carefully constructed narrative of AI dominance. Specific challenges underscore this fragility: comments from Microsoft's Satya Nadella suggest a potential moderation in AI chip demand, while Alphabet's Sundar Pichai has highlighted that "the low-hanging fruit is gone" in AI model development. Beneath the glossy veneer of technological innovation lies a troubling reality of regulatory scrutiny and market volatility. Nvidia faces a perfect storm of challenges: a potential slowdown in AI chip demand, an aggressive antitrust investigation by Chinese regulators, and growing skepticism from industry leaders. The competition is intensifying, with Amazon developing its own Trainium AI chips, and Broadcom positioning itself to capture significant market share with custom AI chip solutions projected to reach $90 billion in the next three years. OpenAI co-founder Ilya Sutskever's stark statement that "we've achieved peak data" further undermines the narrative of unbridled AI growth. The broader implications are profound and deeply concerning. Nvidia's struggles represent a microcosm of the larger technological ecosystem—a world where innovation is increasingly constrained by geopolitical tensions, regulatory challenges, and the harsh economic realities of diminishing returns. Despite massive capital expenditures by tech giants—with Microsoft nearly doubling its spending to $20 billion and Meta increasing expenses by 36%—only 4% of US workers use AI daily. This stark disconnect between investment and actual utility exposes the potential fragility of Nvidia's market position, with analysts suggesting that 2024 may have been the peak in terms of percentage increase for AI-related infrastructure spending.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by UDIS_View
EXTENDED SESSION WITH SESSION BREAKSAn Extended Session refers to the trading hours that occur outside of a market's regular or standard session, often including pre-market and after-market hours. These sessions are typically used by investors and traders to react to news, earnings reports, or other events that happen outside of normal trading hours. Session Breaks in Trading refer to the natural pauses or transitions between different trading sessions, often marking the end of one session and the beginning of another. These breaks are important for traders because they help delineate key periods of market activity, volatility, and liquidity. Understanding session breaks can assist in timing trades and identifying potential market-moving events.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by atimchenko
NVIDIA's Declined over 10%, Why? When will be the Buy timing? NVIDIA fell nearly 4% today before narrowing the loss to 1.22%. Since hitting a record closing high of $148.88 in early November, the AI chip maker's stock has dropped over 10%. So, what is causing NVIDIA's decline? Firstly, Supply Chain Issues and Challenges NVIDIA faces multiple challenges in its supply chain, a significant factor in its stock decline. First, according to the latest data, the order volume and schedules for the GB200 and GB300 have been adjusted. Particularly, the mass production and shipment of GB series products have been postponed until after the Lunar New Year in February, increasing market uncertainty. Additionally, the small-scale production plans for GB300 face tight deadlines, putting pressure on GB200's mass production. Specific supply chain issues include CoWoS-L packaging technology, heating problems, copper cable connections, and leakage issues. These not only affect product yield rates but also increase system integration time costs. Consequently, NVIDIA has suggested customers purchase the B200 8-card HGX as a transitional solution, and clients like Microsoft are considering switching their orders. These supply chain issues affect NVIDIA's product delivery capabilities and reduce market expectations for its future performance. Secondly, Market Competition and Narrative Changes ASICs are gaining market recognition as a competitive narrative. ASICs are chips designed for specific tasks, akin to custom running shoes for a race. For certain tasks, ASICs outperform NVIDIA's GPUs (widely used for computing tasks) and are potentially cheaper. OpenAI co-founder Ilya and industry leaders like Microsoft's CEO Satya have started discussing the importance of not only training AI models but also ensuring they can quickly and accurately make decisions in real applications. This shift in perspective gives ASICs an advantage in some scenarios, as they are designed for rapid, precise execution of tasks. This raises questions about the cost of NVIDIA's GPUs. While powerful, they are expensive and require significant electricity and cooling. As ASICs perform better at lower costs for some tasks, there's consideration of replacing NVIDIA's GPUs with ASICs. Additionally, changes in scaling law narratives and the strengthening of inference narratives pose threats to NVIDIA. Scaling laws suggest that increasing AI model size (e.g., more neurons or layers) typically improves performance, but these gains are not infinite and require significant computational resources. This means NVIDIA must continually invest resources to improve product performance, potentially increasing costs. Moreover, companies like BTC, Tesla, and Google are investing heavily in their own AI chips or solutions. This intensifies market competition and challenges NVIDIA's leadership. Thirdly, Market Sentiment and Capital Flows Market sentiment and capital flow significantly impact NVIDIA's stock price. As the year ends, retail investors, ETFs, and institutions adjust their portfolios. Fluctuations in tech giants like Microsoft, Apple, and Google affect tech stocks like NVIDIA. Investors are more cautious, favoring stable, promising companies. Given these conditions, NVIDIA faces pressure on its stock price due to supply chain issues and competition. Lowered expectations for NVIDIA's future performance lead to capital outflows and stock price declines. Fourthly, Future Outlook and Catalysts Despite current challenges, NVIDIA has opportunities for a turnaround. First, NVIDIA needs to resolve supply chain issues, improve product yield, and delivery capabilities. Second, strengthening its presence in software and applications is crucial to addressing market competition. Additionally, NVIDIA should explore new computing narratives to expand its computing potential. Fifthly, Technical Analysis and Price Divergence Previously, prices rose continuously, but volume and KDJ began to decline, showing divergence. Without capital support, upward momentum was insufficient, leading to a short-term adjustment and a break below the mid-term trend line, resulting in a mid-term callback. When Might a New Rally Occur? From a technical analysis perspective: After two prior mid-term adjustments, breaking the downward trend line may signal the start of a new rally. Thus, this new rally must first break the resistance line. From a catalyst perspective: While January's CES and the earnings release in late February may not bring major surprises, March's GTC is worth anticipating. NVIDIA needs to showcase new technologies and products at this event to restore market confidence. If NVIDIA can introduce groundbreaking innovations, a stock rebound is possible.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by xugina78
#GBPAUD 1DAYGBPAUD Daily Analysis The GBPAUD pair is trading near the resistance line of an uptrend channel on the daily chart, suggesting a potential reversal or correction from this level. The channel resistance indicates strong selling pressure, making it a key area to watch for bearish setups. Technical Outlook: Pattern: Uptrend Channel Resistance Forecast: Bearish (Sell Opportunity) Entry Strategy: Enter a sell position if the price confirms rejection at the channel resistance through bearish price action signals, such as a bearish engulfing candlestick or a double top pattern. Traders should use indicators like RSI to check for overbought conditions or MACD for divergence that signals weakening bullish momentum. Apply proper risk management by placing stop-loss orders above the channel resistance and setting profit targets at key support levels within the channel.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER