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Missed Trade Recap: EURUSD - SHORT, 19/12/2024EU Bias Analysis: Daily EPD had been achieved on the minor range and the 4H had established a bearish pro-trend. After reading between the messy price actions lines, I confirmed that short entries were in line with the 1H bearish range. Price pulled back to equilibrium at 50% and the short position could've been executed after entry confirmation. Grade: High Risk Why I Missed This Position: - This position was a high risk trade, and as I'm currently in phase 2 of the trait building protocol, I am only permitted to take low risk variations. - A low risk variation of this position would've seen price retrace to at least the 70.5% fib level without displacing and forming 1-sided FVG's. Once a 1H or 4H KI area was mitigated, I would then require an internal sweep of TBL on the 15M timeframe to satisfy trade parameters.
Short
by The_Modern_Day_Trader
Crude oil weighing demand concernsOn the other hand, crude oil is currently trading below the critical threshold of $70.00, reflecting growing concerns over demand due to disappointing economic data from China. This decline has sparked fears of reduced consumption in one of the world's largest oil markets, prompting traders to reassess their outlook. The technical landscape for crude oil shows notable support around **$65.00**, which traders will be watching closely. If prices continue to hold below **$70.00**, short positions may become increasingly viable as bearish sentiment prevails. Resistance at this level will need to be overcome for any bullish momentum to materialize. Given the current volatility in oil markets, it’s essential for traders to remain cautious and vigilant. Monitoring real-time economic indicators will be critical in making informed trading decisions as we navigate through these uncertain waters.
TVC:USOIL
by Exness_Official
BTC CRASH ALERT UPDATEKey Levels and Observations Previous All-Time High (ATH): Clearly marked and seems to have acted as both resistance and psychological reference point. Price briefly tested this level before consolidating below. Resistance Zones: Highlighted in Red: These zones indicate where selling pressure is concentrated. The recent move upwards has struggled near the $106,000 zone (1.618 Fibonacci extension) and the resistance cluster below $108,000. Red Circle near ATH: Indicates a critical rejection zone where bears might be stepping in to control the price. Support Zones: Fibonacci levels from $91,000 to $99,500 (0.618, 0.5, and 0.382 retracement levels) show clear support zones where buyers may accumulate. The green lines below $92,000 show additional support extensions for deeper corrections. Black Swan Warning ("Dump Incoming"): Suggests the possibility of a sudden, sharp decline. This may be speculative but worth noting for risk management. Red zone above $108,000 highlights extreme caution. Trend Lines: Dashed upward trendline indicates the broader uptrend still intact, but a breach below would signal a possible reversal. Market Sentiment: "BTC CRASH ALERT" emphasizes bearish caution. "The Bears are out watchout" adds to the bearish sentiment as Bitcoin approaches resistance zones. Fibonacci Analysis Key Fibonacci Retracement Levels: 0.236 ($99,417): Currently holding as weak support. 0.382 ($100,793): Significant midpoint level currently in play. 0.5 ($101,905) and 0.618 ($103,017): Critical retracement levels to watch for continuation or reversal. 1.618 Extension ($106,436): Serves as an immediate resistance target. Deep Retracement Zone: 0.618 ($95,308) to 1.0 ($92,918) retracement range indicates the strongest support for a larger correction. Scenarios to Watch Bullish Scenario (Breakout): Price breaks and holds above $106,000 (1.618 Fibonacci). Retests and holds $108,000, targeting new highs. Bearish Scenario (Fakeout or Dump): Price fails to sustain $104,000 or falls below $101,000 (0.382 retracement). A sharp correction could target deeper support levels at $95,000–$92,000. Neutral/Consolidation: Price remains range-bound between $101,000 and $106,000, building momentum for a directional move. Actionable Points Shorting Resistance Zones: Monitor for price rejections near $106,000 and $108,000. Bearish candlestick patterns here could confirm a short trade. Buying Support Levels: Look for bullish signals around $95,000–$92,000 or key Fibonacci levels. Breakout Entries: If Bitcoin closes decisively above $106,000, a breakout trade could target $110,000 or higher. Stop-Loss Management: For longs: Place below $95,000. For shorts: Place above $108,000.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by ProWolfTrader_89
Is NVIDIA Ready to Break Out or Break Down?Good morning, trading family! How’s everyone feeling today? Got your coffee? Charts ready? It’s time to dive in and see what the market has in store for us. Here’s the vibe: NVIDIA’s setting up for something big—are we aiming for $142 or sliding to $119? It’s like a game of tug-of-war, and the market’s holding the rope. Quick Tip: Remember, trading is about patience and discipline. If you’re feeling stuck, step away, take a breath, and come back with a clear head. The market’s not going anywhere. If you want a closer look at these setups or other ideas I’m watching, feel free to check out my profile or send me a DM—I’m always happy to share insights or answer questions. Let’s make it a great day! Kris /Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mindbloome-Trading
Sentiment Cycle Indicator Performance (PAID)Performance Analysis of the Sentiment Cycle Indicator 1. Trend Identification: • The indicator has effectively highlighted bullish and bearish sentiment zones, as shown by the green (bullish) and red (bearish) background shading. This visual clarity makes it easy for traders to identify the prevailing market sentiment at a glance. 2. Buy and Sell Signals: • The Buy signals are well-timed, capturing upward price movements, especially during key reversal zones. • The Sell signals occur consistently in areas where bearish momentum starts to dominate, allowing traders to exit or short positions effectively. 3. Key Trades Observed: • Buy Example: Around the recent low near $100,000, the indicator generated a buy signal right before a significant upward move, aligning well with the trend shift. • Sell Example: Near $105,000, the indicator provided a sell signal ahead of a downward move, protecting traders from holding during the drop. 4. Market Choppiness Handling: • Even during sideways or choppy markets, the indicator avoids excessive false signals due to its clear sentiment zone shading, helping traders stay on the right side of the market. Why This Indicator Stands Out 1. Simplifies Complex Market Trends: • By combining sentiment analysis with buy/sell signals, the indicator provides traders with a comprehensive toolkit for decision-making. 2. Dynamic Market Adaptation: • The indicator adapts to real-time price movements, ensuring timely and accurate signals without lagging. 3. Perfect for Scalping and Swing Trading: • Traders can use the sentiment zones for scalping in smaller timeframes and for swing trading over longer horizons.
Short
by TradeTechanalysis
1
EWW - Betting on the ElectionWhile election betting sites are coming into the spotlight these days, another way to bet on the upcoming election is through betting on the Mexican economy. Anecdotal evidence indicates that China and even US manufacturing giants are set to build more plants in Mexico should the Harris team win. Trump on the other hand, promises tariffs on items manufactured abroad. Also noted is the multitudes of immigrants waiting at the Guatemalan border to head to the US should Harris and Democrat border policies prevail. Mexico would be smart in capturing those qualified to add to Mexico's potential manufacturing powerhouse should the political chips fall their way. Another factor to consider long term is the demographic cliff that the US is on, and Latin America isn't. Mexico certainly is in a strong position to develop into an economic powerhouse of the future, with appropriate leadership.
AMEX:EWWLong
by AssetDesign
NVDA AI Revolution: Which Stocks Will Lead the Charge in 2025?AI Revolution: Which Stocks Will Lead the Charge in 2025? "AI isn’t the future; it’s the now, and it's flipping the investment world on its head like a rogue AI flipping through data." Introduction Artificial Intelligence is not just transforming industries; it's becoming the heartbeat of innovation. In 2024, Nvidia and Microsoft stand out, but diving into AI stocks requires a keen eye for both opportunity and jeopardy. Let's dissect their dominion, strategies, and financial health to guide your investment journey. Nvidia: The Engine of AI Nvidia’s GPUs are more than just hardware; they're the fuel driving the AI engine across sectors. Market Dominance: With an expected 64% of the AI server market, Nvidia's GPUs, particularly the H100, are the industry's gold standard for AI training. Financial Highlights: P/E Ratio: At 30.09, Nvidia's stock might be running on hype or genuine growth. Free Cash Flow: A staggering $33.73 billion, giving Nvidia the muscle to innovate relentlessly. Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 17.22, reflecting aggressive growth funding through debt. Future Outlook: The upcoming H200 chip could further cement Nvidia's lead, but at what cost to valuation? 💡 “Nvidia isn't just selling hardware; they're selling the future of AI computation.” Microsoft: AI's Silent Integrator Microsoft isn't just playing the AI game; they're changing the rules, embedding AI where you least expect it. AI Integration: Through Azure and tools like Copilot, Microsoft is making AI as ubiquitous as electricity. Financial Insights: ROIC: An astonishing 130%, showcasing unparalleled capital efficiency. Net Income Margin: 56% - Microsoft turns more than half its revenue into profit, a testament to its operational prowess. Cash Position: With $39 billion in cash, Microsoft is ready for any strategic move or shareholder reward. Strategic Alliances: Leveraging partnerships like OpenAI, Microsoft is pushing AI's boundaries. 💡 “Microsoft isn’t just adopting AI; it's making AI adopt us.” The Broader AI Ecosystem Google ( NASDAQ:GOOG ): Using AI to enhance search and cloud, potentially rivaling Microsoft's Azure. Meta ( NASDAQ:META ): Innovating with generative AI in social platforms and VR. IonQ ( NYSE:IONQ ): Bridging AI with quantum computing for groundbreaking computational power. 💡 “In the AI race, today's leaders could be tomorrow's followers.” Risks in the AI Investment Arena Overvaluation: Nvidia's high P/E might signal a bubble waiting to burst. Regulatory Challenges: As AI grows, so does the regulatory scrutiny, potentially slowing down innovation. Market Saturation: With AI becoming mainstream, distinguishing between real innovators and opportunists becomes crucial. 💡 “Investing in AI is like betting on tech; some will soar, others might crash and burn.” Conclusion Nvidia and Microsoft are pivotal in the AI landscape, but the field is broader and riskier than it seems. Understanding these nuances will be key to navigating 2025’s investment landscape.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DCAChampion
Trading AUDUSD and NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 16/12/2024Last week was a slow period for trading with the Judas Swing strategy. We were presented with only two trading opportunities on GBPUSD and AUDUSD, resulting in a win and a loss respectively, yielding a 1% gain for the week. With that in mind, we are eager to explore the opportunities that may arise this week. For the Judas Swing strategy, we focus on identifying setups on the following trading pairs: AUDUSD, NZDUSD, GBPUSD and EURUSD. At 09:30 EST, the market swept liquidity on the sell side of AUDUSD, signalling potential buying opportunities for the session. Shortly after, a similar sweep occurred on the sell side for NZDUSD signalling potential buying opportunities for this currency pair as well. Now, all we need is a break of structure to the buy side. After patiently waiting, we identified similar setups on both AUDUSD and NZDUSD, which are closely correlated pairs, often moving in tandem due to their economic ties and similar market influences. Following the break of structure (BOS), price retraced into the Fair Value Gap (FVG). Once the candle closed, both pairs met the entry criteria outlined in our checklist, allowing us to execute our trades. The AUDUSD trade hit take profit (TP) with minimal drawdown, delivering a 2% return in just 55 minutes. Meanwhile, the NZDUSD trade on the other hand came close to hitting TP but experienced a slight retracement that temporarily delayed reaching the target We revisited the NZDUSD position, and once again, it edged closer to the TP only to retrace again, frustrating, isn’t it? That’s the nature of trading, it takes you on an emotional rollercoaster. This is why it’s crucial to only risk what you can afford to lose, ensuring you can manage these emotions effectively. After patiently waiting, our perseverance paid off as the NZDUSD trade finally hit TP after 8 hours and 25 minutes, rewarding us with a 2% return. Combined with the AUDUSD trade, we were up 4% on Monday an incredible way to kick off the week!
Education
by CleoFinance