Beyond Technical Analysis
#USDJPY $USDJPY Rise after Monetary Policy Divergence...The USD/JPY continiues to produce.
Latest:
The USDJPY has seen an increase over the last three days due to several factors:
Monetary Policy Divergence:
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) decided to maintain its interest rates, reflecting a dovish stance in contrast to the U.S. Federal Reserve's more hawkish approach. This divergence in monetary policy tends to strengthen the U.S. Dollar against the Yen since investors can borrow Yen at low rates to invest in higher-yielding U.S. assets.
FOMC Meeting Impact:
The recent FOMC meeting indicated a slower pace of rate cuts for 2025, which typically supports a stronger U.S. Dollar. This hawkish cut by the Fed, alongside the BoJ's inaction, contributed to the USDJPY's upward movement.
Market Reactions and Technical Levels:
Following the FOMC and BoJ announcements, there was an immediate market reaction. The USDJPY broke higher post-BoJ press conference, indicating a breakout possibly influenced by both the Fed and BoJ decisions. Technical analysis suggests that if the pair maintains above certain levels, like 157, it could aim for higher extensions, showing strong market sentiment towards further appreciation of the USD against JPY. Although a pullback at this level would be healty.
Speculation on Future Interventions:
There's an anticipation that the Japanese Ministry of Finance might intervene at around the 160 level to protect the Yen, but historical interventions have been less effective, suggesting that the USDJPY could continue to rise if these levels are approached (Taking a look at the upper line yellow line at the chart, if this is tested, broaken and holds we could see a great incerease).
My target would be at 160- 165 lvl for now if it holds its current price or finds support in event of an pullback at a key level.
However always keep in mind, currency movements are also influenced by broader market sentiment, geopolitical events, and other economic indicators. This is not financial advice.
US30 Sell Overall trend is ascending channel, but the channel is broken to retest a stronger zone @ 41671.38 before the continuation of the ascending channel. So US30 is still gonna push to 41671.38 before it will start buying. And I'm waiting to sell after the breakout of 42171.90. buying where it is right now, not good for me. Because of the stronger zone @ 41671.38. I'm gonna wait to buy @ 41671.38. this is my view for US30. drop your comment
The whole market's going down, pick one and buy it at the bottomI rolled the dice and put in an overnight order for COINBASE:NEARUSD @ $3.675
Runner up was COINBASE:HNTUSD
Will it get there? Might be a stretch, but looks possible, looks like everything is about to crash a little bit.
What if it doesn't get there? Who cares. I'm never upset about losing zero dollars.
But folks, I think it's going there, maybe not overnight, but all kinds of things are headed to all kinds of recent extreme bottoms.
XAUUSD, DailyXAUUSD rebounded slightly yesterday but failed to hold gains.
However, it is good to note that also the pair didn't break below Wednesday's low.
The pair seems to consolidate between 2580 and 2625.
A break to the upside, could push the price towards a resistance of 2652, while on the downside, the price could visit the 2554 area.
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EURJPY MARKET ANALYSIS AND PRICE PREDICTIONEURJPY, has finished consolidation at the Institutional Renegotiation zone, at 79% Discount Price. Decision has been taken in favor of the Bulls, Price has already broken the renegotiation trend line with a shift candle. Another order has taken place already. Price will retrace a bit to mitigate the order block and give the Bulls a perfect entry at 61.6% discount price. First Target is the Renegotiation resistance To sweep the buyside liquidity, and there will be a liquidity run from there to mitigated the unmitigated order block ahead as the second target. I believe this is the move we will see next week.
Entry, Take Profit 1 &2 and Stop Loss are clearly marked on the Chat.
GOOD LUCK GUYS!
Fast profit opportunity - Buying $GFIUSD @ 1.38 right now!Good afternoon folks, if you will recall, I alerted you to this one a few days ago and it looks like it is the first of my alerts to approach the buy point and I am dumping everything I can into it at $1.38 right now… I will update this idea with another video with a better determination of my sell point, but I think it's going to happen fast CRYPTO:GFIUSD COINBASE:GFIUSD
Goldfinch Protocol: Updated Price Prediction with Lower TargetsA Significant Revision to the Expected Bottom Price Levels CRYPTO:GFIUSD
New Prediction: Goldfinch Protocol’s anticipated bottom has been adjusted significantly lower, with new targets of $0.70, $0.50, and $0.45.
Cancel High Buy Orders: Any buy orders above $1 should be reconsidered to avoid premature entry ahead of further declines.
Steep and Unusual Decline: Recent price action exhibits sharp downward movement that lacks typical panic signals but suggests further downside.
Psychological Levels: Previous lows near $1 are no longer expected to hold, with new focus on deeper support zones.
Key Indicators: Consistent candle sizes and the absence of an organic capitulation pattern emphasize the unusual nature of the decline.
Updated Perspective: This revision reflects evolving market behavior, highlighting new opportunities as the price approaches lower thresholds.
This critical update redefines Goldfinch Protocol’s price expectations, offering insights into new levels to watch and the reasoning behind the adjusted prediction. Stay informed for potential opportunities ahead.
META, MAJOR CORRECTION LIKELY SOON Hey guys I wanted to share what I’m seeing in meta on the 2 week. Meta is another one that’s had a very nice move for a while. I hope some of y’all did well on it. Meta is coming to the end of this phase and it’s due for a large correction very soon in my opinion.
We have strong bearish divergence between price action, strength, and volume combined. Also hitting a major trend line. It’s in the final stages of wave 5 now. The rsi is finally about ready to rollover as well. Over the coming weeks and months ahead we are looking at a potential 35% correction from here for Meta. Of course there will be some nice swing trading in the middle of all this which is what we do at THE TRADER EDGE. I still wanted to start sharing the bigger pic ideas with the public in hopes that I can truly add a little value to someone out there.
As traders we always trade the higher probabilities. Nothing is certain here with meta but the probabilities of at least a hard correction are very high.
Stay safe, stay focused, no emotions. God bless y’all 👊🏼
Visit us at :
thetraderedge.com
BREAKOUT RETESTINGScript: NSE:RAMCOSYS
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading at near its BREAKOUT RETESTING level keep an eye on stock, we may see some good rally.
📈 One can go for Swing and long Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 455
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 510- 660 + + +
SL CB 375
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
PRQ Opens Wings and Lays REACT Egg for 2025COINBASE:PRQUSDC has been middling at best through out the year, but has seen steady growth which has recently picked up at a noticeable pace. Here we can see the Bird Opening Wings chart pattern which indicates some near term gains and potential positive growth into 2025.
The Parsiq team is in the process of transitioning to their new platform called Reactive Network (token: REACT).
From their accouncement:
Thank You
for Being Part of PARSIQ’s Journey! Over the years, PARSIQ has provided Web3 developers with user-friendly development tools. As the Web3 ecosystem evolves, so does our mission, and we’ve channeled our efforts into creating something powerful: Reactive Network
Reactive Network is at the forefront of blockchain evolution, offering a fully EVM-compatible execution layer that empowers developers to build the next wave of decentralized applications. Unlike traditional smart contracts, Reactive Smart Contracts leverage Inversion-of-Control to autonomously react to on-chain events, driving seamless interactions across multiple blockchains without user intervention.
We understand the importance of a fair and transparent token migration process. Therefore, we are pleased to confirm that the swap from PRQ to REACT will be on a 1:1 token basis. There will be no lockups for existing PRQ holders, — just a straightforward transition, fair for holders and the community.
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We are not seeing the new token on DEXes yet, and PRQ is still trading at the moment, but could stop trading soon (timeline still unknown) as the project swaps out existing tokens for REACT!
It will be exciting to see how the new Reactive Network continues to grow next year.
Remember Habibi, the desert tests your will, not your strength.
Crypto shake out!x.com
You should stay calm!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC will range from here, and most altcoins will bleed.
There are only 3 things you need to do:
1. HODL - if you don't sell you don't lose
2. BUY THE DIP - alts you loved yesterday are on sale
3. DIAMOND HANDS - avoid trying to time entries
Do your research and find strong uptrending altcoins!
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DOW - longI see sooo beautiful potential opportunity on DOW. Let me explain...
From technical viewpoint - structure of Dow is long term bullish. This is very clear. At this point price seems to end the correction it started at the beginning of December 2k24 after making ATH. If price is going to break to the upside through resistance, this is potential of juicy 1500 points swing move to the ATH.
From fundamental viewpoint - tommorow (18th December 2k24) is Rate Cut from FED with 95% probability of 25bp.
Technical and fundamental viewpoints links to each other so my prediction is this:
From tommorow (the day of 25bp rate cut from Fed and finish correction by breaking resistance to upside) is going to be continuation of bullish trend that's gonna last long time and potentially break ATH to make new ATH.
Probably I have never seen that clean structure of Dow in my trading career for swing trade...
We're gonna make a lot of money :*
~AS Malone
MSFT Analysis in Three Trading Strategies for Dec. 201. GEX Analysis for Options Trading
Gamma Levels and Key Insights:
* Support Levels:
* $432.5: Major put wall, indicating strong support for downside protection.
* $435.0: GEX9 level, minor support within the current range.
* Resistance Levels:
* $440.0: Significant call wall, indicating resistance for upward movement.
* $450.0: Highest positive NET GEX and a key resistance level above.
* IV and Sentiment:
* IVR: 37 suggests moderate implied volatility.
* Calls %: Low at 16%, showing bearish sentiment in the options market.
Options Strategy:
* Bullish:
* Long calls above $440. Breakout targets $445 and $450. Use $435 as stop-loss.
* Bearish:
* Buy puts below $432.50, targeting $430 and $427.
2. 1-Hour Chart for Swing/Day Trading
Key Observations:
* Trend: Clear bearish trend on the hourly chart with lower highs and lower lows.
* Support and Resistance:
* Immediate support at $435.0.
* Resistance at $440.0, aligned with GEX and trendline resistance.
* Indicators:
* EMA (9/21): Bearish alignment with EMAs trending down.
* MACD: Negative histogram and bearish crossover confirm selling pressure.
Swing/Day Trading Setup:
* Bullish:
* Entry: Above $440 with volume.
* Target: $445, with $437 as stop-loss.
* Bearish:
* Entry: Below $435.
* Target: $432 and $430, with a stop-loss above $437.
3. 2-Minute Chart for Scalping
Key Observations:
* Trend: Downtrend with immediate rejection near $437 and weak bounce attempts.
* Scalping Levels:
* Resistance: $437.85.
* Support: $435.0.
* Volume:
* Increased selling pressure near the close suggests continuation of bearish moves.
* Indicators:
* EMA (9/21): Dynamic resistance, reinforcing bearish structure.
* MACD: Bearish divergence near resistance confirms downtrend.
Scalping Strategy:
* Bullish:
* Entry: Break above $437.
* Target: $438.50.
* Stop-loss: Below $436.50.
* Bearish:
* Entry: Break below $435.
* Target: $433.50.
* Stop-loss: Above $435.50.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately before trading.
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PolySwarm's ecosystem is powered by an Ethereum ERC20 token, known as NCT, which serves as the currency for transactions within the marketplace. This token incentivizes the community of security experts and companies by rewarding them for providing valuable cybersecurity data. Additionally, NCT tokens are utilized by users to access the insights and threat intelligence gathered across the network.
The platform has established partnerships with other security companies and platforms, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its capabilities in threat detection. PolySwarm stands as a launchpad for new technologies and innovative methods in cybersecurity, promoting a more effective way to detect, analyze, and respond to cyber threats.
It's important for individuals and organizations to conduct thorough research before engaging with any cryptocurrency or blockchain-based platform.
Buying idea CBACBA just like the WBC bouncing back from 50 day moving avg. market sentiment positive and these two shares should see taking off again to highs we show few weeks a go. stop at 132.
DISCLAIMER : The content and materials featured are for your information and education only and are not attended to address your particular personal requirements. The information does not constitute financial advice or recommendation and should not be considered as such.
NFLX, BE CAREFUL HERE GUYS Netflix has been on a great run for a while now. It’s getting very close to a major correction that will come over the coming weeks and months ahead. Just based off a few things here in this simple 2 week chart we have a major trend line where price gets rejected every time we hit it. All major time frames are over heated. Volume has been falling for quite some time now as prices have been on a steady climb. It’s basically telling us that mostly retail and smaller players have been pushing these prices up lately.
Nothing goes up forever guys. Be extremely cautious at these levels. The probabilities of a 25% plus correction from here are high.
Be rational and play it safe. God bless
Fundamental Analysis of EURUSDEURUSD is trading in the support area which has been respected by the price action since December of 2022. Similarly, there is an area of resistance.
There are two scenarios based on the current geopolitical tension and the policy of the new administration in the US.
Scenario#1: Risk OFF or USD depreciates against EUR and other currency pairs
The new US administration will take charge in Jan 2025, and by that time if the Scenario#2 has not happened then the EUR should appreciate significantly against USD. The new administration is expected to be business friendly. The US economy should get an ultra-boost because of lower taxes and less regulations.
There are many other promises made by the winning party like the increase in import tariffs on all the countries, deportation etc., maybe those promises were to attract voters. We don't know how it will play out, so we go with the simple approach that republican party means less regulation, hence business friendly.
Scenario#2: Risk ON or USD appreciates against EUR and other currency pairs
This scenario could play out even before the new administration takes charge!!! We don't know if it is a bluff from Russia or a real threat, but the fear of nuclear war can be frightening. Whenever there are major escalations in the world, the USD appreciates and that is as simple as 1 + 1 = 2, right?