AUD/USD Analysis – 31 October 2024Following yesterday's U.S. elections, AUD/USD reached new monthly lows, touching 0.65132 after an extended bearish trend. On the 4-hour timeframe, the pair has formed a double-bottom pattern, a potential reversal signal, indicating that bullish momentum may be building.
Given the current political landscape post-election, the USD could experience fluctuations as markets digest potential shifts in U.S. fiscal policy. This environment could create an opening for AUD/USD to pivot upward. With the technical setup and supportive conditions, AUD/USD appears poised for a potential rally in the coming days.
Traders should monitor resistance levels closely and keep risk management strategies in place, as post-election sentiment can lead to rapid market adjustments.
Audusdlong
Another contrary move expected in AUDUSD; bullish Purge & RevertGreetings fellow traders!
Bullish Purge and Revert in progress in AUDUSD. The purging Daily candle's high is broken and we have the confirmation. Long till 0.66400 .
Here is the daily chart for reference:
There is something very important to be kept in mind. We have lots of important news drivers coming in, especially NFP and the US Presidential elections . Market behaviour cannot be expected to be perfect during such volatile times. Play it safe or don't play at all. Wait for things to quiet down .
This week and the next, stay safer.
Disclaimer- All content is for educational purposes only and not trading advice.
AUD/USD Ready To Go Up Hard 200 Pips At Least , Ready ?We have a very good 4H Closure Above our res , and it will be great if we have a daily closure today above this res , we can wait the price to go back to re test the broken res and see how it will handle with . i think after this big movement to downside we need some movement to upside as a correction , so i`m looking to buy this pair with daily retest to the broken res and i will target 200 pips .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Trade idea - AUDUSD Long4H
Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern potentially in play.
Clear support & resistance zone is there.
Corrective approach towards entry zone.
Market moving in Bull Flag formation.
Fibonacci completions aligning with entry zone.
= Confirmation to place Buy limit.
1.5% risk.
Aiming to take full profit at Daily TP.
AUD/ USD ! 10/31 ! Support H4 and recoveryAUD/USD trend forecast October 31, 2024
The Australian Dollar (AUD) dipped slightly after mixed economic data from Australia and China’s PMI release on Thursday. However, hawkish expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) policy outlook helped support the AUD/USD pair and limited its downside. In September, Australian Retail Sales rose by 0.1% month-over-month, below the 0.3% forecast and down from 0.7% in August. Quarterly, Retail Sales grew by 0.5% in Q3, recovering from a 0.3% drop in the previous quarter.
in the large frame - gold price will continue to fall back to strong support and have a larger recovery. In the context of not much AUD news at the end of the year, mainly important USD data
/// BUY AUD/USD : zone 0.64800 - 0.64500
SL: 0.64000
TP: 60 - 300 - 500 pips (0.69500)
Safe and profitable trading
AUDUSD to bounce from oversold extremes?AUDUSD - 24h expiry
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Bullish divergence is expected to support prices.
Previous support at 0.6585 now becomes resistance.
A mild correction has been posted from yesterdays low, this is seen as a retest of the breakout level.
We look to Buy a break of 0.6585 (stop at 0.6560)
Our profit targets will be 0.6645 and 0.6660
Resistance: 0.6620 / 0.6660 / 0.6720
Support: 0.6560 / 0.6530 / 0.6500
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I'll Long AUDUSD If This HappensI've been following AUDUSD closely, and since February 2021, we've been in an extended downtrend on the monthly timeframe. However, for the first time, we saw a break of structure (BoS), as the September monthly candle managed to break and close above the previous monthly LH. This break of structure is notable, as it could indicate a potential shift in the long-term trend.
Though the impulsive move that resulted in September's break of structure wasn’t the strongest, likely due to price respecting the month-long trendline, it'll be interesting to see if buyers can defend price so that the current monthly HL isn’t taken out by sellers.
While we’re seeing a large sell candle in October, buyers can still be considered in control as long as the monthly HL remains unbroken. Let’s move to the weekly timeframe to see if any interesting price data emerges there.
On the weekly timeframe, as seen in the chart above, the previous weekly HL has been broken meaning sellers are gaining control over the buyers as they were able to break and close below the previous low. Not a single rejection.
But does this mean we should all scream sell and short the life out of AUDUSD? Well, our business is not to be on the sell or buy team, our concern should be to make money regardless of the market trend. To do that, we need to look for patterns that suggest the probability of one outcome over another. That’s exactly why we’re doing this top-down analysis. So far, from the monthly timeframe down to the weekly, nothing has clearly indicated where we should buy or sell, even though we’re seeing strong red impulsive candles. Next, let's check the daily.
Now, take a look at that pattern on the daily timeframe. What pattern is that? A bird pattern? Or maybe a plane pattern. (I'm Joe King.) It’s actually a falling wedge, a reversal pattern. But does that mean we should start buying AUDUSD? Not yet. It means we should start watching for a change in structure, perhaps on the 4-hour timeframe. Only then should we look out for our entries.
Still no trading decision, so let’s check the 4-hour next. Please stay with me.
Still no trading decision on the 4-hourly, but there’s a plan. If price can impulsively break the 4-hourly LH at 0.66611 and stays above, then I’ll be looking for a buy on a pullback, probably on the 1-hour timeframe, where I typically look for entries.
But… what happens if price continues to trend down? Since I trade based on structure, I’ll be watching for price to pull back after breaking and trading decisively below the weekly HL at 0.66220 .
One key lesson I’ve learned in my trading journey is that it’s not just about price breaking a zone; it’s about how it breaks it. From the weekly, we saw price break the weekly HL at 0.66220 . But as we scale down to the daily and 4-hourly, the pattern behind this break hints at a possible reversal.
What are your thoughts on AUDUSD this week? Please share in the comment.
My trading rule is simple, don't take position based on what you anticipate price will do, take position only when price does what you anticipate and presents you a point of entry.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis: (READ DESCRIPTION)AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum Expected Above 0.6660
Pivot Point: 0.6660
The pivot at 0.6660 acts as a key support level, determining the near-term direction of the AUD/USD pair. As long as the price holds above this level, a bullish move is anticipated.
Our Preference: Long Positions
Recommended Trade:
Long positions are preferred as long as the price remains above the 0.6660 pivot point. This suggests a potential rise toward higher resistance levels.
Target Levels for Upside Movement:
First Target: 0.6700
This represents an intermediate resistance where traders may look to take profits or assess continuation.
Second Target: 0.6720
If the first resistance is surpassed, further gains toward 0.6720 are likely, indicating stronger bullish momentum.
Alternative Scenario: Downside Risks
If the price drops below 0.6660:
Bearish Outlook:
First Target: 0.6650
Second Target: 0.6635
These levels serve as potential support areas in a bearish scenario.
Technical Insights:
RSI Indicator:
The RSI lacks downward momentum, signaling potential for further upside. This supports the bullish outlook and suggests that selling pressure may be limited.
Moving Averages:
AUD/USD trading above its short-term moving averages would further confirm the bullish trend if sustained.
audusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Audusd might go up from here Hello everyone, there’s a strong possibility that the AUD/USD could move higher from its current level.
As always, it's essential to apply proper money management and never trade without setting an appropriate stop-loss. Remember, trading is a game of probabilities, so your success should be evaluated over a series of trades, not just one.
Thanks!
AUDUSD - Long active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I expect bullish price action after price filled the imbalance and rejected from OB.
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AUDUSD Zone BuyWait zone for buy AUDUSD, don't rush to buy now. SL line yellow.
Good luck.
**Forex Analysis Disclaimer**
This analysis is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. I utilize technical analysis as the basis for decision-making and do not focus on fundamental analysis. Forex trading involves high risk and can result in losses. It is advisable to conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trades. I am not responsible for any losses that may arise from the use of this information.
AUDUSD - Long active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. We have perfect rejection from bullish OB + level 0.67000, as well hidden divergence.
On H4 we have confirmation of regular divergence.
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#AUD/USD 1HAUD/USD 1H – Falling Wedge Pattern
The AUD/USD pair on the 1-hour chart is showing a falling wedge pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal setup. This pattern indicates that the price, currently in a downtrend, may soon reverse and move higher.
#Pattern Overview:
-Falling Wedge: The pattern is defined by two downward-sloping, converging trendlines. The price moves within this narrowing range as selling pressure weakens over time, which often leads to a bullish breakout.
#Forecast:
-Buy Signal: The anticipated move is a breakout above the upper resistance trendline of the wedge. This breakout is considered a strong buy signal, suggesting the price will move upward as the bearish momentum fades.
#Trading Strategy:
- *Entry Point: Enter a buy position when the price decisively breaks out of the wedge and closes above the resistance line.
- Targets: Initial targets for the move upward could be based on nearby resistance levels or prior price action highs.
-Stop Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss below the most recent swing low inside the wedge, ensuring protection in case of a false breakout.
This setup points to a buying opportunity upon breakout, as the AUD/USD pair is likely to climb after confirming the bullish reversal.