AUDNZD
High Stakes: RBA rate decision vs. Melbourne Cup We are about 8 hours away from the latest Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision.
That decision is due on Tuesday at 2:30 pm (local Aussie time), a couple of hours before the country's biggest horse race, the Melbourne Cup ($8 million in prize money) is set to take place.
But perhaps the more exciting match ups will be occurring in the forex market.
Currently, the market is thinking there is a 70% chance of a 25-basis points hike because of the RBA governor's rhetoric that the bank would "not hesitate to raise the cash rate further" if inflation was higher than expected (which it was in its last quarterly reading). The 30% chance of no hike is possibly driven by concerns about mortgage stress in the country after the post-COVID 12 cash rate increases.
On the flip side of some potential AUD trades, we have expectations for the US Fed and the European Central Bank (ECB) enacting a 25-basis points cut by June next year.
Weaker-than-expected NFP figures in the U.S. last Friday bolstered expectations that the Fed was done with its tightening campaign and pulled the AUD/USD up past 0.64900 from 0.64400. This makes me question whether the upside to the AUD/USD is all played out. Moments after the interest rate announcement will be crucial to see which direction the market wants to take.
If the RBA does enact a hike today, concerns about mortgage stress in Australia might induce the pair to revisit some of the levels the pair traversed last Friday during its climb just before market close.
AUD/NZD ↘️ Sell Trade Setup ↘️Hello Everyone 🙋🏽♂️
🔴 1.09135
🟢 1.08550
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manage your lot size as well and your SL and TP and my opinion is 0.01 lot for each 500 $.
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It's not a financial advise, As everyone we take losses sometime but for long term trading we are profitable traders, so manage your account well with SL and TP and your lot size to keep your account safe and stay in the market .
Perfect Chance To Sell AUD/NZD To Get At Least 200 Pips !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
AUDNZDIs AUDNZD exhausting at highs?
As the price is been on high bull run but now it seems like price is lacking bullish momentum after printing double top pattern at resistance level and bearish divergence suggesting the sell pressure is about to start.
If the bears took control , the 1st target could be 1.0870 followed by 10840.
What you guys think of it
AUDNZD H4 | Running into resistanceAUD/NZD is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.09143 which is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss is at 1.09550 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance level.
Take profit is at 1.08455 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci level.
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AUDNZD Technical Analysis And Trade IdeaIn this video, we provide an extensive analysis of the AUDNZD currency pair, with a primary focus on the dominant bullish price swing observed on the daily (1D) timeframe. Notably, AUDNZD has reached a critical resistance level at the upper boundary of the current price range. Within the video discussion, we delve deep into various facets of technical analysis, encompassing aspects such as the prevailing trend, price movement dynamics, market structure, and other fundamental elements crucial to technical analysis. As we progress further into the video, we explore a potential trading opportunity in greater detail.
It's essential to emphasize that the information presented in this video is intended solely for educational purposes and should not be misconstrued as financial advice. It is imperative to recognize that engaging in forex trading involves a significant level of risk. Therefore, it is absolutely vital to prudently integrate risk management strategies into your trading plan.
AUDNZD - Bearish price action ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDNZD.
Technical analysis: Here I expect bearish price action as we can see that price rejected from bearish order block + institutional big figure 1.09000.
Fundamental analysis: Upcoming week on Tuesday will be released Unemployment Rate on NZD and if the result is pozitive, it will support our analysis.
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AUDNZD Long Term SELLING Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart AUDNZD Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today AUDNZD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDNZD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on AUDNZD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
AUDUSD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea Asian SessionIn this video, we offer an extensive analysis of AUDNZD, focusing primarily on the prevalent bullish price swing observed on the 1D timeframe. Notably, AUDNZD has reached into a critical resistance level at the hiugh of the current range. Our discussion in the video delves into key aspects of technical analysis, encompassing, but not restricted to, the present trend, the dynamics of price movement, market structure, and various other fundamental components of technical analysis. As we progress through the latter part of the video, we delve deeper into a potential trade opportunity.
It's crucial to underscore that the information presented here serves exclusively for educational purposes and should not be misconstrued as financial counsel. It's imperative to acknowledge that participating in currency market trading carries a significant level of risk. Consequently, it is absolutely essential to prudently incorporate risk management strategies into your trading plan.
AUDNZD - Trading The Wedge 🌙Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
AUDNZD has been overall bearish trading inside the falling wedge pattern in blue, and it is currently approaching around the bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the zone 1.0925 is a strong resistance.
🏹 So the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the green resistance and upper blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
As per my trading style:
As AUDNZD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
AUDNZD BUY | Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for BUY . GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity AUDNZD
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Australia Q3 CPI reaction – hikes are back on the tableThings move quickly when the central bank detail that their tolerance for inflation is low. Only recently it was the widely held consensus that interest rates in Australia were on hold for an extended period, and the next move was most likely a cut.
Well, that school of thought has been blown out the window and rate hikes are now once again being priced to rise. The question, it seems, from purely observing market pricing, is whether we see a hike in November, and then a pause, or we see back-to-back hikes in November and December.
The recent RBA minutes detailed that slower progress in getting to their inflation target (2-3%) would not be viewed favourably. This view was reinforced by RBA gov Bullock's speech (on Tuesday) when she detailed the bank won’t hesitate to hike if there is a material upward revision to the outlook on inflation.
Consider the RBA forecast (in August) headline Q3 CPI at 4.5% and core Q3 CPI at 4% by December. So going off today’s numbers, with headline CPI at 5.4% and trimmed mean inflation at 5.2%, the prospect of a revision to the bank forecast in the upcoming Statement on Monetary Policy (on 10 Nov) is clearly very high – whether it is ‘material’ is a point of debate.
Granted, inflation continues to moderate, but the pace of the decline would be frustratingly slow in the RBA's view. We can also add the Q3 CPI print to a better-than-expected Q2 GDP print (at 2.1%), September unemployment at 3.6% and house prices further rising, and the RBA may see a hike as a necessary evil.
Market reaction
Australia's 30-day interest rate futures have reacted quite aggressively to the CPI data, and we now see the 18bp of hikes priced for the 7 Nov RBA meeting; equating to a 73% chance of a hike. If they don’t hike in November, December is priced at 100%. In fact, there is a small premium we could see at a 25bp hike in November and another 25bp hike in December.
The rise in the market interest rate expectations, with a spike in Aussie 3yr govt bond yields from 4.18% to 4.28% has been good for 40 pips in AUD, with AUDUSD pushing to 0.6400. AUDCAD has been the biggest percentage mover on the day and has broken the October highs. AUDNZD has been a tear of late – and remains one of the cleanest expressions of Aussie rates – with price breaking through 1.0900 and into a big supply zone seen since June.
In equities, we’ve seen the AUS200 falling from 6876 to hit a session low of 6832, although we’re seeing better buyers off these lows. ASX200 banks are heavy, as are REITS – consumer stocks are holding in remarkably well at present.
Upcoming event risk to AUD and AUS200 traders
While the Q3 CPI was always the big event risk, if we look at data ahead of the 7 November RBA meeting, we only see retail sales (on 30 Oct) that could affect market pricing, but sales would need to be very weak. Developments in geopolitics and broad risk sentiment in markets could also play a factor, but again, it seems unlikely to derail market pricing/expectations.
Governor Bullock speaks again tomorrow along with assistant governor Christopher Kent (09:00 AEDT), so this could give us a clear understanding of how the core of the RBA sees the CPI print – they could essentially guide to a hike here.
AUDNZD I Potential short near resistance zoneHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for SELL. GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity AUDNZD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
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EURNZD I Local short Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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