AUDJPY to hold back the bulls at market price?AUDJPY -24h expiry
Broken out of the wedge to the downside.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
Further downside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 104.00 will confirm the bearish momentum.
We look to Sell at 104.30 (stop at 104.70
Our profit targets will be 103.30 and 103.05
Resistance: 104.25 / 104.50 / 104.75
Support: 104.00 / 103.25 / 103.00
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Aud-jpy
AUDJPY Channel Up topped. Sell signal.The AUDJPY pair reached the top of its long-term Channel Up, while at the same time the 1D MACD is about to complete a Bearish Cross today. This is a strong sell signal combination and the minimum decline that the pair has within this Channel Up on a pull-back, has been -1.84%. As a result our short-term Target is 102.650.
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Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 103.95
1st Support: 103.49
1st Resistance: 104.47
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could price reverse from here?AUD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially drop to our take profit.
Entry: 102.90
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 103.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 101.84
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Heading into pullback resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 103.64
1st Support: 102.36
1st Resistance: 104.52
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?AUD/JPY is rising toward a resistance level, which acts as a pullback resistance aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A rejection at this level could indicate a double top pattern, potentially leading to a price drop toward our take profit target.
Entry: 101.961
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 102.878
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 99.954
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDJPY - Are You Ready⁉️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 AUDJPY has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge pattern in blue.
Currently, AUDJPY is in a correction phase, approaching the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover , it is retesting a strong demand in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDJPY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
AUDJPY: Today's decline is a buy opportunity.AUDJPY is borderline bullish on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.140, MACD = 0.500, ADX = 22.883) as today it has erased the gains of almost the past 3 days. As it approaches the 1D MA50, it is turning into a buy opportunity inside a double Channel Up pattern. At 99.000 we are turning bullish again and will aim for a +2.65% increase (TP = 101.700) for a HH.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Potential bearish reversalAUDJPY is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance level and could reverse from this level to our take profit
Entry: 100.359
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Stop loss: 100.699
Why we like it:
There is a resistance at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension
Take profit: 99.235
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Eurjpy and Audjpy looking for looks if jpy continue weakensHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
If Jpy is still showing weakness, then likely i am looking at both AJ and EJ to look for long opportunities
But do keep in mind if BOJ gonna dish out stuns on its interventions.
Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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AUDJPY to find buyers at market price?AUDJPY - 24h expiry
Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 98.60.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Momentum is flat, highlighting the lack of clear direction.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 99.00 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 98.60 (stop at 98.32)
Our profit targets will be 99.30 and 99.50
Resistance: 99.00 / 99.10 / 99.25
Support: 98.60 / 98.50 / 98.35
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDJPY Hit the top of the Channel Up.The AUDJPY pair has recently hit our long-term bullish Target of 99.300, which we set on our last trading idea (December 18 2023, see chart below):
That was at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) and the 1.136 Fibonacci extension of the 9-month Channel Up. We are technically expecting a pull-back now towards the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up and our Target is the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at 95.600.
If however the price breaks above the Higher High and the Channel Up, we will have a formation bullish break-out and as a result we will take the small loss on the short and go long instead, targeting the 3.0 Fibonacci extension at 102.700. In that case we will be expecting a rally similar to June 2023, which led to the creation of the current Channel Up.
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Buy AUDJPY Bullish ChannelThe AUD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to the presence of a well-defined bullish channel pattern. This pattern suggests ongoing buying pressure and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) around the current price of 97.77, positioned near the channel support. This offers an entry point close to potential buying pressure.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the previous resistance levels within the channel, now acting as potential support zones: 98.21 and 98.44. Further upside targets could be determined using other technical analysis methods like Fibonacci retracements or extensions.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken support line of the channel, ideally around 97.60. This helps limit potential losses if the price breaks down and invalidates the bullish pattern.
Thank you
AUDJPY possible dropAfter price broke structure to the downside with momentum, it preceded to retrace back towards a very extreme supply zone that it left behind during the expansion. It has currently formed liquidity below this supply zone that it could use to fuel its move further to the downside to break the recently formed weak low. The reason a short would be ideal now is because although we are bullish on larger time frames, we are currently bearish on lower time frames and are riding the retracement of the larger higher time frame move.
AUD/JPY Opportunity? BOJ and RBA announce decisions together Is the AUD/JPY the trade to make at the beginning of the coming week?
Both the BoJ and the RBA are delivering their latest interest rate decisions on Monday morning, 30 minutes from each other.
The Bank of Japan is up first, at 11:00 pm on Monday (US time UTC –4). The Reserve Bank of Australia follow at 11:30 pm.
What's expected from each bank?
According to sources quoted by Reuters, the Bank of Japan is leaning toward exiting negative rates this month. This is something that would really be a huge shock to the market. It would be the year's story, but do most traders believe this is possible, or is April the more likely timeline? Even a hint of an April rate hike could be a huge event in the market.
From the RBA, traders might be looking for a rate cut, but won't likely get it. An argument on the side of a rate cut involves the RBA getting nervous about what the Wall Street Journal calls a “Deepening Property Crisis of its Own Making”. Sarah Hunter, the Assistant Governor of the RBA, addressed the economic and inflation forecast during a panel discussion at the AFR Business Summit on Tuesday, stating that “Households are clearly struggling at present.”
AUDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow’s trading session we are monitoring AUDJPY for a selling opportunity around 98.100 zone, AUDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 98.100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Buy AUDJPY Megaphone PatternThe AUD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to the presence of a well-defined megaphone pattern. This pattern, characterized by expanding channel lines, can suggest both bullish and bearish continuations depending on the context. However, in this case, certain factors point towards a potential upside move.
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position around the current price of 98.28, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the previous resistance levels within the megaphone, now acting as potential support zones: 98.73 and 98.94. Further upside targets could be determined using other technical analysis methods like Fibonacci retracements or extensions.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the megaphone, ideally around 97.95. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back downwards.
Thank you
This cycle pattern on AUD/JPY hints at risk onAUD/JPY is holding above its 100-day EMA, and so far it looks like the spike lower last Thursday will be left unchallenged.
This is more of an interesting observation than anything else, but... since July AUD/JPY has printed a prominent spike / higher low every 40 - 47 days. If that pattern is to hold, is suggests the next trough could land at the end of May / beginning of April.
Given it is a proxy for risk, does this support a Wall Street rally which currently sits just off if its record highs? Growth outlook remains positive, inflation is falling and the BOJ are unlikely to shift away from an ultra-dovish policy.
As long as any currency gains against the yen are not too aggressive, perhaps AUD/JPY is looking at another crack at 98. Although a feature of this 40-47 day cycle is for gains to be erratic and choppy before producing a sudden selloff into its spike low.
AUDJPY to continue in the upward move?AUDJPY - Intraday
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Trend line support is located at 97.70.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 98.00 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 98.50.
We look to Buy at 97.70 (stop at 97.45)
Our profit targets will be 98.35 and 98.50
Resistance: 98.00 / 98.25 / 98.50
Support: 97.70 / 97.50 / 97.25
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDJPY for a selling opportunity around 97.300 zone, AUDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 97.30 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.