AUD Gets a Pullback . Are We just Before The Big Move up ?
AUD/JPY Analysis:
First of all, we can agree that AUD/JPY OANDA:AUDJPY is overall bullish.
However, after reaching the order block at the current levels, we might see a price retracement after a rejection. Historical performance suggests that we could experience a pullback later this week.
JPY Strength: The JPY PEPPERSTONE:JPYX seems to be gaining strength, at least for now.
Market Structure: We’ve got a swing CHoCH (Change of Character) on a higher time frame, indicating that a pullback before a continuation of the upward trend seems to be the right approach.
Gold Correlation: Gold TVC:GOLD is also at its highest, and a potential price pullback could align with the expected retracement in AUD/JPY.
Short-Term Outlook:
Short Position: In the short term, a pullback presents a good shorting opportunity for AUD/JPY.
We just got to The golden Fib level Had a Bearish Liquidity grab and got the minor reversal signal on the Oscillator Matrix. would be great to confirm the structure change on the lower Time Frame
Long-Term Outlook:
Long Position: Long term, the overall bullish trend remains intact, so longs are still the preferred direction.
For a major short, we would need to see the price reach significantly higher levels than where it is now.
Aud-jpy
Bullish bounce off pullback support?AUD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance level which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 100.10
1st Support: 99.49
1st Resistance: 101.38
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUD/JPY looks on the verge of a breakoutAnother strong employment report for Australia helped the Aussie dollar gain traction on Thursday. And with Wall Street stocks remaining supported amid a weak-yen environment, AUD/JPY could be nearing a bullish breakout.
AUD/JPY found support at the 200-day SMA on Wednesday and formed a bullish engulfing candle on Thursday. The 2-year AU-JP yield differential also appears set for another leg higher, which could help AUD/JPY break out of a potential bull flag.
The 102 handle sits near the monthly R1 pivot, making it an interim target. A break above which brings the June low and 103 handle into focus.
- Bulls could seek dips to the 100 handle and target the 102 and 103 handles
- A downside risk for this pair is if we enter a period of risk off
- A break beneath Wednesday's low invalidates the bullish bias
MS
AUDJPY: Great long term bullish trade.AUDJPY is on excellent bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.728, MACD = 0.850, ADX = 48.315) which shows the steady bullish trend on the medium term but more importantly it just turned bullish on the 1W timeframe, showing the enourmous upside potential. And this is evident as the dominant pattern is a Channel Up since March 2020. The August low was a bottom exactly on the 1D MA50, the 1D RSI is making a bottom formation and the price action looks identical to the two prior bottoms of the Channel. The rallies they produced rose both by +27.00%. We expect a similar rebound (TP = 114.000).
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Overlap support ahead?AUD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 99.77
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 98.59
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 101.29
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Seeking to fade into AUD/JPYA prominent bearish outside / engulfing day formed on Friday. Moreover, it failed to hold above the 200-day MA and closed the day back below the 100 handle. And its high almost perfectly respected the high-volume node (HVN) from the July high to August low.
A bullish trend has developed on the 1-hour chart after the initial selloff found support around a 38.2% Fibonacci level. However, we're now seeking signs of weakness around the daily R1 pivot, or 10 handle resistance zone for a swing trade lower (given the strength of the bearish engulfing candle on Friday).
The daily S1 and S2 pivot point around 99 and 98.50 respectively are downside targets for bears to consider.
MS.
Overlap resistance ahead?AUD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 99.77
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 101.47
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 96.87
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Overlap resistance ahead?AUD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 99.77
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 101.41
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 96.87
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Falling towards pullback support?AUD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance level which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 95.59
1st Support: 94.20
1st Resistance: 97.52
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDJPY Excellent long-term Buy Entry. Double Bottom may happen.The last signal we gave on the AUDJPY pair (July 02, see chart below) couldn't have a better timing as the price was rejected on the very same day just when it hit the Sell Zone and in 3 weeks hit the 101.000 Target:
The price even broke below the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) but found Support exactly on the bottom of the 2.5 year Channel Up (on today's chart we made the necessary adjustments to fit the Higher Highs) and more importantly, the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
Last week's rejected on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), serves as a reminder that a Double Bottom might be required before the Channel Up confirms the start of the new Bullish Leg. At least this is what happened on the March 20 2023 and November 29 2021 Lows (we had a 1W MA50 rejection for 5 straight months during February 2023).
As a result, another touch of the 1W RSI on its 3-year Buy Zone will confirm the new long-term uptrend and we will turn bullish, targeting 114.000 (+26.70% rise, similar to the last two Bullish Legs).
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Bearish reversal?AUD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 98.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 96.85
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support.
Take profit: 101.59
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could price rise from here?AUD/JPY is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 97.50
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 95.04
Why we like it
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 101.34
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish momentum to extend?AUD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 97.55
1st Support: 95.12
1st Resistance: 101.33
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDJPY: Consolidation phase approaching the trendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDJPY for a selling opportunity around 97 zone, AUDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 97 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDJPY for a selling opportunity around 94.900 zone, AUDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 94.900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Potential bullish bounce?AUD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is also a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 102.64
1st Support: 101.59
1st Resistance: 103.88
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish rise?AUD/JPY has just reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 104.87
1st Support: 103.96
1st Resistance: 105.90
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish bounce?AUD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 106.65
1st Support: 107.83
1st Resistance: 107.83
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDJPY Approaching the long-term Sell ZoneThe AUDJPY pair gave us an excellent short-term sell signal last time (May 23, see chart below) but after that broke above the medium-term Channel Up aggressively:
We now need to zoom out to the longer term 1W time-frame, where we clearly see the dominant pattern of the pair, which has been a Channel Up since the March 16 2020 (COVID) market bottom. Each Higher High was formed when the 1W RSI started forming a Bearish Divergence on Lower Highs. The 1st Bullish Leg was priced after a +32.90% rise, while the 2nd one at +26.70%.
As a result, with the 1W RSI overbought above 70.00 for the 2nd time in 6 weeks, we believe that the pair is approaching its long-term Sell Zone on the Higher Highs region. Its Higher Lows have been priced near or on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), so we will take this sell opportunity to target 101.000 (expected contact and breach of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line)).
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JPY remains under selling pressureThe Japanese government is currently enjoying the weaker yen, as it helps boost the economy. However, this is only a short-term solution, as eventually, people's anger about rapidly rising prices might overshadow that government's positivity.
#audjpy EASYMARKETS:AUDJPY FX_IDC:AUDJPY
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Buy AUDJPY BoJ Interest rateKey Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 104.30, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 105.15
2nd Support – 105.50
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 103.97. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
AUDJPY to form a higher low?AUDJPY - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
Pivot support is at 103.00.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 103.75 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 103.50 (stop at 103.10)
Our profit targets will be 104.50 and 104.75
2,5RR
Resistance: 104.00 / 104.50 / 104.75
Support: 103.50 / 103.25 / 103.00
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AUDJPY - Follow The Trend!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 AUDJPY has been overall bearish , trading within the falling wedge in orange.
Currently, AUDJPY is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the upper bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting strong supply zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for trend-following sell setups as it is the intersection of the green supply zone and upper orange trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDJPY approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich