Ascending Triangle
USDJPY → Interventions + CPI. The market doesn't believe it...FX:USDJPY is coming under bearish attack. Immediately after the US CPI release, the Japanese Central Bank intervened in the FX market to support the yen.
Fundamentally this was to be expected. Japan's central bank is not trying very hard to preserve its national currency. In order to invest minimal effort, policymakers took advantage of the US CPI report. The CPI + Interventions tandem led to a 2.7% decline in the currency pair. But, traders are starting to buy back some of the decline. Ahead of PPI, the news could both amplify the fall and smear all the efforts of the BoJ.
Technically, I don't think such actions will lead to anything global. The growth could continue. On W1 the nature of the market does not change, all interventions are gradually bought out and the currency pair will continue to update the highs.
Resistance levels: 159.6, 160.2, 160.5
Support levels: 157.7
It is possible to buy out and test the imbalance zone before the subsequent decline. A favorable background may be the PPI report, but after the market calms down, traders may return to JPY sell-offs, which may lead to the continuation of USDJPY growth.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → 2387 is key resistance, but ahead of CPI...FX:XAUUSD continues to maintain a bullish market structure, gradually pushing up to strong resistance with a breakout target. The US dollar is declining amid dovish US Fed assumptions....
All eyes remain on the US CPI report
Powell's caution on weakening labor market conditions suggested that a September rate cut is likely just around the corner, which once again brought down the US dollar along with US Treasury yields.
Softer US annual CPI data or a surprise decline in monthly inflation could confirm the September Fed rate cut and increase the chances of another rate cut in December. And vice versa...
Technically, buyers are pushing up to 2387. A break of resistance will open the way to 2400-2437. But, there could be a correction before that
Resistance levels: 2387
Support levels: 2378, 2370
Favorable news can strengthen the movement, in which case the resistance breakout is not to be missed. But, unexpected data may shake the market, the dollar may continue its strengthening phase and in this case gold will head towards 2350.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with gold ;)
Regards R. Linda!
AUDUSD → Price squeezes in front of resistance. A breakout?FX:AUDUSD is forming a strong consolidation on the chart as the price is squeezing to the resistance at 0.67. On the background of weakening DXY, buyers have chances to break the area.
There is news ahead and at the moment traders are preparing to break resistance. Favorable news may contribute to the breakout of the strong limit zone and the formation of a distribution towards 0.684. Technically, the chances are high (strong bullish pattern)
Traders are waiting for: ADP, Initial Jobless Claims, SP PMI, ISM, FOMC. Quite a busy news day, against which high volatility is expected. After Powell's words yesterday, the situation is neutral, but the dollar is going into correction. Everyone is waiting for the data on the labor market, on which the further situation will depend.
Resistance levels: 0.67
Support levels: 0.665, 0.662, 0.6586
Technically, the situation is bullish, the emphasis is towards the resistance breakout. Further everything will depend on the fundamental background. A favorable background for AUD will increase purchases, but a negative background may cause a correction.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The fight for 2365. Can we get to 2400? FX:XAUUSD is trading within an ascending channel, but traders are actively selling off all of Friday's growth. The key roll is played by the resistance 2365, at the moment bears are holding the market.
The dollar stops falling amid expected comments from Powell, as well as CPI and PPI to be released on Thursday and Friday. The fundamental background is neutral at the moment, Against this background gold is getting under correction and testing the liquidity area of 2350.
Now all the focus is on 2365, relative to which a false breakout has been formed.
IF:
sellers will hold 2365 and will not let the price above this level, we should expect a decline to 2350, 2341 and further it is worth watching the situation, because in this case the price can reach 2325.
If the buyers continue to be active and can form a consolidation above 2365, it will open a channel, the upper boundary of which will be 2387 and we can go up to it.
Resistance levels: 2365, 2387
Support levels: 2358, 2350, 2341
Two scenarios, as the situation is complicated due to the unstable fundamental background and the struggle between the participants in the key zone that divides the plane into bearish and bullish.
I would prioritize a small bounce from 2365, resistance retest, breakout and bullish momentum to 2375-2385.
Regards R. Linda!
AUD/JPY Flirting with Record Highs; Eyeing Higher LevelsThe Australian dollar (AUD) is on a tear versus the Japanese yen (JPY) and displays little sign of slowing, with the AUD/JPY currency pair recently refreshing all-time highs of ¥108.60 after rupturing the ¥107.86 peak formed in 2007.
All-Time Highs and H4 Ascending Triangle
Regarding current price action, ¥107.86 will likely be viewed as a potential support level. Moving across to the H4 timeframe, you will note that after the pairing ventured north of ¥108.00, buyers and sellers have been busy carving out a potential ascending triangle, drawn from ¥108.58 and ¥108.03. In strong trending environments such as what we’re in now on the AUD/JPY, the ascending triangle formation is considered a continuation pattern. This means that a breakout to the upside is potentially on the cards, particularly as price is nearing the apex of the ascending triangle.
A breakout to the upside is usually traded in one of two ways: either enter long on a H4 close above the ascending triangle and take aim at the ¥109 region as an initial take-profit objective, or wait and see if price action retests the breached boundary as a support and enter based on that level holding, again targeting ¥109 as an initial upside objective.
GOLD → Correction for the purpose of elimination. Target 2400?FX:XAUUSD is forming a correction from the opening despite the bullish closing of the session on Friday. Fundamental background is calm, technical reaction to the false break of 2387.
Friday's move was formed on relatively positive economic news for gold - higher unemployment in the U.S. reinforces the dollar sell-off as the chance of a possible U.S. interest rate cut rose slightly. This week traders' focus is on CPI and PPI, which will be released on Thursday and Friday.
Technically, there is a buyer's presence in the market. MM, as consolidation and elimination of the buyer forms a correction to the liquidity zone 2364-2355. Possible consolidation or false breakdown before the subsequent growth.
Resistance levels: 2387, 2411
Support levels: 2364, 2355
Today, at 14:00 Powell speaks, it is worth paying attention to his speech. High volatility is possible. In general, the fundamental background is favorable, technically, the bull market is forming a correction to support. Emphasis on the bulls.
Regards R. Linda!
ZUARIIND - Ascending Triangle patternAll details are given on chart. If you like the analyses please do share it with your friends, like and follow me for more such interesting charts.
Disc - Am not a SEBI registered analyst. Please do your own analyses before taking position. Details provided on chart is only for educational purposes and not a trading recommendation
NZDUSD → Traders believe in the best outcome. NFP aheadFX:NZDUSD strengthens after a false breakdown. The change of the fundamental background leads to a change in the character of the market. Traders are looking at a breakout of 0.614 and growth in the future, but ahead of NFP...
On D1 the price is not going to leave the sideways range yet, as we are told by the false breakdown and return to the channel with the subsequent formation of the impulse. Technically, on H4 a pre-breakdown consolidation is forming and the price is gradually pushing up to resistance, which may lead to a breakout and further growth.
Fundamentally, based on previous data, traders expect Friday's employment report to show only 189K new jobs compared to 270,000 in the previous month, and unemployment to remain flat. But it's worth paying attention to the actual data. As a mild reminder of slowing economic growth could weigh heavily on the Fed.
Resistance levels: 0.614
Support levels: 0.61, 0.608
Technically traders believe in the continuation of the growth. A break of resistance may trigger a rally. But unpredictable news may change the market mood and in this case active selling may start.
Regards R. Linda!
TON → Is the coin still bullish? When is $10.00?OKX:TONUSDT still continues to accumulate potential with the purpose of breaking through resistance 7.671 and continuing growth. Bulls are actively defending the zones of interest and continue to hold the positive market structure.
Demonstration of a bullish structure. Continuation of upward movement on W1
Earlier, on the background of the general market correction the price formed a false breakout, which did not lead to a break of the bullish structure or to a strong fall. From the area of interest (without capturing liquidity) buyers are actively buying the asset and again trying to return to the resistance retest, which will only increase the chance of a breakout. Fundamentally and technically, TON looks very positive at the moment. But this does not mean that sellers are unable to change the nature of the price movement.
Conditions under which the upward movement and positive structure will be broken
Resistance levels: 7.671, 8.288
Support levels: 6.727, 6.202
Technically, there is a high probability of a continuation of the upward trend, but there is also a probability of a support break, which will break the uptrend and change the market imbalance. At this point, while the price is consolidating and continues to shrink to resistance, we should consider a bullish set-up.
Regards R. Linda!
I Cannot Short This !!! situation+next targets.Hi.
BINANCE:TRXUSDT
TRX is in an ascending triangle which means the price is about to do a good bullish movement. The price can increase as much as the measured price movement ( AB=CD ) .
The break out needed for increasing further has not happened but it should happen pretty soon.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
GOLD → A change in mood amidst the comments and newsGOLD is testing the previously broken channel boundary. The market maker is driving the price into the liquidity area before the strong news. Powell corrected the direction a bit within yesterday's speech
The chance of a September interest rate cut rises after Fed Chair Powell acknowledged progress on disinflation. Jeremy reverses course slightly to dovish. Markets are awaiting the release of the minutes of the latest FOMC meeting (due later today) to get more information on the Fed's next steps. The regulator needs more data before it can start cutting rates.
Data from the US labor sector is also in focus:
All eyes now turn to ADP's US employment change report after JOLTS showed a rise in job openings on Tuesday.
The next important event for the gold price remains the minutes of the June 11-12 Federal Reserve meeting, which could shed light on the central bank's outlook on rates and inflation, having a significant impact on the value of the U.S. dollar and the gold price.
Resistance levels: 2346, 2352, 2363, 2380
Support levels: 2341, 2328, 2319
Technically, we have buyers appearing on the local change of fundamental background. The bulls are winning within the consolidation. There is a possibility of strengthening, but we should pay attention to the news....
Regards R. Linda!
The last bullish chance of TONCOIN in short-term !!Hi.
KUCOIN:TONUSDT
TON is in an ascending triangle which means the price is about to do a good bullish movement. The price can increase as much as the measured price movement ( AB=CD ) .
The break out needed for increasing further has not happened but it should happen pretty soon.
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
ETHEREUM → Long-squeeze before the rally? To the MOON, to $4800?BINANCE:ETHUSDT continues the phase of correction, the character of which is consolidation. The goal is to gather potential before possible growth on the trend. The target is 4000-4800
The main focus is on ETH-ETF, which, according to rumors, may be allowed to trade on July 2-4. This will be another positive signal for the cryptocurrency community, as this fact may expand the underlying demand for cryptocurrencies and attract additional capital.
Fundamentally, ETH is seeing an increase in the number of active wallets, traders are actively buying call options with strike 4000 and expiration in September, Ethereum Foundation is not selling ETH now as it usually did close to market tops, which together gives positive signs.
The asset price is in a downward correction at the moment. The essence of this movement is the asset's consolidation before further strengthening.
Resistance levels: descending wedge line, 3678, 0.5 fibo
Support levels: 3200, trend line, 0.79 fibo
Technically, liquidation of buyers in the liquidity area formed behind the trend support is possible, long-squeeze may lead to a rally.
Regards R. Linda!
SMCI: Breakout Ahead?Daily Chart:
On the daily chart, SMCI is forming an ascending triangle pattern, a bullish continuation signal. The price has been making higher lows, suggesting accumulating buying pressure.
The resistance level around 972.44 is crucial. If the price breaks above this level, it could signal a continuation of the uptrend. However, if it fails to break through, it might revisit the lower boundary of the triangle or even the 21-day EMA, potentially testing investor sentiment and patience.
Weekly Chart:
In the weekly chart, the stock is exhibiting a flag pattern, typically a bullish continuation pattern formed after a strong upward move. The price has been consolidating between the 38.20% and 50.00% Fibonacci retracement levels, which often act as support during pullbacks. A breakout above the flag pattern's upper boundary could resume the prior uptrend, potentially reaching new highs. Conversely, if the price breaks below the lower boundary and the 50.00% retracement level, it could signify a deeper correction, possibly toward the 61.80% retracement level.
Conclusion:
Considering both time frames, SMCI is currently in a consolidation phase with bullish potential. The key levels to watch are the resistance at 972.44 on the daily chart and the boundaries of the flag pattern on the weekly chart. A break above these levels could confirm the continuation of the uptrend. However, caution is warranted if the stock fails to break these resistances, as it might signal a possible retracement or a period of further consolidation. Therefore, monitoring these levels closely will be crucial in anticipating the stock's next significant move.
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Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
GBPJPY → Breaking the psychological level. What's next, 215.0?OANDA:GBPJPY is getting ready to break resistance (ATH for 15 years). In the long term, there is upside potential to 215.8. A strong bullish formation is forming on H4-D1
On the monthly timeframe, price is in the 195-215 range. Bulls kept the defense above the support, at the same time a pre-breakdown setup is forming on the chart, the focus of which is on the resistance at 200.6. The psychological level may be broken in the nearest future, which may provoke the market to active growth towards 202-205, further towards 215 (medium-term perspective).
Japanese Central Bank is not doing well, today we expect news in the US: CPI, FOMC and FED meeting, inflation data is expected to be neutral.
Resistance levels: 200.6
Support levels: 199.9
Technically and fundamentally, the currency pair has a strong bullish bias. If the bulls are able to consolidate above 200, this zone will become a strong support in the medium term.
Regards R. Linda!
(Update) Bitcoin is Bullish now & many Traders don't see it !!Hello.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
The situation you see seems that Bitcoin has completed its fourth downward wave and now it is time to break the ascending triangle and complete its 5th wave.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
PENINLAND Triangle Breakout.
Volume Buildup.
Above all EMA.
Good for Short Term.
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Keep Learning ,Keep Earning...
Disclaimer : This is not a Buy or Sell recommendation. I am not SEBI Registered. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investments . This is for Educational purpose only.
BITCOIN → Liquidation and retest of support. When is 74K?BINANCE:BTCUSD is not ready to pass through 71500 yet and continues the correction phase, testing local lows and liquidating buyers in order to increase the position of a major player. Consolidation is clearly visible on the higher timeframes.
The resistance area of 71500 plays an important role for the market, a breakout and consolidation of the price above this area will mean that the market is ready to go higher than 74K, but, the market has not yet gathered the potential and, therefore, the consolidation continues. Bitcoin is currently in the range of 71500 - 64500. It is worth paying attention to the upward support, marking a bullish trend, and the 64500 area. The bulls will actively defend this area and if they fail, the price will head towards 61500 - 59000, 56400, but the most likely scenario is a false breakdown of 64500 followed by price strengthening to the resistance of the 71500 range.
Support levels: 64500, rising line, 61500
Resistance levels: 70000, 71500
The coin continues to consolidate. Sooner or later this phase will move to the phase of realization (distribution), based on the general data it may be growth, but no one excludes dump and retest of lower liquids zones before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
ETHEREUM → Rising to 4000? Positive fundamental background...BINANCE:ETHUSDT may end the correction phase and move into the distribution phase, the target could be 4000-4800. Fundamentally, ethereum is receiving positive signals from regulators.
The price is breaking the resistance of the local correction pattern. The coin is trying to go beyond the consolidation range (breaking the bearish wedge resistance). A break of the local high will be a confirmation that the correction is over and the market is ready to move on.
Earlier ETH-ETF was approved, the next stage is confirmation of S-1 form (admission to trading), SEC is actively working with issuers, trading may start this summer.
Also, a positive sign of a strong market is the end of the SEC's judicial investigation against ConsenSys (Ethereum developer). Volumes are rising and like the price, traders are taking this fact positively.
Resistance levels: 3650, 3730
Support levels: 3585, 3480, 3400
The price consolidation above 3650-3730 will confirm the end of the correction. Bulls in this case can take the situation into their own hands after a long accumulation, the target of which may be a test of high, as well as ath.
Regards R. Linda!
TOTAL !CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
Total crypto market cap may rebound from support trendline of ascending triangle
Successful bounce from this trendline lead to bullish continuation , However, a breakdown could trigger a bearish trend, pushing the market towards $1.85 trillion.
Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad.
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
USDJPY Analysis and Trade OpportunitiesLike I mentioned in our weekend live session, I don't see any BOJ intervention happening soon.
The earliest I’m looking is when the market reaches 158.73, with the next level at 159.66.
Around 157.74 is the level I'll be looking for a buying opportunity using the existing strategy that I've used for many years.
Key Levels:
Potential Intervention Levels :
- 158.73
- 159.66
- Buying Opportunity : Around 157.74
Shorting Opportunities :
1-Hourly Chart :
- Bearish Bat Pattern Completion : 158.15
- ABCD Pattern Completion : 158.39 if the Bearish Bat Pattern does not complete
Strategy :
- Buying at 157.74 : Use the tried and tested strategy that has worked over the years.
- Shorting Opportunities : Monitor the 1-hourly chart for potential Bearish Bat Pattern at 158.15 and ABCD Pattern at 158.39.
What’s your trade plan for USDJPY? Any valuable insights you’d like to share? Comment down below.
SFPUSDT → Waiting for a bullish RALLY from 0.8650BINANCE:SFPUSDT shows a beautiful bullish picture. An interesting coin that has been accumulating potential for two years and currently shows bullish prerequisites for a possible growth or even a rally.
The coin continues to push towards 0.8137, a liquidity area that plays a key role in the market. Consolidation continues, but based on the overall situation, the denouement is close enough. It is worth paying attention to the resistance of the ascending triangle on the daily timeframe: 0.8630 - 0.8650. Breakout and consolidation of the price above the key figure can become the reason for activation of the phase of realization of the accumulated potential, which can give us the growth to 1.10, 1.32, or 3.1.
Support levels: 0.8137, 0.7500
Resistance levels: 0.8629, 1.0, 1.3238
The movement is slow, lagging behind the entire cryptocurrency market, but shows interesting prerequisites for a possible bullish momentum. Targets are indicated on the chart
Regards R. Linda!