GOLD → Inside the key range. Emphasis on MA-200 ↑FX:XAUUSD is once again testing the resistance of the 2531 range, but is not able to overcome it yet. At the same time the dollar is forming a flat in anticipation of important news....
“Dovish” expectations of the Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East will continue to support the price of gold. The Israeli army mobilized thousands of soldiers from special units in preparation for a major operation in the northern West Bank.
Despite the bullish sentiment around the gold price, the upcoming Fedspeak could have an impact on the markets.
Technically, the market is in a strong bullish trend, another range is forming and price is confirming its boundaries. Focus on trend support and SMA-200 on H1. If trend support fails to hold the price, gold may reach the lower end of the range, after which it will continue to rise.
Resistance levels: 2517, 2531
Support levels: MA-200, trend, 2501, 2493
As long as the gold is within the ascending channel, we should consider long positions against the support. But if MM decides to lower the price, we should wait for correction to liquidity zones and count on growth from 2486, 2477.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Ascending Channel
EURCAD → A change in sentiment to bearish. MA-200 breakdownFX:EURCAD breaks trend support and spills to the downside as funds increase long positions on the Canadian dollar, whose rise is directly linked to the fall in DXY.
On D1, we see the currency pair returning to the range (1.5040 resistance) after a deep false breakdown. Accordingly, after the short-squeeze the market has potential - liquidity located at the bottom. Accordingly, in the nearest future the market may test 1.497, then 1.493.
BUT! On H4 there is a strong zone of 1.498 ahead. There is a high probability of a false breakdown and correction before a further fall, because below this zone there is a huge pool of liquidity, which will not let the price pass the first time.
Resistance levels: 1.506, 1.5085
Support levels: 1.498, 1.49
The 200&50 SMAs act as resistance, which indicates the current market sentiment. If the market is weak, a correction may not happen, bears may break the level quite quickly. In any case, it is worth watching the price reaction at 1.498
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURCAD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
How I Nailed a Perfect Breakout Trade Using a Simple Strategy*The following Analysis is made by my Trading BOT*
Analysis of Your Trade:
Descending Channel:
Formation and Breakout: The descending channel is well-defined, indicating a corrective phase following an impulsive move. The breakout above the channel suggests a potential reversal or continuation of the prior trend, which appears bullish.
Entry Timing: You entered the trade after the breakout from the descending channel. This entry aligns with a strategy to buy at the break of a corrective pattern, capitalizing on the resumption of bullish momentum.
Resistance Zone (Blue Area):
Initial Resistance Encounter: The blue horizontal line represents a resistance zone where price consolidated and failed to break higher on the first attempt. This is a good spot to watch for confirmation of a breakout or reversal.
False Breakouts: There are some upper wicks visible in this resistance zone, indicating possible false breakouts or liquidity grabs. This suggests that many traders might have been stopped out before the true breakout occurred.
Price Action Post-Breakout:
Sharp Move Down: After the breakout, price made a sharp move down to retest the previous resistance (now turned support), which aligns with the principles of market structure where old resistance becomes new support.
Correction and Continuation: The downward move appears corrective in nature, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows within a descending channel, after which the price breaks out and moves upwards sharply.
Risk and Reward Considerations:
Stop Placement: If your stop loss was placed below the previous swing low or the bottom of the descending channel, this would be a strategic placement to avoid being stopped out by market noise.
Take Profit: Your target seems to be well-placed, considering the previous highs or a key Fibonacci level. The green area likely represents the take-profit zone.
Volume Analysis:
Confirmation with Volume: The volume spike during the breakout from the descending channel and the subsequent move up indicates strong buying interest, which is a good confirmation signal.
Key Takeaways for Future Trades:
Pattern Recognition: Identifying descending channels and their breakouts is a strong skill that can be leveraged in various time frames.
Risk Management: Your trade shows a good understanding of risk management, especially if stops were placed beyond significant levels to avoid market noise.
Confirmation Signals: Waiting for volume confirmation during breakouts is an excellent strategy to avoid false moves.
Suggestions:
Multiple Time Frame Analysis: Ensure that your lower-time-frame trades are aligned with the higher-time-frame trends or setups to increase the probability of success.
Post-Trade Analysis: Continue reviewing your trades like this to refine your entry and exit strategies, especially around key zones like support and resistance.
GOLD → Consolidation in a bull market. Will we reach 2550?FX:XAUUSD is moving into a consolidation phase amid a strong bullish trend as buyers are waiting for catalysts for a new upswing. Buyers are still serious, and Central Banks of major economies continue to actively buy the metal.
Fears of a wider Middle East conflict, have eased, at the same time the US Dollar paused its overnight recovery. The corresponding reaction - flat, we observe on the chart of gold.
Further price direction appears to be northward, as it remains supported by the Fed's dovish sentiment on monetary policy and looming geopolitical risks in the Middle East. In addition, hopes of improved physical gold demand from India and China are likely to limit the decline in the gold price.
Resistance levels: 2517, 2531
Support levels: 2501, 2493, 2477
Technically, since the price is in a range and tested the resistance area earlier, the MM has a liquidity target at the bottom. Consequently, gold may test support (false breakdown) before heading towards resistance again. Emphasis on the channel boundary, 2501, 2493, 2477.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
ETHEREUM → Readiness for realization ↑ Target 3300 BINANCE:ETHUSD ETH is consolidating in front of strong resistance. Bulls do not let the price down beyond 0.5 fibo. amid Friday's news, the cryptocurrency market is reviving and ETH has high chances to pass through 2800.
A false breakout of the resistance of the range is formed, but instead of falling, the coin is consolidating, which is generally one of the pre-breakout nuances. Technically, it would be an ideal condition for me to wait for a prolonged consolidation near 2780-2800 followed by a price advance towards the zone with a breakout target. The liquidation that took place earlier rid the market of an unnecessary part of speculators, after which the whales went into an active accumulation phase, now ETH shows positive preconditions of readiness to go to the intermediate high and resistance of the global range.
Support levels: 2717, 0.5 fibo
Resistance levels: 2780, 2817
The market is bullish, as evidenced by some indicators, technical indicators on the chart, as well as the fundamental background. Accordingly, in the mid-term I expect the price to come out of the consolidation 2780 - 2550 and most likely this exit will be accompanied by a breakout of resistance and growth to 3300.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The bull market is testing ATH. What to prepare for?FX:XAUUSD consolidates above 2508 and flies to the key resistance - the border of the range. High probability of a false breakdown and correction before the subsequent growth.
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The lively price growth is based on the sustained weakness of the U.S. dollar after the “dovish” remarks of U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at a symposium in Jackson Hole on Friday: “the Fed's easing cycle will begin in September”. The hedge asset, meanwhile, is also benefiting from escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East
Focus on US durable goods orders data, which will be released later on Monday.
Technically, strong resistance will be difficult to pass the first time around. MM may test the imbalance zone of 2520 - 2510 before returning for another retest of 2531, the target of which could be a breakout and rise to 2550.
Resistance levels: 2531, 2550
Support levels: 2515, 2508
The global and local trends are bullish and the overall sentiment is clear. This tone is supported by the fundamental background from last Friday. Technically, the continuation of growth should be considered, as there are no prerequisites for a reversal or change of trend at the moment
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
4002: Support from Channel BottomPrice is moving within an ascending parallel channel on weekly TF.
Bottom Support line was retested recently.
Formation of HL is in progress.
(Aggressive) entry can be taken now or
(conservative) entry can be taken after formation of green candle
Ride the trend until channel top.
Manage your risk accordingly.
ARB/USDT 15m / D BB & FVG / ELLIOT / LIQUIDATIONS / FIBOAccording to higher timeframes, the market sentiment is bullish. We are moving within an ascending channel with the potential to rise to 0.7416. To increase the probability of this outcome, the price needs to establish itself above the ascending channel.
Locally, within the range of the daily breaker block (D BB) and the daily imbalance (D FVG), three potential entry points are visible:
1. Liquidity grab (Sellside liquidity)
2. 0.5 Fibo
3. 0.618 Fibo / bottom of the ascending channel
4. The target is the local high, which is at the midline of the channel.
Locally, based on the EFIATR oscillator, volume, and liquidation levels, there is a likelihood of growth. According to Elliott Wave theory, a 5-wave pattern and an ABC correction in the 4th wave are visible, which further increases the probability of upward movement.
EURUSD → ATH update, false breakdown, but there are nuances...FX:EURUSD continues to strengthen, updating the December 2023 ATH and forming a false breakout that could form a small correction before a possible rise.
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The key level is 1.1123, as well as the high of 1.1173.
The struggle for the lower level continues, bears are not letting the price up, expecting to capitalize on the correction before the news.
The focus is on Powell's speech, which will take place at 14:00 GMT. His tone, prerequisites and comments could set a strong medium-term backdrop for the markets.
Technically, 1.1075 has formed a pool of liquidity that could be of interest to MM. But we need to watch price behavior, a small correction and a retest of resistance or consolidation near the level will be a good signal that the bulls are ready to go higher.
Resistance levels: 1.1123, 1.1173
Support levels: 1.1047, 1.1009
The price is currently in the consolidation phase. The correction may start, but if the price turns to retest 1.1123, it is worth considering a breakout strategy and further growth.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
XAU/USD Strategy: Pattern Recognition and Trade ExecutionComprehensive Market Breakdown for XAU/USD (Gold Spot) Based on Multi-Time Frame Analysis
Overview:
The analysis of XAU/USD across multiple time frames (15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour) indicates a complex market structure with both bullish and bearish signals. This detailed breakdown will provide insights into the current market conditions, key patterns to watch, potential trading strategies, and risk management considerations.
1. 15-Minute Time Frame: Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
Pattern Details:
Symmetrical Triangle: This pattern is characterized by converging trend lines connecting lower highs and higher lows, indicating indecision in the market.
Apex Proximity: The price is nearing the apex of the triangle, suggesting a potential breakout is imminent.
Implications:
Neutral Bias: The symmetrical triangle does not inherently suggest a bullish or bearish bias but indicates a potential breakout in either direction depending on market sentiment.
Volume Confirmation: A breakout with a significant surge in volume will confirm the direction of the move.
Trading Strategy:
Bullish Breakout: If the price breaks above the upper trendline with strong volume, consider entering long positions targeting previous resistance levels.
Bearish Breakout: Conversely, if the price breaks below the lower trendline with increased volume, consider short positions targeting previous support levels.
Stop-Loss Placement: Place stops just outside the opposite side of the breakout point to mitigate risks from false breakouts.
2. 30-Minute Time Frame: Mixed Channels (Descending and Ascending)
Patterns Observed:
Descending Channels: Suggest bearish continuation if in a downtrend or a potential reversal if broken to the upside.
Ascending Channels: Suggest bullish continuation if in an uptrend but signal a potential reversal if broken to the downside.
Market Implications:
Corrective Phase: The presence of both descending and ascending channels indicates the market is in a corrective phase, oscillating between support and resistance levels.
Range-Bound Trading: Until a significant breakout occurs, the market is likely to remain range-bound.
Trading Strategy:
Range Trading: Consider buying at the lower boundaries of the channels and selling at the upper boundaries.
Breakout Preparation: Prepare for a potential breakout by setting alerts around key levels (upper and lower boundaries of the channels).
Stop-Loss Placement: Place stops just outside the channels to protect against unexpected breakouts.
3. 1-Hour Time Frame: Rising Wedge Pattern
Pattern Details:
Rising Wedge: This pattern is characterized by higher highs and higher lows within a narrowing upward slope, typically a bearish reversal pattern.
Implications:
Bearish Reversal: The rising wedge suggests that upward momentum is weakening, and a potential breakdown could follow.
Reversal Zone: The price is near the upper boundary of the wedge, which may serve as a reversal zone, especially if a breakout to the downside occurs on high volume.
Trading Strategy:
Short Entry on Breakdown: Enter short positions if the price breaks below the lower trendline of the wedge with confirming volume.
Target Levels: Target the lower boundary of the larger ascending channel or previous support levels as take-profit points.
Stop-Loss Placement: Set stops above the most recent high within the wedge to protect against false breakouts.
4. 4-Hour Time Frame: Broader Rising Channel and Nested Patterns
Patterns Observed:
Broad Rising Channel: Indicates a larger uptrend is intact, providing a bullish bias.
Nested Descending Channels: Smaller corrective patterns within the broader uptrend suggest temporary pauses or consolidation phases before potential continuation moves.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance at 2,540: A break above this level would suggest a bullish continuation and potential for new highs.
Support at 2,470: A break below this level would indicate a significant shift in market sentiment towards bearishness.
Market Implications:
Potential Continuation or Reversal: The larger rising channel gives more weight to potential continuation moves, but the presence of smaller corrective patterns within suggests caution.
Echo Phase: The nested descending channel could represent an echo phase, a corrective move within the larger uptrend.
Trading Strategy:
Long Positions on Break Above 2,540: Enter long positions if the price breaks above this resistance level with confirming volume.
Short Positions on Break Below 2,470: Consider short positions if the price breaks below this support level with increased volume.
Volume Confirmation: Ensure any breakout is confirmed with a surge in volume to avoid false signals.
Risk Management: Use wider stops given the higher time frame context to avoid being stopped out by market noise.
5. Synthesis of Multi-Time Frame Analysis:
Confluence of Patterns: The alignment of rising wedges, symmetrical triangles, and mixed channels across multiple time frames suggests a market at a critical juncture. The presence of both bullish and bearish signals indicates that the market is poised for a decisive move.
Key Takeaways for Traders:
Patience and Discipline: Wait for confirmed breakouts with volume before entering trades. Do not rush into trades without sufficient confirmation.
Adaptability: Be prepared to adapt strategies based on the direction of the breakout or breakdown. Use alerts and monitor key levels closely.
Focus on Higher Time Frame Signals: Higher time frame signals carry more weight and should be given priority when making trading decisions.
Risk Management: Employ tight stops and carefully manage position sizes to limit exposure in case of adverse market movements.
6. Final Recommendations:
Potential Bullish Scenario:
Watch for a break above 2,540 on strong volume across multiple time frames. A confirmed breakout could lead to a bullish continuation towards new highs.
Potential Bearish Scenario:
Monitor for a breakdown below 2,470, especially if supported by a break of the rising wedge and descending channel patterns. A breakdown here would signal a shift to a bearish trend.
By combining these insights with real-time monitoring of market conditions, traders can enhance their decision-making process and capitalize on high-probability trade setups in the XAU/USD market.
SOL → Accumulation in the bullish trend continues ↑BINANCE:SOLUSDT after the shakeout relative to resistance and triangle support continues to consolidate again on the background of the bullish trend.
The priority of the figure is the continuation of the current trend.
The strong fall due to fundamental reasons: the US unemployment rate, profit-taking and panic are quickly bought back, bringing the coin back into the range, which in general hints us at a strong bullish component of the market.
After a retest of 162.45 resistance, a correction is forming, 0.5 fibo may be tested, or trend support before further upside.
Emphasis on triangle resistance, a retest or pre-breakout consolidation may be formed before a breakout.
Support levels: 141.2, 136.7, 126.4
Resistance levels: 162.45, 188.32
Fundamentally, the menet has a good potential. Technically, the price is in a sideways movement, but against the background of a global bullish trend. After consolidation, a distribution is formed and our task is to understand in time when this distribution can start...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:SOLUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOlD → stick to the long positionhello guys.
I believe gold is still bullish and only long positions are logical.
Channel Breakout: The price of gold has broken out of the main ascending channel, indicating a strong bullish move.
Fake Divergence: A fake divergence was spotted, but the price continued to rise, rejecting bearish signals.
Support Zone: The price is currently hovering above a significant support zone (highlighted in blue), which could serve as a springboard for further upward movement.
Target: The next potential target lies near the upper boundary of the newly formed channel, around the $2,550 mark.
Summary
Breakout: Price broke above the main ascending channel.
Support: Holding above a key support zone.
Target: Aiming for $2,550 as the next potential resistance level.
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PEPE → Pre-break consolidation and retest of MA-200BINANCE:PEPEUSDT is consolidating after a shakeout. Bulls are emphasizing the resistance at 0.00000827. On W1, the coin is consolidating above key support, which is a good sign amid the overall bullish trend.
PEPE is trading above trend support and is not going to go down yet. A decrease in volatility is forming - “consolidation” character of the movement. After retesting the resistance, the price returns to the level for another test, which only increases the chances of a breakout of the area. Consolidation of the price above this area may affect the breakout of MA-200, which will be a confirmation of the readiness to go up. Technically, the zone of interest is 0.00001088 and “ob” in the zone 0.000013.
Resistance levels: 0.00000827
Support levels: 0.000007615
We continue to follow the price. The trend is bullish and there are no preconditions that would lead to a trend change. Technically, I expect an attempt to break the upper boundary of consolidation and further growth to the specified targets.
Regards R. Linda!
Technical Outlook on XAU/USD: Rising Wedge and Ascending Channel1. Daily Chart (D1)
Pattern Observed: There is a noticeable ascending channel forming. The upper boundary is marked by a series of higher highs (HH), and the lower boundary is marked by higher lows (HL).
Resistance Zone: The chart indicates a key resistance around the 2,540–2,560 level, highlighted by the upper trendline of the ascending channel.
Support Levels: Key support zones are marked around 2,267 (Weekly LQZ) and 2,353 (4HR LQZ), which coincide with significant price action in the past, potentially serving as strong support areas in case of a pullback.
Market Behavior: The market is currently testing the upper trendline resistance of the ascending channel. A rejection from this level could indicate a potential reversal or a pullback to the lower boundary of the channel.
2. 4-Hour Chart (H4)
Pattern Observed: The 4-hour chart also shows a more defined rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern when it forms in an uptrend. The price is trading near the upper resistance line of this wedge.
Liquidity Zone: An important liquidity grab/rejection area is marked around 2,476, which aligns with previous price consolidations and rejections. This area could serve as a strong inflection point where price could either rebound or break below, leading to a deeper correction.
Highs and Lows: A series of higher highs (HH) are visible, but the formation of a recent lower high (LH) could signal the start of a potential reversal if the price fails to create a new higher high above the previous peaks.
3. 1-Hour Chart (H1)
Pattern Observed: The 1-hour chart presents a more detailed look into the price action within the wedge. The price action is currently within a tightening range, reflecting indecision and possible consolidation before a breakout.
Support and Resistance: Near-term support is identified at the liquidity zone around 2,476, and the resistance aligns with the upper boundary of the wedge pattern.
Potential Setup: A bearish divergence could be developing, given the price action nearing resistance while momentum indicators (not shown here) might start to flatten or decline.
4. Multi-Time Frame Analysis
Higher Time Frame Influence: The weekly flag pattern identified on the daily chart is influencing the overall bullish bias. However, the rising wedge pattern on both the daily and 4-hour charts suggests caution as a potential bearish reversal could occur.
Key Decision Zones: If the price breaks above the upper boundary of the wedge, it would likely aim for the next resistance levels around 2,560 and possibly beyond, towards 2,600+. Conversely, a breakdown below the wedge's lower boundary could accelerate selling towards the 2,353 and 2,267 levels, where major liquidity zones reside.
5. Trading Strategy Insights
For Long Positions: Consider entries upon a confirmed breakout above the upper boundary of the ascending channel/wedge, targeting the next significant resistance levels. Utilize tight stop losses to minimize risk in case of a false breakout.
For Short Positions: Look for bearish confirmation such as rejection from the upper boundary or a breakdown below the support trendline. Potential targets would be the 4HR LQZ and the Weekly LQZ, with stops above recent highs to protect against unexpected volatility.
Conclusion:
The current price action suggests a critical juncture where the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) is at a significant resistance area. Traders should watch for a breakout or breakdown from the wedge pattern on the 4-hour and daily charts to determine the next directional move. Keep an eye on volume and momentum indicators for confirmation, as well as news events that could influence gold prices.
BNX → The coin is stronger than the market. Bullish trendBINANCE:BNXUSDT looks quite strong relative to the entire cryptocurrency market, maintaining an already strong bullish trend. The price is forming a range and it is worth paying attention to its boundaries...
The situation is complicated by panic, bitcoin is unstable and thus creates unnecessary volatility in the whole market. The ideal outcome would be to stop the market and reduce volatility or consolidate so that action can be taken. But in fact BNX looks stronger than the market and this is worth taking into consideration.
The focus is on the strong 1.4252 - 1.2800 range. Because of the challenging technical environment, two scenarios are worth considering (but I like the resistance breakout the best)
If the bulls hold 1.2800 and start gradually approaching 1.4252, we should expect a breakout with further upside to 1.75 range resistance or even higher in the long term.
Support levels: 1.28, 1.1618
Resistance levels: 1.4252, 1.5161
However, if the bulls fail to hold 1.28 and the price breaks the support on the background of high market volatility, it may test 1.1618 - 1.0399 once again before further growth, as the uptrend is still in place
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BNXUSDT.P ;)
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GBPUSD → False breakout of the range boundary FX:GBPUSD is testing wide range resistance in the distribution phase against the backdrop of the falling dollar. The market spent energy on strong growth and there is little chance of a breakout of 1.305, a correction or consolidation may follow.
GBPUSD strengthens the bullish trend, but on its way meets strong resistance - the border of the range. Within the range, the price may form a correction to the nearest liquidity zones, such as 1.297, 1.294 or 0.5 fibo.
Fundamentally, the dollar is declining amid the dovish stance of the Fed. The focus is on Friday's speech of Powell. The official's strong hints may intensify currency movements and volatility in the market.
Support levels: 1.297, 1.294, 1.292
Resistance levels: 1.3044
Technically, a reversal follows after a strong rise and a false breakdown. The range boundaries are still in place and continue to hold the price
Regards R. Linda!
XAU/USD Technical Analysis: Ascending Channel with Multi-TouchThese charts depict an evolving market structure for XAU/USD (Gold Spot) and highlight significant zones and patterns across multiple timeframes.
1. Key Patterns and Channels:
Ascending Channel:
A dominant ascending channel is visible on multiple timeframes. This is a classic continuation pattern, suggesting that as long as price remains within this channel, the prevailing trend (upward) is intact.
The channel's lower boundary has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its validity as a support level.
Weekly Flag:
The “Weekly Flag” mentioned is a larger pattern that might suggest a continuation of a broader trend. Flags typically form after strong moves and consolidate before a potential continuation in the direction of the initial move.
The flag is being “correctively broken,” which hints at a potential retest of the lower boundary or a reversal if the flag fails to hold.
2. Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
15M LQZ / Reversal Zone:
This zone is near the current price and is a high-probability area for a reversal or significant price reaction. The price reacting to this level could determine the short-term direction.
1HR and 4HR LQZ:
These zones are lower and represent potential targets or areas where the price might find support if it breaks down from the current structure.
Daily and Weekly LQZ:
These are even broader zones of interest. Their distance from the current price indicates that if the price moves toward these levels, a significant trend change or a large corrective phase could be unfolding.
3. Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation:
If the price holds within the ascending channel and breaks above the “corrective break” in the weekly flag, this could lead to a continuation of the upward move, targeting new highs.
Bearish Reversal:
If the price breaks below the ascending channel and breaches the 15M LQZ, it might move towards the lower liquidity zones (1HR, 4HR), indicating a deeper correction or a trend reversal.
Multi-Touch Confirmation and Advanced Pattern Recognition:
Multi-Touch Confirmation :
The chart shows multiple touches on the trendlines, especially on the ascending channel's lower boundary. These touches reinforce the trendline's validity and increase the likelihood of a significant move upon the next touch.
ADVANCED Pattern RECON:
The "corrective break" within the weekly flag and the smaller internal channels within the larger ascending channel provide a "pattern within a pattern" scenario, which often precedes significant moves.
Conclusion:
Monitor the 15M LQZ closely as it's a crucial area that could determine the short-term direction of the market. If price reacts strongly at this level, consider the implications for either a continuation (bullish scenario) or a breakdown (bearish scenario).
GOLD → Traders consolidate ahead of news...FX:XAUUSD is forming a trading range. The emphasis is on 2531 - 2485. On the background of profit-taking, before the news, the price may test the support before further growth.
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The fundamental environment is the same: tensions in the Middle East and focus on Powell's comments on Wednesday and Friday.
Today it is worth paying attention to the FOMC meeting, which will take place at 18:00 GMT. People are not interested in the rate cut itself, but in hints, comments and statistics.
Technically, the global bullish trend continues, but before the news traders are not ready to take any important actions to continue the trend. On the background of profit-taking or manipulation, the price may come down to liquidity zones before further rise.
Resistance levels: 2510, 2525, 2530
Support levels: 2495, 2488
The focus of his trading strategy is to build a bullish trend, which is still dominating the gold market. But, it is worth paying attention to the news.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → We're up to 2500. What's next, up or down?FX:XAUUSD is updating its historical high due to fundamental reasons. At the moment the market is struggling for 2500, at the same time the dollar is showing the prerequisites of readiness to go south.
Fundamentally, there is a lot of interest in gold for several reasons:
Crisis in the Middle East, expectations of Iranian action.
A shift in the policy dovish view of the economy by the Fed
Jackson Hole Symposium. Traders are quite positive, in anticipation of Powell's comments on the economy and their impact.
Technically, a strong bullish trend and the realization of accumulation is forming on D1. The price updates the high and closes Friday's session very promisingly (at the weekly and daily high)
A price consolidation above 2510 will be a good starting point to the next psychological levels.
Resistance levels: 2510, 2525, 2550
Support levels: 2495
Technically, the focus is on the 2510 - 2495 range. If a false breakout of resistance is formed, profit-taking or MM actions may provoke price decline to the imbalance zone before further growth. But, a confident consolidation of the price above the resistance may form an impulse to 2525.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Double bottom + false breakdown = reason for growth ↑FX:GBPUSD is changing its course to the north. Double bottom, false breakout, return in trend boundaries, support in the form of MA-200 & MA-50 is the reason to change the market mood and give confidence to speculators.
An interesting and promising picture is forming on D1. The price on the background of the retest is confidently consolidating above the previously broken resistance of the symmetrical triangle, which held the market within its boundaries for quite a long time. Against this background, hedge funds increased their longs in GBP to the maximum for 6 years
Technically, the focus is on the resistance at 1.2894. The primary retest may provoke a small rebound, but against the background of strong buying and weak dollar, the big buyer is still in the game, this fact may lead to the break of the key resistance and further growth to 1.30 - 1. 32
Resistance levels: 1.2894
Support levels: SMA, 1.2818
If the price is able to consolidate above 1.2894, we should expect further growth. But at the moment there is a high probability of a small correction before further growth.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
DXY just printed 3 red soldier pattern on the 1day chart3 red soldiers, also known as 3 black crows, is when the price action forms 3 candles in a row of similar body length with very small wicks on both ends of those candles. This usual signals that there is more downside to come. We can also see here that we have now closed to full candle bodies below the ascending channel for the first time. The measured move breakdown target from the channel is at $96. I would not be surprised if we saw a dead cat bounce back up to retest the bottom trendline of that channel as solidified resistance before the full breakdown Also of note is the 200 weekly moving average (not shown here) is currently around 100.25 so that could provide at least temporary support before it reaches the full breakdown target of the channel. *not financial advice*
Gold on the Brink: Major Price Shift Expected – Will It Surge?Key Observations:
4HR Channel:
The price is operating within a larger ascending channel on the 4HR timeframe. This channel is guiding the overall bullish momentum seen in the price action.
Weekly Flag:
The upper trendline of the weekly flag intersects with the current price movement, suggesting that this is a significant resistance level. The price is showing a potential reversal as it interacts with this upper boundary.
15M Channels:
Ascending Channel at the top of the 4HR channel: This smaller ascending channel within the larger 4HR channel might suggest a short-term bullish continuation, but it's also positioned at a critical resistance level, indicating a possible exhaustion point.
Descending Channel: Indicates a corrective phase within the overall uptrend. The price broke out of this descending channel, which led to the recent upward momentum, aligning with the weekly trend.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation:
If the price manages to break above the ascending channel at the top of the 4HR channel, it could signal a strong bullish continuation. The price may retest the upper trendline of the weekly flag before further advancing.
Bearish Reversal:
Given the significant resistance from the weekly flag’s upper trendline and the upper boundary of the 4HR channel, a rejection here could lead to a decline. This might trigger a correction back down towards the lower liquidity zones (LQZ) marked on the chart.
Considerations:
Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
The 15M LQZ around 2,485-2,477 is crucial. A break below these levels might confirm a bearish reversal, while a bounce could suggest accumulation before another upward push.
Mass Psychology:
As price approaches the upper resistance levels, watch for potential signs of exhaustion or overbought conditions, which could reflect a shift in trader sentiment, leading to a reversal.
Strategic Approach:
Risk vs. Reduced Risk Entry:
If looking to enter a trade, consider the possibility of a reduced risk entry on a corrective pullback to the lower 15M LQZ if the price respects these levels. Alternatively, if the price breaks above the ascending channel, a riskier entry might be taken on the breakout, with stops placed just below the channel's boundary.
Multi-Touch Confirmation:
Watch for a third touch or more on either the upper resistance or lower support levels to confirm a potential reversal or breakout, as per the rule of three discussed in your uploaded materials.
This setup requires careful monitoring, especially at critical support/resistance levels, to determine the next directional move with confidence.
GOLD will rise by +300% in only 3 years! (Better than Bitcoin)I am pretty confident that GOLD will rise by +300% in price in only 3 years! Is gold a better investment than Bitcoin at this moment? Should you sell BTC and buy GOLD? Definitely yes, and I will tell you why!
Gold was in a sideways consolidation period from 2011 to 2024. And this year, in March 2024, the price finally made a strong breakout bullish candle on the monthly chart that changed everything! The big players have a lot of liquidity and then cannot move large amounts of money from one asset class to another with a single order. Also, for them, it's not best to buy all assets at the same time. In 2024, we see that big players are hugely interested in gold again, so this should be your main focus.
Why can Gold go 300% in 3 years and Bitcoin cannot? That would be around 210,000 USD per Bitcoin in 2027, and we know that this is impossible to happen as Bitcoin is statistically dropping every third year by 70% - 90%. Of course, big players are using this high volatility to buy cheap Bitcoin and to force retail investors to sell in a huge loss. They will do it again, as it's extremely profitable for them. Most likely, the price of Bitcoin in 2027 will be below 70k!
From a technical perspective, on the monthly chart we can see that the price of GOLD is inside this ascending parallel channel (since the year 2000). The probability of touching the top of the ascending channel is very high at this moment. From the Elliott Wave perspective, gold is starting an impulse wave (3)! Usually, waves 3 are the strongest! Another indication that huge news is coming for GOLD.
Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.