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Ascending Channel

GOLD → It's a tricky situation. High chance to FB ↘︎OANDA:XAUUSD is moving out of the downside range, but at the same time the DXY reverses and forms a retest of 105.00. The DXY fundamentals are better and there is a higher probability of further dollar gains than gold Note the small chart below (Dollar Index). An important level is marked and we see the price retesting the resistance within one week - a high chance for a breakout and further gains. Gold thus goes beyond the resistance, a correction is formed and if the price does not show a bullish impulse relative to the level of 1916, then we should expect gold to return to the boundaries of the descending range, which will be a false breakout. In this case, the cost of the metal will start to decline again. The market will pick up this maneuver and due to the received liquidity at the false breakout the price may show a strong bearish impulse. But! there is a possibility of a breakout. For this price needs to strengthen above 1916 and above 1919, only then gold can go to 1928. Support levels: 1916.7 Resistance levels: 1919.6 In priority I expect a false breakout of the channel resistance on H1 with the subsequent decline on the background of the dollar strengthening. But there is also a probability of confirmation of resistance breakout with further growth. We follow the price reaction to the mentioned zones. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
21
GBPUSD → Countertrend correction before the fallFX:GBPUSD is forming a local reversal setup, while the dollar, from the opening of the session, is starting to form a correction On the chart below, I pointed out the "double bottom" pattern, which has overcome the base of the pattern. The important level for us is 1.2511. If the bulls hold this area, the price may strengthen to 1.26065. The dollar index has been forming a decline and correction since the opening of the session, which appropriately affects the GBP. But again, we see only local movements, it is not worth talking about a global change of trend now, as everything remains the same. The dollar index has a strong bullish trend, while GBPUSD is changing from an uptrend to a downtrend. The price may soon test MA-50, then MA-200, which may form a false breakout of resistance. Support levels: 1.24868, 1.23725 Resistance levels: 1.26065 I expect a correction to the nearest resistance before a further fall. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
BTCUSD → False breakout of a strong support area BITSTAMP:BTCUSD demonstrates the formation of a sideways flat within the framework of fundamental instability and global uptrend On the chart we see an ascending channel and the formation of a fairly wide sideways range with a width of $6,000. On the W1 timeframe I have outlined a strong support line, which in turn has multiple confirmations of its presence. The flagman is now forming a reaction after a false break of the 25401 support (which I mentioned). We see a strong strengthening to the resistance 26700. And this resistance level separates us from the classic flat price growth. It turns out that at the moment the price is squeezed between 26700-25400 and a breakout of one of these borders can form an impulse in one direction or another. The fundamental part of the cryptocurrency market is mainly waiting for some key data from the US Federal Reserve or data from the SEC, but so far everything is still unclear. Support levels: 25401, 24900 Resistance levels: 26700 I expect a retest of 26700 in the near future. I would like to see a breakout of this line as we have a strong accumulation, but at the moment the market is weak. We have to watch the price reaction to these zones. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT TVC:DXY CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL CME:BTC1! Regards R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
16
GOLD → The trend formation continues. Support retest OANDA:XAUUSD failed to break the resistance of the local descending channel on H1 as the price is trapped inside the global bearish trend on D1. The TVC:DXY correction is failing to yield much as gold is also weakening On yesterday's decline the market is forming a local support level at 1908.4. From the opening of the new session we see a retest of this area without any strong counter-trend pullback. It is clear that the bears are strong at the moment, as evidenced by the futures volumes. The market is in a downtrend, earlier there was a retest of 1916.7, the next target may be the support area (liquidity area) 1903, but from this area, as 1903 is a strong enough support area, a rebound may follow and form a flat or consolidation before a further maneuver. Within the flat, the price may reach resistance. Support levels: 1908. 1903 Resistance levels: 1916, trend line I expect a retest of 1908 with a subsequent breakout and testing of 1903. From 1903 a rebound to local resistance is possible before further fall. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
25
GBPCAD → £ is weakening. Currency pair breaks support FX:GBPCAD breaks trend support and breaks flat support on the background of weakening pound sterling. A retest of the strong support area is formed. The main currency of the UK is also declining to a 3-month low The price breaks the support of the ascending price channel and forms an impulse. The market is forming an attempt to change the trend. In the near future the price may form a trend correction to the nearest resistance levels before further falling. The backdrop of the strengthening dollar is strongly affecting the entire forex market. DXY continues to update global highs, which provokes the weakening of world currencies. The level of 1.70345 and 1.7060 plays an important role for us. A retest of these areas could send the price far down. The moving averages are changing direction. Support levels: 1.70345 Resistance levels: 1.7087 I expect the fall to continue after a slight consolidation under the uptrend support. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
12
💱GBPJPY - A retest of support could strengthen the price GBPJPY is forming a counter-trend correction on the background of the upward bullish trend. Within the correction and descending price channel, a bullish reaction is possible when support is retested TA on the high timeframe: 1) resistance line at 183.76 was broken earlier 2) Bulls are trying hard to hold this area. A false breakout may follow on the back of weakening GBP, but a surge in liquidity may push the price up TA on the low timeframe: 1) A correction forms after a breakout of the ascending price channel 2) The correction is formed within the descending price channel 3) Price may soon test the support area at 183.09 4) From the support, on the background of the global bullish trend, we can expect growth. Key resistance📈: 185.25 Key support📉: 183.09
Long
by AndeWave
11
GOLD → XAU makes onslaught on limit support OANDA:XAUUSD continues to decline. Since the end of the last session the price forms a limit support level and forms a pre-breakdown consolidation. The realization of a false breakout of global resistance begins The price is forging a local support level, but still has not updated the previous one, formed in late August. Consequently, the market has a target in the near term. This target is 1914.8, also the following areas can serve as a target: 1912,8 & 1903.8. Let me remind - earlier we observed the break of the uptrend support on the background of TVC:DXY (dollar index) strengthening. There is also a possibility that the market may form a small correction to 1926 before falling further. At the moment, within the medium-term scenario, I stick to a further fall in the price of gold. The moving averages are forming a reversal signal (the signal is medium-term in nature). Support levels: 1916.7 Resistance levels: 1920 I expect the fall to continue either when 1916 is broken or after the correction to 1920-1925. OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD CAPITALCOM:DXY Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
21
GOLD → The scenario is confirmed. XAU turning red OANDA:XAUUSD is breaking support, MA50 & MA200 and is building momentum, making local lows along the way. Back in Sunday and the first two days of the new week, I talked about an impending fall from 1950. What happened? We see a 250 pip drop. After the retest of 1926, a new bearish impulse is forming. The local resistance level is doing its job. It is not certain, but the price may return to 1926 or 1932 for a retest before a further fall. On Sunday, at the global OANDA:XAUUSD review I talked about an impending decline as the price is testing the resistance of the global descending channel. On the local timeframe, this is all confirmed. The market could define the following zones as local and global targets: 1916, 1903, 1885. I expect the continuation of the fall both in short-term and long-term perspectives. Moving averages demonstrate stopping and change of trend. A strong medium-term signal may be formed in the near future. Support levels: 1916, 1914, 1903 Resistance levels: 1926, 1928, 1932 I expect a continuation of the fall based on the assumptions mentioned above and in earlier ideas. COMEX:GC1! OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD TVC:DXY Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
22
💱GBPCAD - Triangle on the background of the uptrend GBPCAD in the format of a global ascending price channel forms a setup that may resume upward movement after a small stagnation in the flat format TA on the high timeframe: 1) The market is in a bullish trend. Consolidation is forming above 1.71000. 2) The liquidity area on the support side may not let the price down, but on the contrary, push it up and make the price break the resistance TA on the low timeframe: 1) A triangle continues to form. The price is consolidating 2) A false breakout of resistance is formed, the price forms a rebound. 3) Two scenarios are possible: 1) price will form a quick retest of resistance - a situation with a high chance of a breakout. 2) price will reach the support and market reaction will be formed from this area. Key support📉: 1.70987 Key resistance📈: 1.71750, 1.71910
Long
by AndeWave
8
Bitcoin - The next crash is coming! But first, bullish action. The next crash is coming for the price of Bitcoin, but first we need to correct the recent downtrend! This correction can be pretty significant up to the 0.618 FIB retracement, which is at 27,609. You probably want to set your limit orders to short BTC at this level! After a bullish correction, I expect another huge crash, kindly to 20k. But of course we are not going to go down in a straight line; there will be a lot of bullish corrections, so you need to be clever on when to short Bitcoin. Resistance 2 (start of the GAP + 0.618 FIB) is at 27609, and Resistance 1 (end of the GAP + 0.382 FIB) is at 26406. I see only these 2 levels where the bears should step in again! Above the current price, we have an unfilled CME gap exactly between resistance 1 and resistance 2. These gaps tend to be filled, but of course, it's not mandatory. Bitcoin spiked significantly last week on the GBTC news; a lot of people were really optimistic and bought the pump, but a huge crash followed. It's similar to the XRP news: XRP pumped by 100% and then went down below the starting point of the pump. From the Elliott Wave perspective on the chart, we can see a strong impulse wave, which is a sign of weakness for the price. The expectation is that we need to make an ABC bullish correction before continuing to the downside in the downtrend. This is my current outlook on BTC; I am still bearish, but we need to open short at higher prices! This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately. Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Short
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
95
💱GBPJPY - Price may form a bearish momentum GBPJPY forms potentially different signals on different timeframes. But there are localized preconditions that increase the chances for a fall. TA on the high timeframe: 1) Price failed to form an impulse after breaking through the resistance at 183.76. A consolidation with locally declining highs is forming. We see pressure from the sellers. 2) On H4, a kind of reversal pattern is forming in relation to the local resistance area. TA on the low timeframe: 1) The price has been in an ascending price channel for a long time. After the formation of a double top reversal set-up, the market forms an attempt to change the trend. 2) Price breaks the bullish channel support, a correction is formed and we see a strong consolidation forming over the last 24 hours. 3) If the price breaks the support at 184.74, we may see an impulse towards 183.00. 4) If the price returns to the boundaries of the ascending channel - the growth will continue. Key resistance📈: 185.59 Key support📉: 184.74
Short
by AndeWave
4
GOLD → Market is at the 0 point on which the direction dependsOANDA:XAUUSD is testing the 1947 resistance again but after updating the low. The market is in place and is forming flat consolidation. Let me remind - globally the price is testing the resistance of the key descending channel Locally we have a bullish price channel. Globally, a bearish trend is forming on D1, the price is testing the resistance after a month of correction. Consolidation is formed above the resistance of the channel. Distributive growth to the mentioned zone reduces the chances of resistance breakout, and if the price goes below the 1935 area, the market may form a rather strong bearish impulse. We are currently interested in the levels of 1947 and 1939. A breakout of 1947 will confirm an attempt to change the trend and in this case the price will head towards 1980-2000. A decline below 1939 will send the price to 1935, a break of which will be a bearish signal for the medium term. Support levels: 1939, 1935, 1932 Resistance levels: 1947, 1950 I expect a retest of 1939 in the nearest future. Further it will be necessary to follow the price reaction to the level, as well as the area of 1947. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
23
GOLD → Lots of assumptions. False breakout or breakdown? OANDA:XAUUSD on D1 is forming the preconditions for further growth, but there is no such thing on H1. NFP played no role for gold while the dollar is strengthening strongly There are not many key news this week, but they all come out on Wednesday and are all worth paying attention to as the data indicator will give us a medium-term view on pricing: 1) SP Global US Services PMI 2) ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 3) ISM Non-Manufatiruong Prices Monday is a holiday in the US, so we do not expect high volatility. On the hourly timeframe there was a breakout of the resistance of the ascending channel earlier, everyone expected further growth, I told you that there is a chance of a false breakout. On Friday, after the publication of NFP and unemployment the market forms a shakeout in both directions, brings the price back to the boundaries of the ascending channel (false breakout) and in addition, the closing price remains in place of the opening price of the Friday session. The market is weak. BUT! The dollar index TVC:DXY is testing strong resistance around 104.5, if the area is broken, the price will head towards 105.5, and this will negatively affect the formation of the gold price. In this case, if the dollar starts its active growth, then on D1 gold will make a false breakdown of the bearish price channel, which will give a strong bearish signal and a huge potential for the price to fall as much as 6% and almost 1100 points. It is important for us to wait for confirmation of the market action. The dollar index may fail to pass the mentioned mark and form a flat correction, which is another scenario and gold may get a chance to rise to 2000-2100 in this case Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
15
ETHUSD → Retest of support for decline before further growth BITSTAMP:ETHUSD breaks the global trend support. The breakout is not false. Local support at 1631 is forming on the chart. After a small correction there are prerequisites for further decline. A wedge is formed on the global timeframe, the price bounces off the resistance and in the format of correction is heading towards the range support. Before the global growth the market is separated by the global descending line (red dotted line) In the medium term, I expect a rebound from the support of the wedge with further retest of the indicated resistance line. If this area is broken through, the market will get a new potential. Locally the price is in flat, a break of 1631 will lead the price to fall to the range support and the key liquidity area of 1500. A strong bullish reaction is likely to follow from this area, which could lead the market to a recovery. The moving averages are signaling a breakout of support. Resistance levels: 1696, 1750 Support levels: 1631, 1501 I expect a breakout of 1631 and reaching 1501 before a further rise to 2021. Regards R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by RLinda
17
🥇GOLD - Retest of global resistance. Trading in the channelGold on the global chart is testing the resistance of the key descending channel. There is little chance of a breakout of this area as gold's growth has been distributive. A pullback after a false breakdown may follow TA on the high timeframe: 1) A retest of the descending channel resistance is formed 2) The retest is formed after a month, that's a lot of time for price to break resistance the first time around 3) The chance is higher that the decline will start. 4) DXY is testing an important level, if a bullish bounce happens, gold will start falling TA on the low timeframe: 1) A breakout of the ascending channel is forming, but at the same time the price is bumping into a strong descending resistance line 2) The price can no longer update the local high, the retest forms a local high below the previous one. 3) If the price returns to the channel, under the 1942 area, it will start falling towards 1930. Key support📉: 1942 Key resistance📈: 1948
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AndeWave
17
GOLD → Pre-breakdown consolidation near resistance OANDA:XAUUSD makes another jump and updates the high of almost 4 weeks ago. All this is happening after breaking the resistance of the ascending channel. Locally, a symmetrical triangle is formed, which can form an impulse both up and down, the main idea here is that consolidation is formed, which indicates that the market is preparing for further action. Within the bullish impulse the price tests the previously mentioned resistance level 1947 and forms a pre-breakdown consolidation. This level is not a target level and most likely the growth may continue. There is also a possibility that a small correction may be formed before further growth. Moving averages indicate a strong bullish trend. Support levels: 1943, 1942 Resistance levels: 1947 I expect another retest of resistance with a chance of a breakout and further growth towards 1950-1955. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
35
GOLD → False breakdown or breakdown? What's next? OANDA:XAUUSD forms a false break of 1919 support and forms a rally. Yesterday I talked about consolidation on D1, relative to resistance, where we should expect a breakout. It happened, but the momentum was bigger than expected As part of the bullish momentum and breakout of the consolidation, the price also breaks the resistance of the ascending channel, which can be interpreted differently, depending on the view. 1) It can be a breakout followed by consolidation of the price in the green zone, which gives us a buy entry point and a long position scenario. In such a case, price could consolidate to 1947 quite quickly 2) It could be a false breakout. If the consolidation is prolonged and there is no bullish reaction, a false break of trend support is likely to happen, for us the important level will be 1932, consolidation below this line will allow us to enter the trade comfortably. We follow the price reaction on the chart and look for confirmation of signals. Support levels: channel boundary, 1932. Resistance levels: 1937.6, 1947 A flat is forming on d1, within this pattern there is a chance that the price will reach resistance, but globally, the situation with further price growth still looks suspicious. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
GOLD → Gold is consolidating, there could be a lot of traps.OANDA:XAUUSD updates the local high, forms a retest, but cannot pass the area. The price is forming a correction that may reach the trend support area Within the medium-term perspective on D1, the price is forming a setup for medium-term sales, but there is no confirmation yet. On the local chart the price is in an uptrend and is preparing to continue rising. On the d1 chart on the left we see consolidation formation for 4-5 days, most likely gold may try to break the resistance to reach the liquidity area of 1925 and 1935, but from the mentioned resistance area in the medium term price may react in a bearish way. At the moment gold is slowly rising and at the same time forming strong bearish impulses, the market is saving energy to move in one direction or the other, partly the situation depends on the DXY dollar index. Support levels: 1916, 1910 Resistance levels: 1920, 1925, 1930 I expect consolidation in the specified range, a false breakout of one of the trend boundaries or flat is possible, while the market is consolidating it is difficult for us to determine the exact future direction. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
13