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Germany's DAX Threatening Big Break Below Trend SupportGermany's DAX index has had a solid 2024 so far, but the shine may be coming off the bullish technicals as we head into the second half of the year. After hitting a record high near 19K in May, the index has seen its gains stall out. Prices retreated to bullish trend line support in mid-June, and with bulls failing to drive a convincing bounce off that level, the DAX is now at risk of a bearish breakdown below that level of dynamic support. A breakdown could target the March/April closing lows in the 17.7K zone next.
FOREXCOM:GER40
by FOREXcom
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 52 - AUDUSD - (2nd July 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing AUDUSD, starting from the 3-Month chart. If you want to learn more, check out my profile.
by Road_2_Funded
JPY remains under selling pressureThe Japanese government is currently enjoying the weaker yen, as it helps boost the economy. However, this is only a short-term solution, as eventually, people's anger about rapidly rising prices might overshadow that government's positivity. #audjpy EASYMARKETS:AUDJPY FX_IDC:AUDJPY Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
why both gold and dollar rising?While gold and the US dollar typically have an inverse relationship, there are scenarios where both can rise simultaneously. Here are some reasons why this might happen: 1. Global Economic Uncertainty Safe Haven Demand: In times of significant global economic uncertainty or geopolitical tensions, both gold and the US dollar can be seen as safe-haven assets. Investors might flock to both for safety, driving up their prices simultaneously. 2. Inflation Concerns Inflation Hedge: If there are rising inflation concerns, investors might buy gold as a hedge against inflation. Simultaneously, if the US Federal Reserve signals or implements interest rate hikes to combat inflation, it could strengthen the US dollar. Thus, both assets could rise together in response to inflation fears. 3. Diverse Investor Behavior Diverse Risk Perception: Different investor groups might have varying risk perceptions and strategies. Some might be buying gold due to concerns about fiat currencies and long-term value retention, while others might be buying the US dollar because of its short-term liquidity and stability. 4. Central Bank Policies Monetary Policy Divergence: If other major economies are implementing more aggressive monetary easing compared to the US, the US dollar might strengthen relative to other currencies. Simultaneously, if these policies stoke fears of currency devaluation or economic instability, gold might also rise as a hedge. 5 . Mixed Economic Data Mixed Signals: There might be mixed economic data where certain indicators (like strong GDP growth or low unemployment) support a stronger US dollar, while other indicators (like high inflation or high debt levels) support higher gold prices. 6. Short-term Market Dynamics Market Speculation: Short-term trading dynamics and speculative activities can cause both gold and the dollar to rise simultaneously. Traders might be reacting to news or events that have complex implications for both assets. 7. Real Interest Rates Real Interest Rates: If real interest rates (nominal interest rates adjusted for inflation) are low or negative, both gold and the dollar can rise. Investors might seek gold as a store of value while also moving into the US dollar for its relative stability. Recent Examples Pandemic Response: During the COVID-19 pandemic, there were periods when both gold and the US dollar rose. This was due to massive economic uncertainty prompting safe-haven buying of gold, while global demand for liquidity and safe assets boosted the US dollar. Geopolitical Tensions: Events like geopolitical conflicts can lead to simultaneous rises in both assets as investors seek safety in gold and the US dollar. Conclusion While the typical relationship between gold and the US dollar is inverse, various factors like global uncertainty, inflation concerns, diverse investor behaviors, central bank policies, mixed economic data, and short-term market dynamics can lead to both rising together. Understanding these factors helps in comprehending the complex interactions in financial markets.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by realmillionairefx
xauusd analysis for the day 1/07/2024xauusd is following a neutral pattern for the day before European market opening. we will provide major support and resistance for the recent market scenario. a further update will be given based on market momentum changes, right now xauusd is following a ranging market. Support 2321 2314 2306 2297 2288 2282 Resistance 2332 2337 2347 2362 2378 2396 these support and resistance can be used as bullish and bearish targets for your trades, PLEASE BOOST US LIKE AND SHARE US SO THAT WE WILL BE MOTIVATED TO GIVE MORE UPDATES.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by realmillionairefx
How much more will the yen continue its devaluation?Still no support from the BoJ to stabilize their Japanese yen. But there is a reason for that... #USDJPY EASYMARKETS:USDJPY FX_IDC:USDJPY Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
Key Resistance and Potential Decline in USDT Dominance!Key Resistance and Potential Decline in USDT Dominance The chart shows a strong resistance level around 5.08%. USDT dominance has tested this level several times but hasn't been able to break through. 📉 Current Price Action: USDT dominance is currently struggling to break past this resistance, shown by multiple rejection candles. 📈 Potential Movement: If this resistance level holds, USDT dominance might drop towards the ascending support line. The chart suggests a possible decline, as shown by the black arrow. 🔻 Support Levels: The ascending trendline below acts as strong support. If USDT dominance falls, it might bounce back from this level. 📊 Indicators: The supertrend indicator on the chart shows a bearish trend. 🔍 Analysis Summary: This analysis highlights the current resistance level for USDT dominance and the potential decline towards the support line. Keeping an eye on these levels can help anticipate market movements. Stay tuned for more insights and detailed analysis!
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
QTUM/USDT Weekly Update!Hello everyone, I’m Cryptorphic. For the past seven years, I’ve been sharing insightful charts and analysis. Follow me for: ~ Unbiased analyses on trending altcoins. ~ Identifying altcoins with 10x-50x potential. ~ Futures trade setups. ~ Daily updates on Bitcoin and Ethereum. ~ High time frame (HTF) market bottom and top calls. ~ Short-term market movements. ~ Charts supported by critical fundamentals. Now, let’s dive into this chart analysis: QTUM is holding the supporting trendline at $2.5. This is a crucial juncture for QTUM to determine whether it will continue the downtrend or make a rebound from the current support level. Key Observations: ~ Primary Support: $2.5. ~ Lower Support: $1.11. ~ Primary Resistance: 50 SMA at $3.15. ~ Long-term Target: $27-$30. ~ Bearish Move: Breakdown below the primary support. ~ Bullish Move: Price holding the primary support and rebounding above the 50 SMA. The price speculation is in a higher time frame and for educational purposes only. Please do not consider it for scalp trading and futures trading. DYOR. NFA. Please hit the like button to support my content and share your thoughts in the comment section. Feel free to request any chart analysis you’d like to see! Thank you! #PEACE
Long
by Cryptorphic
HangSeng likely more downside till 17000Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
ICMARKETS:HK50Short
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
usd still bias on the upsideHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. I am in general still bias on upside for USD but do note that it is coming to a key rejection zone on the weekly chart..but shall monitor till something really changed... Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
TVC:DXYLong
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
SIGA Technologies Analysis 6/24Disclosure: As of 6/24 I am long SIGA Technologies NASDAQ:SIGA SIGA Technologies is a bio pharmaceuticals company that is in the public health market. They develop and sell products to treat Smallpox, Ebola, and other public health threats. Management Effectiveness: The company has been consistently profitable since 2018, with margins averaging 30%-40% in recent years with only a few unprofitable quarters. Very quickly after the company became profitable they brought the debt to essentially nothing. In recent years the company's return on equity has been above 25%, indicating their research spending is used effectively. The company has a large cash position for potential investment in research. Valuation The company trade at a P/E of 6 and a p/cf of 8 they have paid special dividends for several years and could potentially implement a stock buyback program, at least that is something I would be considering if I were a board member (Disclosure: I am not a board member obviously). Summary NASDAQ:SIGA is a well run company, trading at an excellent valuation if you are willing to take the risk of a concentrated portfolio of products and volatile returns. They have several positive tailwinds including: International Expansion, Re-Valuation of the company due to implementation of a dividend or buyback policy, and increased public health awareness by international governments.
NASDAQ:SIGALong
by sihen999
4
USDCHF: Key Level Rejection, Fibonacci Retracement ExpectedPrice recently broke out of the daily (D) descending channel. It then pushed up to meet the daily (D) 50% Fibonacci retracement level, converging with resistance. Price then rejected this level and pushed down to retest support before breaking out of the four-hour (4H) downtrend line, suggesting strong bullish momentum. Price then pushed up and reached the daily (D) key level and converged with yet another 50% Fibonacci level. Price has proceeded to reject this level, highlighting temporary reversal and suggesting a possible retracement. I expect price to temporarily retrace to around the 38.2% level before continuing to the upside. **Rationale:** **Rationale:** ~ (L1): Breakout of channel (D) ~ (L2): Retest of support (D) ~ (L3): Break of trendline (4H) ~ (L4): Retest of support ~ (L5): Fib retracement convergence + Rejection ~ (F1): 38.3% Fib retracement **Disclaimer:** My trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations. --- #scalping #intraday
Short
by Forexity
Assessing Forex Dynamics: EUR/USD Analysis📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. We're focusing on the EUR/USD pair, which shows the value of the Euro against the US Dollar. This analysis will help us understand whether the US or European economy is stronger. 🧩 To better compare these currencies, it's helpful to also consider the DXY chart. For a full DXY analysis, you can find the link in the description. In that analysis, I mentioned that the DXY is likely to trend downward in the long term because the interest rate has reached 5.5%, which is quite high. The US might soon need to start lowering interest rates. However, since the inflation target in the US is 2%, the interest rate could reach 6% to control the current 3.3% inflation and bring it down to 2%. 💶 On the other hand, the economic situation in Europe is better than in the US, with both better interest rates and lower inflation. The average interest rate in Europe is 3.75%, and the average inflation rate is 2.4%. So, if the US eventually begins to lower its interest rate, the EUR/USD could start moving upwards. 🔍 Let's look at the chart. In the weekly timeframe, we see a downtrend in the High Wave Cycle, which is currently undergoing a correction up to 0.618. In the Medium Wave Cycle, within the downtrend correction, there's an uptrend that, after reaching 0.618 of our larger cycle, entered a correction phase down to 0.5. Currently, in the Low Wave Cycle, we are ranging, and we need to see whether the HWC or MWC will dominate to determine the next market move. 🧲 In the LWC, there's also a descending trendline that has brought the price down to the middle of the range box, and now the price is at 1.06245. This trendline could start a bearish momentum, but since it formed within a range box, it's unreliable. 📉 If 1.06245 is broken, the price could move down to 1.05195. A break of 106.723 in the DXY could confirm this breakdown. If the 0.5 area, which overlaps with 1.05195, is broken, the price could move to at least the 0.618 Fibonacci level. However, since the HWC is bearish, the downtrend might be much more significant. 📈 If the trendline is broken to the upside, after the trigger, we can expect the price to move to the top of the range box. In the DXY, a break of 104.5 could be suitable for confirmation. The main long trigger is 1.10464. The first barrier for the price is 1.12015, overlapping with the 0.618 level, which might hold the price for a few weeks. But if this area is surpassed, the price could move to 1.16558. 🎲 Moving to the daily timeframe, there's a gently sloping ascending trendline supporting the price, and a compression has formed in recent days. There's a hidden static line, not immediately apparent, but I've marked it in black on the chart. 📈 For a long position, we can enter riskily upon breaking 1.07370, but as I mentioned, it's a risky position, so the risk taken should be less than usual. The next long trigger is 1.09023, and if this trigger breaks, we can move to 1.11055. The final long trigger is the break of the range box top at 1.11055. 📉 For a short position, we first need to wait for the ascending trendline to break and then for 1.06687 to break. In this case, we can move to 1.06136, the main trigger for breaking the trend. Breaking this support can take us to the bottom of the range box. The third short trigger is breaking the bottom of the range box at 1.04610. 📝In conclusion, the EUR/USD pair is at a crucial juncture with potential for both upward and downward movements depending on key trigger levels. Keep an eye on economic indicators from both the US and Europe, and use strict risk management strategies to navigate the market. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in forex trading. Adhere to strict capital management principles, use stop-loss orders, and aim for an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a currency pair you'd like me to analyze next.
Long
by itsparham96
4
USDCAD: Multiple rejections, temporary bullish biasPrice has recently rejected the daily (D) ascending channel support level. Price then pushed up and broke out of the one-hour (1H) descending channel to form a higher high. Price then pulled back to retest support, forming a higher low. I expect price to continue to the upside. **Rationale:** - Ascending Channel Support (D) - Multiple Rejections - Elliott Wave Completion - Descending Channel Breakout (1H) - Higher High - Retest of Support - Higher Low **Disclaimer:** My trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations. --- #scalping #intraday
Long
by Forexity
1
All eyes on the PCE todayWe are waiting to see what's going to happen after the release of the Fed's preferred inflation metric, the PCE. EASYMARKETS:EURUSD could one of those exciting pairs to watch today, but wait for the number to come out first. Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
Sell EUR/USD Bearish ChannelThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0700, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0653 2nd Support – 1.0634 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0730. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
21
AUD/USD - H1 Chart - Wedge BreakoutThe AUD/USD FX:AUDUSD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.6644, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.6611 2nd Support – 0.6590 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.6663. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
12