Earning report Today! Can $AMD breakout the downtrend line?
Technically, AMD is closing to the downtrend line again. There was a FAKEOUT three weeks before.So will NASDAQ:AMD truly breakout the downtrend line this time?
It will depends on the earnings report today!
Here are 3 Things I'm Watching in NASDAQ:AMD 's Earnings on Tuesday
1. MI300 Series: Flagship AI GPU
• Their new Instinct MI300 series GPUs are built to compete directly with NASDAQ:NVDA H100 chips, supporting both training and inference for large-scale AI models. The MI300 offers high memory capacity and multi-chip module (MCM) architecture, making it suitable for AI workloads that require massive data processing. Early deployments include partnerships with key cloud providers like NASDAQ:MSFT Azure -- which is leveraging AMD’s GPUs for its AI infrastructure.
2. AI-Powered Accelerated Processing Units (APUs)
• Their APUs, which combine CPU and GPU capabilities on a single chip, are designed to handle AI tasks efficiently in edge computing and consumer applications. For instance, AMD’s latest Ryzen AI-powered APUs provide AI acceleration directly in laptops -- aiming to improve tasks like image processing and natural language interactions.
3. Capturing AI Market Share
• Their approach is centered around capturing a larger share of the rapidly growing AI semiconductor market, which is projected to surpass $400B by 2030. As AI models become more sophisticated, they require increased computational resources. AMD’s focus on energy efficiency and competitive pricing allows it to offer alternatives to Nvidia, making it more appealing to enterprises managing rising energy costs and budget constraints. Unlike Nvidia, which has historically focused on high-end GPUs, AMD’s diverse product mix, including CPUs, APUs, and data center GPUs, enables it to serve a broader range of AI use cases. This could lead to more consistent revenue growth as AI applications proliferate beyond just data centers -- spreading into edge devices and personal computing.
AMD
AMD Advanced Micro Devices Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMD before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMD Advanced Micro Devices prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 160usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-1,
for a premium of approximately $6.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Trade 1: AMD, long, Entry: 158.90, Stop: 156.20, Timeframe: dail*Trade Type:** long
**Ticker:** AMD
**Entry Price:** 158.90
**Stop Loss:** 156.20
**Take Profit 1:** 164.12
**Take Profit 2:** 168.82
**Risk/Reward Ratio:** 1.97
**Timeframe:** daily
**Trading idea only, not financial advice. Any use of this information is solely at the user's own risk.**
AMD correction done. TIME TO RISE! Huge bargain deal.AMD went on a good correction phase after touching a recent peak at 220 area following the market's long term trim action. Profit takers has swept the market even the top guns with the likes of NVDA, TSLA, AMZN, AAPL.
Based on recent data, it looks like the market's correction has more-or-less come to an end -- and net positioning for most blue chip stocks has already commenced.
AMD is one stock which you can't dismissed it's price growth potential after that huge discount drop. You know it's a bargain when a growth company gives it to you -- and not just a growth company, a major chipmaker / tech giant which the world can't live without. with the advent of AI and modern tech revolutions, AMD is one stock you can bet in the next 50-100 years.
Based on recent daily data, we are currently bouncing off a major order block support at 150.0 area -- and a significant shift has been spotted. More series of ascending action is expected from this range -- with a possible breakout of its recent peak at 220 this year.
This one, I won't doubt.
Spotted at 150.0
TAYOR.
AMDHello community,
Daily chart in log.
The channel is bullish, but we are below the 200-period simple moving average.
On the chart we see the volume zones, just above the price.
I have indicated the price targets in orange on the chart
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
► Thank you for boosting, commenting, subscribing!
Focus on demand in semiconductors, NVDA leading the way.While there are minor disputes among smaller semiconductor firms, the real focus should be on demand. NVDA is making tremendous strides in the data center space. My long-term target is around $171, but in the short term, we need a weekly close above $140.76 for confirmation. I'm a buyer near $141, with $136.15 standing out as the most attractive entry point in the support zone. Falling below this level could lead to short-term frustration.
Advanced Micro Devices | AMD Team RED is READY
As with any competitor, a quarterly earnings report from a peer can provide great insight into the market. For Advanced Micro Devices, the Q2'23 earnings report from Intel provides great views on the surging demand for AI chips and a rebound in PC demand crucial for AMD
The most immediate signal from Intel beating Q2'23 estimates and guiding up for Q3 is the rebound in PC demand. Most importantly, the inventory correction appears over with OEMs no longer digesting chip inventory.Back in Q3'22, AMD shocked the market by cutting PC revenue estimates by $1 billion. The company quickly went from $2 billion in quarterly CPU sales for PCs to less than $1 billion.
Intel still reported Q2 Client Computing revenue was down 12% YoY to $6.8 billion, but the number was up $1.0 billion sequentially. The chip giant guided up Q3 revenue to $13.4 billion, up $0.5 billion sequentially.In Q1'23, AMD reported that client revenues had fallen further to only $739 million. AMD CPU revenues are now far over $1 billion per quarter below the peak levels providing substantial upside potential when the PC market normalizes.
Intel discussed a mixed picture for their business in the near term due to AI. The chip giant is seeing a wallet share shift from the sever CPU spend towards AI chips.The move is both good and bad for AMD. The company has the MI300 AI GPU chip hitting the market in Q4 providing a strong competitor to the booming demand for the H100 from Nvidia, but the chip isn't out on the market yet.
In the near term, AMD may see some suppressed data center demand while heading into 2024. Ultimately, the company should see upside from AI demand for the MI300 along with the Alveo AI accelerator.On the Q2'23 earnings call, Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger suggested the AI pipeline for 2024 had surged to $1 billion: In my formal remarks, we said we now have over $1 billion of pipeline, 6x in the last quarter.
Going back a few months, Morgan Stanley had estimated the AI potential for AMD was only $400 million with upside potential to $1.2 billion. The Intel forecasts would suggest the AI potential for AMD is far higher next year when the MI300 is in full-scale production.
Nvidia guided up current quarter sales estimates by 50% to over $11 billion. The company suggested data center sales would reach $7+ billion in the quarter.
AMD has only seen data center sales reach $1.3 billion in quarterly sales leaving a huge gap from Nvidia. Even Intel still hit $4.0 billion in data center sales during Q2'23, though the amount is down nearly 20% form 2022 levels due in part to losing market share to AMD.
The big issue for AMD is whether data center sales growth stalls causing a miss to 2H sales targets while booming AI demand ultimately boosts sales starting in Q1'24, or maybe Q4. The chip company peaked at quarterly sales of $6.6 billion back Q2'22 and the current quarterly analyst estimates aren't very aggressive.
A rebound in PC demand to more normalized levels places AMD back at the Q4'23 revenue target of $6.5 billion alone. A PC rebound to normal digestion ($2 billion quarterly run rate) along with higher data center or AI demand leads to vastly higher revenues in 2024.
The current analysts aren't even factoring in much growth in the Q2'24 revenue estimate of $6.76 billion. The amount is just 4% upside from Q2'22 despite potentially surging demand from AMD entering the AI GPU space.
AMD is set to report earrings after the close on August 1. Investors should focus less on the Q2 numbers or even Q3 guidance and focus more on a return to more normalized revenue levels plus the upside from AI.Our view has long held that AMD has the earnings potential of $5 to $6 and the AI opportunity is all upside to this view.
The key investor takeaway is that AMD is still $50 below all time highs while Nvidia has soared over $100 above the late 2021 highs. Investors should use the current weakness in AMD to load up on the stock while leaving some capital to buy any weakness following Q2 earnings due to the potential for near term disappointment leading to long term opportunities.
AMD (Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.) BUY TF D1 TP = 184.94On the D1 chart the trend started on Aug.8 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 184.94
This level, which I have outlined above, is certainly not a “finish” level. But it is the level that has the “highest percentage of hits on target.”
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
LRCX in the same position and price AMAT was this time last yearLRCX following in the foot steps of AMAT to $295? AMAT also repeating the same move it made a year ago right now as well. Both are in the same field both are involved in the production of Ai processors and the tools to make them. I think its ironic that LRCX just happens to be in the same pattern on the same month AMAT started its nose bleed run up.
Option shares right now are expensive for a $74 stock no matter how long or short you look. Somethings going on and the companies in the semiconductor industry know it. Nvidia and AMD prices right now are very inviting which means they had to reduce their prices either by splitting them or something but they must know that a boom is about to happen and they needed to make their prices in line with what is about to happen. I haven't looked at stock options in over a year and I was surprised to see everyones prices had gone up. Yet Semiconductors all seem to be price point. With the materials side looking Bullish as hell. I am just saying keep your eyes open on this because its about to happen all over the place.....a shift a huge shift.
by iCantw84it
10.16.24
AMD: 4H Golden Cross is the best buy signal you can get.Advanced Micro Devices may be having a noticeable correction that turned the stock back to neutral both on the 4H and 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.728, MACD = 5.610, ADX = 40.223) but it just formed the strongest bullish pattern of all: a Golden Cross on the 4H chart. In the past 2 years we've been given another two 4H Golden Crosses and both turned out to be the utmost bullish validation for enormous rallies, which in both cases extended at +141% from the bottom. We expect another such run and now we have the best confirmation (TP = 290.00).
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80% gains AMD/NVDA Pairs Trade: Best Level to BUY/HOLD AMD🔸Hello traders, today let's review 4hour price chart for AMD.
Price structure is bullish inverted H*S setup with reload zone bulls
near 150 usd, currently expecting rejection near overhead resistance.
🔸AMD is trailing behind NVDA so far this year, YTD gains of 17%, NVDA
YTD gains at 167%. AMD is trailing behind NVDA massively and expecting
mean reversion / catch up trade later in 2025. AMD market cap sits
at 250 bln USD so it's an easy double from here. Fair value for AMD
is 500 bln USD, NVDA is valued at 3 T right now, which is massive.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Bulls wait for rejection from overhead resistance to confirm IHS setup / near 175 usd and wait for pullback/correction into mirror S/R level at 150/155 USD. BUY/HOLD setup, SL fixed at 125 USD TP1 is 250 USD TP2 is 300 USD in 2025. This is a swing trade setup with 80%+ upside potential, naturally more patience required to hit targets.
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Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Intel GAP fill then ATHLong term calls for about two years out on INTEL is a sure fire play.
Leadership restructuring, AI chips, and a company with too much to lose.
Intel is still the number one choice for any windows pc.
It did not deserve to go down, easiest play in history, and is not going to dip under MA180, if it gets near the MA180 I would load up on a position surely or average down. Its climbing slowly and I doubt the company would get sold, if it did I can only see it becoming more bullish.
Feel free to voice your opinions in comment section bellow.
Thanks
Ben
AMD broke above the Lower Highs and confirms a massive rally.It's been a while (August 13, see chart below) since we last looked into the Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), which was a strong long-term buy signal, with the price reacting very favorably, having already started its new Bullish Leg:
Today we take it to the 1D time-frame where where the scale of where the price might be compared to the previous two mega rallies since the October 13 2023 bottom, may be clearer. Remarkably, the last two rallies were both of around +142%. In symmetrical terms we are around the 0.618 Fibonacci level mark where both Bullish Legs had a technical pull-back.
The key bullish development of last week though has been the break above the Lower Highs trend-line, which in line with previous Legs, has been the confirmation of the start of the long-term rally. As a result, we have now validated that the Bearish Leg is behind us and any pull-backs this structure gives, will be buy opportunities.
Our Target is intact at $295.00.
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Bulls Eye AMD: Key Breakout Levels Ahead**Brief News Update:**
AMD will host the "Advancing AI" event on October 10, 2024, where it will unveil its latest Instinct MI325X AI accelerators and 5th generation EPYC processors. These products target high-performance computing and AI applications, with the MI325X offering up to 288 GB HBM3E VRAM and 6 TB/s bandwidth. Updates for the Ryzen AI PRO 300 series chips are also expected, potentially hinting at future line-ups like Strix Halo. The event will be streamed live via AMD's website and YouTube channel. AMD is expected to announce its quarterly earnings on October 29, 2024.
**Monthly Timeframe Analysis**
Five months ago*, I highlighted the Scallop formation, which has since broken out to the downside. However, the bulls managed to push the price back into the Scallop zone, as the closing price consistently remained within the range. This suggests that the bulls are keen on keeping the price above $140. The last two white bullish candles indicate a strong move, and my DTMI indicator points to a potential trend reversal. However, keep in mind that the white dot is on a still-open candle, so it is not yet confirmed. The #stoch RSI indicates there is still room for upward movement.
**Weekly Timeframe Analysis**
Looking more closely at the regular candles, while the broader picture suggests room for further upside, the trend needs to break first. We see a lower high (LH) and a lower low (LL) printed. The $187.28 level needs to be broken to look higher. If this doesn't happen, we may print another lower high (LH), and the previous low will likely be tested again, with a possible drop toward the psychological level of $100. It's crucial to monitor the market #structure closely, as the breakout of the resistance line occurred without above-average volume. This may mean the volume is yet to come, perhaps with the event on October 10.
**4H Timeframe Analysis**
I also want to discuss the W-formation, where the price is currently closing a gap. However, we must still account for a potential pullback to the underlying mini-gap. If the $162 level holds, this formation could present a good point for a trend reversal. As mentioned earlier, the $187 level must be broken to confirm the upward structure.
**Conclusion:**
The price shows signs of a potential upward movement on both the monthly and weekly timeframes, with a few critical resistance and support levels to watch. The upcoming event on October 10 could act as a catalyst for further upward movement, but there isn't enough volume to confirm this yet. Be mindful of pullbacks and the trend.
On the Weekly timeframe 5 months ago*, since April, we’ve seen a choch forming with lower highs and lows, signaling a downtrend below the EMA 50. A bullish reversal in January 2023 led to an uptrend, reaching an ATH on March 4, 2024. The current pullback to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, supported by the EMA 50, aligns with an inverted ascending scallop, indicating a potential turning point as the stoch hits the floor.
**Resistance Levels:**
- $313 (Scallop target)
- $227 (#ath)
- $187.28
**Support Levels:**
- $162 (W-formation)
- $140
- Psychological level of $100
*Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and assess your risks carefully.*
Weekly Recap & Market Forecast $SPX (Oct 6th—> Oct 11th)Looking Ahead:
Next week will bring several key events:
Monday: Fed Speak; Nvidia AI Summit ( NASDAQ:NVDA )
Tuesday: PepsiCo Earnings ( NASDAQ:PEP )
Wednesday: Fed FOMC Minutes; 10-Year Bond Auction
Thursday: CPI Inflation, Jobless Claims; Tesla Robotaxi Event ( NASDAQ:TSLA )
Friday: PPI Inflation, Consumer Sentiment; Bank Earnings ( NYSE:JPM , NYSE:WFC , NYSE:BLK )
As we move forward, these developments will be crucial in shaping market sentiment and guiding investment decisions. If you have any questions or need further insights, feel free to reach out. Here’s to another week of informed investing and strategic decision-making! 🌟