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Altseason

When the next altseason might happen?One usually refers to altcoins and mems flying high when talking about big profits and pumps. So, when the next alt season could happen? To answer this question, analysts usually examine ETH and the Crypto Total Market Cap (excluding BTC and ETH) charts to make a prediction. Moreover, I think it is worth analyzing the Dominance of altcoins (excluding BTC and ETH) as well. I already analyzed the ETH before and updating it periodically, so let's look at the Crypto Total Market Cap. When looking at the Total Market Cap chart, it is evident that there was a downtrend in which lower lows were made one after another. Recently, in March 2023, a higher high and a higher low were made; a sign of a possible reversal. But, two higher highs and two higher lows are needed, at least, for the reversal confirmation. Furthermore, the value/price of the Total Market Cap must not breach the recent higher low. Based on the technical analysis, two possible scenarios can play out that are drawn on the chart.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by SaeedSalehinia
5
The Importance of BTC.D, TOTAL2, and USDT.D Currently my indicator is suggesting BITCOIN IS WEAKENING whilst ALTS ARE STRENGTHENING and USDT is at the lower spectrum of its range suggesting crypto investment is the best option. Let's dive into understanding market dominance and liquidity metrics and why it's crucial for navigating the cryptocurrency space effectively. Three key metrics—BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance), TOTAL2 (Altcoin Market Cap Excluding Bitcoin), and USDT.D (Tether Dominance)—offer valuable insights into investor sentiment, market trends, and potential shifts in liquidity. Let's explore these metrics, their typical ranges, patterns to watch for, and how they interact with a MACD-style crossover indicator which I designed to identify opportunities in Bitcoin, altcoins, and stablecoins. BTC.D: Bitcoin Dominance BTC.D measures Bitcoin's market cap as a percentage of the total cryptocurrency market cap. It reflects investor preference for Bitcoin compared to other cryptocurrencies. Typical Range Normal Range: 40%-60% BTC.D tends to rise during bearish markets as investors flock to Bitcoin's perceived safety. Conversely, it often declines during bullish markets when altcoins outperform. Key Patterns Double Top: Indicates potential weakening in Bitcoin dominance, suggesting a shift in capital to altcoins. Double Bottom: Signals strengthening Bitcoin dominance, often as investors move back into Bitcoin for stability. TOTAL2: Altcoin Market Cap (Excluding Bitcoin) TOTAL2 represents the market capitalization of all altcoins combined, excluding Bitcoin. It is a direct measure of the strength of the altcoin market. Typical Range Normal Range: Highly variable, as altcoin performance can spike dramatically during "alt seasons." TOTAL2 increases during periods of high altcoin interest and speculative growth and declines during risk-off periods when investors sell altcoins for Bitcoin or stablecoins. Key Patterns Rising TOTAL2 + Falling BTC.D: Indicates an alt season where altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin. Falling TOTAL2 + Rising BTC.D: Suggests a return to Bitcoin dominance, typically during periods of market uncertainty. USDT.D: Tether Dominance USDT.D measures Tether’s market cap as a percentage of the total cryptocurrency market cap, reflecting how much liquidity is parked in stablecoins. Typical Range Normal Range: 3%-7% A high USDT.D suggests investors are moving into stablecoins, indicating risk-off sentiment. Conversely, a low USDT.D implies funds are flowing into riskier assets like Bitcoin and altcoins. Key Patterns USDT.D at Top of Range (~7%): Sign of high risk aversion. Typically, Bitcoin and altcoins are weakening, and liquidity is concentrated in stablecoins. USDT.D at Bottom of Range (~3%): Suggests a bullish environment where funds are flowing into Bitcoin and altcoins. The MACD-Style Crossover Indicator The MACD-style crossover indicator I built is for BTC.D, TOTAL2, and USDT.D simplifies these complex relationships into actionable signals. It plots all three metrics on a normalized scale and identifies key moments of transition: Bullish Alt Season Signal: When TOTAL2 crosses above BTC.D, it signals a potential alt season, where altcoins outperform Bitcoin. Bitcoin Dominance Signal: When BTC.D crosses above TOTAL2, it suggests Bitcoin is regaining dominance, often during market corrections or risk-off periods. Stablecoin Signal: When USDT.D crosses above BTC.D and TOTAL2, it indicates heightened risk aversion, suggesting a move into stablecoins as the market cools. What These Metrics Mean for Market Liquidity Liquidity flows are the lifeblood of the cryptocurrency market. These three metrics reveal where capital is moving: BTC.D High + USDT.D High: Indicates a risk-off environment. Investors are prioritizing safety, suggesting Bitcoin and stablecoins are preferred over altcoins. BTC.D Low + TOTAL2 Rising + USDT.D Low: Signals a risk-on environment, often the hallmark of an alt season. Investors are willing to speculate on higher-risk assets, driving up altcoin valuations. TOTAL2 Falling + USDT.D Rising: A clear sign of capital exiting the market. Altcoins are losing value, and funds are moving to stablecoins, often leading to market corrections. Conclusion By tracking BTC.D, TOTAL2, and USDT.D together, investors gain a comprehensive view of the cryptocurrency market's dynamics. The interplay between Bitcoin dominance, altcoin market performance, and stablecoin liquidity provides a roadmap for understanding capital flows and market sentiment. The MACD-style crossover indicator I built adds another layer of insight by simplifying the relationships into actionable signals. Whether it’s identifying the start of an alt season, a return to Bitcoin dominance, or heightened risk aversion favoring stablecoins, this tool empowers traders with timely and relevant information. The next time you analyze BTC.D, TOTAL2, and USDT.D, remember these ranges and patterns. They’re not just numbers on a chart—they’re the key to understanding the market's pulse and positioning yourself strategically for the next big move.
by Data_Driven_Trading
OTHERS.D 50.00% FIB CRITICAL LEVEL **Hello dear altcoin degens, HODL-ers, and traders,** How are you doing this Saturday? I hope you’re enjoying the weekend in your own unique way! This is **OTHERS.D**, the index representing the market cap of altcoins outside the top 10. On the weekly time frame, there are several key points of interest that could help us analyze what might happen next. However, as always in trading, nothing should be taken for granted. **Key Observations** 1. **Higher Lows Trendline:** - We can clearly see a series of higher lows, starting with the bottom formed during the week of **June 5, 2023**, and another higher low during the week of **October 28, 2024**. This upward trendline is a promising signal for the altcoin market. 2. **The Role of the 21MA (Moving Average):** - Historically, the 21MA has acted as a reliable support level before price moves higher, as seen between **July 17,2023** and **August 7, 2024** (highlighted with a green circle). - Currently, the price is trading above this 21MA, which is an encouraging sign. 3. **The Critical 50% Fibonacci Level:** - The 50% Fib retracement level has historically been significant. The green circle highlights how this level previously served as the launchpad for an upward move. - At present, the price is trying to break through this level, which is acting as resistance. **Combining Support Factors** When we combine the **21MA** and the **50% Fibonacci level**, we get an area of strong support/resistance. For now, the price is attempting to break through this resistance zone. **What’s Next?** - If the weekly candle closes **above this critical area**, it’s a bullish signal and great news for those hunting the elusive **altseason**! - Until then, we wait. The weekly close will provide more clarity, and based on the outcome, we can decide on the next course of action. **Final Note** Patience is key in this game. Stay safe, and let’s see how this plays out!
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D
by vagada
XDC working on a double bottom/invh&s combobreakerAfter some very bullish priceaction over on the 1day chart, coinciding with the 1day chart’s golden cross, : XDC has now found itself above the weekly 200ma (blue line)show on this weekly timeframe man idea I posted at the top of this page. Once it can solidify support on the weekly 200ma it should then break above both the tan trendline(inverse head and shoulder neckline) and the green trendline(double bottom neckline) once it hits the top target for the double bottomsbreakout XDC will then have made over 800% gains since the bottom of the market where it was trading at just below 2 cents. Now that it has gotten the same daily chart golden cross springboard launchpad several other alt coins have gotten I think it will reach these targets sooner rather than later. *not financial advice*
BITFINEX:XDCUSD
by DrDovetail
XDC working on a double bottom/invh&s combobreakerAfter some very bullish over on the 1day chart coinciding with the 1day chart golden cross: XDC has now found itself above the weekly 200ma (blue line)show on this weekly timeframe man idea I posted at the top of this page. Once it can solidify support on the weekly 200ma it should then break above both the tan trendline(inverse head and shoulder neckline) and the green trendline(double bottom neckline) once it hits the top target for the double bottomsbreakout XDC will then have made over 800% gains since the bottom of the market where it was trading at just below 2 cents. Now that it has gotten the same daily chart golden cross springboard launchpad several other alt coins have gotten I think it will reach these targets sooner rather than later. *not financial advice*
BITFINEX:XDCUSD
by DrDovetail
LTC Breaking above tan invh&s neckline, right on goldencrossI have the weekly chart timeframe selected here simply because I needed to expand the timeframe on the chart to be able to fit both inverse head and shoulders patterns and their respective breakout targets in the frame. Wanted to put the timeframe on the daily chart so. Could show once again how these recent crypto pumps have all being launching on the exact day that the Daly golden cross occurs. I will post. Daily chart version of this as well that zooms in on the golden cross and subsequent priceaction and link it below. Anyways it looks like on this 2nd breach above the tan neckline that Litecoin is likely to finally trigger a breakout ths go around. If so the highest measured move target is in the $170s here, and reaching it will obviously also allow us to hit the white inverse head and shoulders breakout target too on the way there. In order to ensure that price acton doesn’t dip back below the tan neckline for a second time, it will need to flip the weekly 200ma(blue line) to solidified support once that happens I think it will definitely confirm the breakout at that point. Alt season has officially began! *not financial advice*
COINBASE:LTCUSD
by DrDovetail
1
I bet you are not watching this chart of TOTAL3#ALTSEASON Update🚀 Let’s dive into some detailed alpha! Take a look at this (Total3-USDT-USDC)/BTC chart. It clearly indicates that #Altcoins could bleed by a maximum of 20% further from current levels in CRYPTOCAP:BTC pairs. However, this doesn’t necessarily mean they’ll lose value in USD terms if #BTC continues to pump, which seems likely in the coming weeks. Following this, altcoins are expected to start outperforming BTC and will likely peak when this chart reaches around 0.56, with another possible top at 0.91. PS: The altcoin market is highly fragmented this cycle. Not every altcoin will pump equally or peak at the same time. However, overall, the altcoin market could potentially achieve a top near the 0.91 level, which represents a 3x increase from current levels.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by ChainAssetsCapital
1
POLY-MATIC Swing Long Idea - Altcoin SeasonMATIC/POLY is one of the leading Ethereum Layer 2 chains. We haven’t seen an ETH rally yet, so ETH-based coins (ETH betas) are currently underperforming. However, I recommend considering a small position to potentially catch an ETH pump, as these ETH-based coins have significant technical potential. Technical Analysis: The price ran the 2022 low and the 2021 March low, generating strong bullish momentum. The run on the 2021 March low is particularly significant because that low initiated the 2021 bull cycle for this coin. I believe this level represents the maximum pain point for MATIC, and most paper hands have likely exited after this level was swept. Following this move, we observed strong bullish momentum, and a few days later, the weekly structure shifted to bullish, creating a weekly demand zone, which I have marked on the chart. Recently, the bearish trendline responsible for the downward trend since Spring 2024 was broken, and we also have a daily demand zone just below the trendline. I believe the price may retrace to the daily and weekly demand zones, possibly retesting or deviating slightly from the trendline before taking off. This area also aligns with the Fibonacci equilibrium (discount) zone, which adds further confluence for a reaction from there. I will look for LTF confirmations before initiating the setup. SL: $0.27 (daily close below) TP1: $0.78 (2x from the entry) I plan to carry this position until the end of the 2025 altcoin bull cycle and will not take profits from this trade. However, I strongly recommend taking some profits while the price rises. My risk management strategy is unique and may differ from yours.
COINBASE:MATICUSDLong
by UA_CAPITAL
PIXEL SET TO GOLDEN CROSS!As we approach early December, all eyes are on Pixel/USDT, with technical indicators suggesting that the asset is on the verge of a Golden Cross – a powerful bullish signal where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. This historic crossover has often marked the beginning of a new, sustained uptrend, and if the pattern holds, we could be witnessing the start of an exciting rally for Pixel USDT. With strong market sentiment and the potential for continued growth, it's looking more and more likely that Pixel USDT will not only ride this bullish wave into 2025 but could also establish itself as a standout performer in the crypto space. If this Golden Cross plays out as expected, we could see Pixel USDT breaking key resistance levels, attracting more investors, and potentially delivering significant returns as we move into the next phase of the crypto market. The path ahead is full of opportunity, and for those watching closely, this could be the perfect moment to position yourself for long-term gains. Stay tuned and keep an eye on this chart – early December might just be the beginning of something monumental!
Long
by panjifh11
#WLD Potential Buy SetupGood Morning Ladies and Gentlemen's i Introduce you my Prediction that the Officialy Altcoin Season had Started. from now on look on bigger Target and Watch out how almost All Coins will Pump some in one Day some in the Other Day so from here on i don't need to Spam you with tons of Coins in a Day when you know everything will Pump. The Best Safe Opportunities is SPOT but its your Choose. 📈 Entry CMP : 2.284 🛑 SL: 1.961 🎯 Target 1: 2.831 🎯 Target 2: 3.606 🎯 Target 3: 4.403 Cheers to All 🍾
Long
by ML-Master
Bottom to Bottom Circles : BTC Market Cycles Predictive Chart BITCOIN Market Cycles: Predictive Chart This chart showcases a unique visualization of the BITCOIN market's price evolution, incorporating hand-drawn circles that perfectly align with Bitcoin’s 4-year cycles. These circles act as pivotal zones, clearly indicating optimal moments to buy and sell. Each circle represents an insurmountable boundary: as the price approaches the edge, it repeatedly collapses, marking key turning points in the market. This visual tool provides powerful insights for navigating the BITCOIN and altcoin space with precision.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TsuGoi