AR Long Position (Support Consolidation)Market Context: AR is consolidating at a major support zone, offering a good risk-to-reward opportunity for a long position as it holds these levels.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Between $17.50 - $19.50.
Take Profit:
First target: $24.00 - $26.60
Second target: $32.00 - $35.00
Stop Loss: Just below $16.50.
This trade focuses on the potential for a bounce from key support, with defined risk and reward levels. #AR #Altcoins #Crypto
Altcoins
Phemex Analysis #27: SUI _ Will It Continue Soar or Sink?After its initial surge, PHEMEX:SUIUSDT.P has been locked in a battle with resistance. Breaking through one hurdle after another, it has now found itself staring at the formidable wall of its all-time high, $2.18. A recent retracement has brought it back to $1.88, leaving investors pondering its next move.
The Road Ahead: A Tale of Three Scenarios
Breaking Free : The most optimistic scenario would see SUI shatter the $2.18 resistance with a surge of volume. This could propel it to even higher heights, igniting a new wave of bullish sentiment.
A Bearish Turn : However, the market has shown signs of weakness. A second one-day high accompanied by a RSI divergence suggests that a bearish reversal might be brewing. If SUI falls below the $1.60 support level with significant volume, a downward spiral could ensue.
The Waiting Game : A more likely scenario is a period of consolidation. SUI might hold the $1.70 support level while investors patiently await a clear breakout signal. Impatience can be a trader's enemy in such situations.
The Path Forward
As SUI navigates this critical juncture, patience and careful analysis are key. While the potential for further gains is undeniable, the risk of a reversal cannot be ignored. Traders must weigh the potential rewards against the risks and make informed decisions.
Tips:
Trade Smarter, Not Harder with Phemex. Benefit from cutting-edge features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments. Our unique scaled order system and iceberg order functionality give you a competitive edge.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
TOTAL Market Struggles at $2.13T Resistance: Key Levels to WatchMarket Update:
Over the past week, the TOTAL market capitalization has attempted to break through a tough resistance level at $2.13 trillion.
A rejection at this level may lead to a pullback, testing the next support level around $2 trillion.
Potential Scenarios:
Should the TOTAL market successfully break above $2.13 trillion, it could rise to challenge the descending resistance line formed since June, as well as the top of the range resistance at approximately $2.3 trillion.
Given that the TOTAL market is currently at resistance, it is essential to manage risk carefully, as a rejection at this level could result in further downside for many altcoins.
#CryptoMarket #TOTALMarket #ResistanceLevels #Altcoins #MarketAnalysis
COTI Long Position (Support Consolidation)Market Context: COTI is consolidating within a key support zone, providing an opportunity to ladder into a long spot position. This offers a favorable risk-to-reward scenario for a potential upward move.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Between $0.091 - $0.107.
Take Profit:
First target: $0.13 - $0.15
Second target: $0.18 - $0.21
Stop Loss: Just below $0.085.
This setup looks to capitalize on the consolidation and potential bounce from support levels. #COTI #Altcoins #Crypto
LINK Long Position (Major Support Level)Market Context: Many altcoins, including LINK, have retraced to critical levels of support, presenting an opportunity for a long trade. LINK is positioned well for a potential bounce, providing a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Between $10.00 - $10.90.
Take Profit:
First target: $12.50 - $13.30
Second target: $14.50 - $15.50
Stop Loss: Just below $9.40.
This setup leverages the strong support zone and potential for a bullish recovery. #LINK #Altcoins #Crypto
Cardano: Crash Ahead? Prepare for a Potential 20%+ Downside!Hey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of BINANCE:ADAUSDT
On the daily chart, Cardano continues to struggle below the critical EMA200, signaling a persistent bearish bias. Even more telling, the price has repeatedly respected the bearish trendline, underscoring the strength of this downtrend.
To make matters worse, we've seen a breakout from two major bearish formations: the Rising Wedge and the Ascending Broadening Wedge. Both patterns point to a continuation of the downward spiral. Adding fuel to the fire, the MACD has made a clear bearish crossover, confirming that the bears are firmly in control.
Based on these signals, we anticipate a sharp drop toward the first target at 0.2753. After that, a brief pullback could bring prices back into the green zone before heading even lower to the second target at 0.2384.
This technical outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the support area at 0.4158.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Cardano.
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Cleaned out the longs. Now, it's time to clean out the shorts.Traders,
You guys know my target during this uptrend has been 68k BTC which is the top of our channel and that large order block with mostly sell orders. This last sudden dip cleaned out quite a few longs. Now, it is time to go after those shorts. You will start to see a lot of shorts liquidated around 68k (the top of our channel). This will only add fuel to the bullish fire. I think we'll go right through that liquidity order block and clean out all remaining shorts. Supply is low on centralized exchanges so, expect big movement to come!
A couple of things to watch before we get there though.
First, we have to beat our 200 DMA. This is absolutely critical! If bulls can't handle this then it's game over for the time being and I think we'll drop all the way to 48k.
Secondly, we have to beat the top of our channel. That currently sits at around 68k.
If we beat those two major resistance points, it's game on. Shorts will be in serious trouble.
Stew
MAGA - The START of a Positive Outcome!This should be the low, forming a rounding bottom right at a significant macro support.
It needs to stay above the bullish zone to progress towards new highs. The chart is straightforward, with a clear invalidation zone.
It’s currently struggling to break above the weekly open, but once it does, it could soar to new heights.
AMEX:MAGA is pretty self-explanatory; you know why I’m betting on this one!
PEPE + BNB Will Moon Just Like ETH Did In 2017 17 year experienced trader here sharing my thoughts to help the crypto community.
As everyone knows this is a very important time for the market as we are approaching the end of the 3rd year of the 4 year cycle . Year 4 has always been ALTSEASON . The charts I am sharing with you are setting up to have HUGE runs into 2025. In teh video I share with you my reasoning on why this meme coin and BNB will explode higher just like ETH did back in 2017 . ETH was the the daddy back then and now MEME coins are the hot narratives (look at how many meme coins that Binance have listed) and there is a reason for it . Meme coins are bring in heavy trading volume for exchanges creating good revenue and they also bring in new crypto people to the community , we have seen xrp bring in millions of people , then we seen DOGE bring in millions of people then SHIB and then PEPE . Each ALTSEASON it has been a new meme coin that helps bring in and grow the crypto community so this time will be no different . This time we have new coins like NEIRO that can moon also but that is for another video .
Do not sleep on these coins and if u need any help or have any questions please just send me a message and I will be happy to try my best to help .
Have a great weekend
MartyBoots
ONDO - Dive In or Face Regret!I've been waiting for this chance since the massive drop on August 5th.
It's a straightforward retest to validate that wick. If the bulls fail here, I see a strong possibility of reaching 40c later this month.
Not sure if the narrative for RWAs is still active, but it’s worth trying out!
SUI done? or...If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Finally have a bit of a break of the HL.
IF it is ready for a Wave 4.
I would really like to see a move down to 1.45 and react before a move back to 2$, to load a long.
Still time to put in a wave B so may not be ready yet.
Trade Safe,
Trade Clarity.
Down Down Baby - BTC Short Term RetracementI'm pretty confident that we will retrace back to mid 40's - Then go on a parabolic run.
This doesn't mean sell your position.
I would stay put and wait for the turbulence to play out. The market will always decide the price action.
***Not financial advice**
Q4 2024 Altcoin bull start📌701 days between December 2018 local bottom and November 2020!
📌701 days between November 2022 local bottom and October 2024!
-The bull run was started after the US presidential elections on November 3, 2020
Following the US presidential elections to be held on November 3, 2024, it will be the beginning of the 2024-2025 bull run for #bitcoin and especially #Alts.
Retest Complete. Dollar Should Continue Down Again.There's that retest to the underside of my pink line that I was previously expecting. As you all know from last weeks video, I was a bit surprised we didn't get it at the time I was making the video. Well, better late than never. This is a perfect retest. Though, the dollar could hover on the underside for a few more days, I expect that by mid-October you'll see the trend continuation down as we head for that very important, very old trend line coming all the way back from Orwell's 1984. Blow-off top in the U.S. stock market should continue until then. If so, crypto will follow.
POPCAT's Rise: Can This Meme Go the Distance?It certainly looks like $POPCAT will continue to be the leading cat #meme. Others (already listed on exchanges) have tried to take the spot but lack the momentum behind it.
As for this one, it just keeps grinding higher and is most likely to hit $2.3 before the end of the year.
This post is mainly to track the price action of this particular coin, as entries were obviously much lower. One could enter here, as there is an active weekly and daily trend, but I prefer to snipe my entries instead of buying after expansion.
Let’s follow the price together and see how much actionable data we can extract from its movements.
I’ll wrap up this thread at the end of December.
WIF - Barking Towards New Highs - Last Shot! Alright, let’s dive in.
With everything in a crucial area, September is shaping up to be a volatile month for the markets, especially with upcoming US jobs data and the FOMC meeting. We might see the first rate cuts. While caution is definitely warranted, there are still opportunities worth pursuing.
With that in mind, invalidation points are crystal clear. Both $POPCAT and NYSE:FET have specific levels where they would turn bearish if things don’t go as planned.
I'm considering a long position here, aiming for higher highs and potentially new peaks if CRYPTOCAP:BTC ’s low is confirmed.
Of course, everything depends on how the upcoming events unfold. But giving it another shot seems worth the risk.
MAX LONG NOW :)
The Altcoin Market Is Now Flirting With The 350 DMA ...Again!Here's what that means. A long-term view.
Traders,
The pressure is on for these altcoin bulls to run through the end of the year. However, we are flirting with disaster this time around. Here's why?
From the beginning, the 350 DMA (or 50-week MA) has always told traders whether we were in a bull market or a bear market. Though periodically, the price did stick its proverbial head above the 350 DMA during mid-cycle tops, these were always very short-lived. And it's always been the case that when we've remained above the 350 DMA for this length of time, in this case since Nov of 2023, it signaled we were in a bull run, as opposed to a mid-cycle top. Could this time be different? Well, of course. And I think from looking at the charts, it already has proven it is. This whole run is different.
I won't get into the many ways this cycle is different, but a big one has to do with how the 111 DMA is diverging from the 350x2 DMA (not pictured here). That's never happened before along with a multitude of other occurrences. So, let's explore this thought experiment a bit further. There are several outcomes that we most probably are looking at.
The first outcome could mean that this run was simply an extended mid-cycle top. If true, then this is a much longer mid-cycle top than we have ever witnessed in the history of crypto. And if that is true, the bull run that is coming will melt faces. But it probably would not arrive until next year or even 2026 and it probably means that we dip back under that 350 DMA again for a while. Nobody wants this to happen and nobody seems to be expecting this outcome. Could this then be the strongest possibility? If we anthropomorphize the market a bit, we can observe that it is rather sadistic in this regard. It always has been and probably always will be. The market just enjoys hurting the largest crowd. This is why it's often beneficial to entertain contrarian thought and not to simply dismiss it altogether.
The second outcome is not so good. It could mean that we skipped our mid-cycle top completely and that our bull run is about to end if we dip below that 350 DMA. Now, there is still hope here because we haven't done that yet. But I certainly do not like the looks of how we have been flirting with that line for these last several months. This moving average is critical! Watch it closely on both the daily (as a 350 DMA) and on the weekly (as a 50). The weekly will confirm whether we drop or not. It must be confirmed with two candle closes below on the weekly.
There is a third possibility. This is the one that I think we are all hoping for and, tbh, most are expecting. It also indicates that we skipped our mid-cycle top and are in a bull run that will not end until late this year or into the next. This would mean that we will remain above that 350 DMA (though, there could be a few candle closes below) and that we should see some new highs being made through the end of the year.
I kept our chart on the daily view as opposed to the weekly because I wanted you all to track that bullish triangle with me. Notice how we are retesting the top of it as we should after a breakout. This is technically very sound. But also notice how that 350 DMA is moving up to lend some support. What a beautiful area of confluence! But also, scary. Because if it's broken to the downside, it may indicate either another Black Swan event on the horizon OR we don't get the bull run alts were expecting.
It is do-or-die time now. Let's go.
Stew
Hamster Combat (HMSTR) Analysis: Acc, Dist & Whale Activity
💡 Overview :
Hamster Combat BITGET:HMSTRUSDT.P is currently presenting some strong opportunities for both accumulation and distribution . Based on key technical indicators and on-chain analysis, we have identified significant support zones for buying, as well as resistance levels for taking profits.
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Price and Market Dynamics:
📊 Current Price Levels : HMSTR has recently traded between $0.0045 and $0.0065 , showing that the market is cycling between accumulation (buying) and distribution (selling).
- Accumulation Zone : This is where buyers are entering the market, typically in the price range of $0.0045 - $0.0055 . This zone is a support level , meaning the price tends to bounce off these levels because there is high buying demand.
- Distribution Zone : This is where sellers (including large holders or whales) are exiting their positions, pushing the price down. For HMSTR, this zone lies at $0.0060 and above . This is a resistance level , meaning that as the price rises, it tends to hit this ceiling and fall back down due to increased selling pressure.
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📈 Accumulation Strategy:
- When to Buy : Accumulate HMSTR in the range of $0.0045 to $0.0055 , where it's supported by buy orders and the market sees it as undervalued.
- Why this matters : This is a low-risk entry point because the downside is limited by the strong support here.
- How to do it : Place buy orders in the accumulation zone and plan to hold through the coming upward move.
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### 📉 Distribution Strategy:
- When to Sell : The distribution zone lies at **$0.0065 and above**, where whales start to exit their positions. If you're holding, this is an ideal zone to take profits .
- Why this matters : Selling in this zone locks in profits before the price faces resistance and selling pressure pushes it back down.
- How to do it : Sell a portion of your holdings as the price approaches $0.0065 - $0.0070 , where we see heavy whale activity.
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### 🐋 Whale Activity:
- Whales (large holders) have been accumulating between $0.0050 and $0.0060 , signaling their belief in the asset's long-term value. When whales accumulate, it typically means they expect the price to rise.
- However, whale outflows are being observed near $0.0070 , meaning these large holders are taking profits here. This creates strong resistance at that level.
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⚙️ Key Technical Indicators:
1. MVRV Ratio (Market Value to Realized Value) :
- Low MVRV signals that HMSTR is undervalued , a prime accumulation opportunity.
- Action : Buy when MVRV is low for long-term growth.
2. NVT Ratio (Network Value to Transaction Volume) :
- A declining NVT means the network is growing faster than the transaction volume, often signaling a bullish market.
- Action : Look for long positions as network strength increases.
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📊 Take Profit and Stop Loss Levels:
- Take Profit :
- Short-Term : Sell at $0.0065 (previous resistance).
- Medium-Term : Sell more at $0.0070 (whale exit point).
- Stop Loss :
- Conservative traders should place a stop loss at $0.0047 .
- Aggressive traders can place it at $0.0050 for tighter risk control.
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Derivatives and Open Interest Analysis 📈:
- Open Interest is rising, indicating that more traders are entering the market, particularly in the derivatives space .
- Positive funding rates further suggest that long positions are dominating .
- Action : Expect potential price volatility due to this interest; ensure you're managing risk with stop losses and setting take profits at key resistance zones.
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Mini Report:
Hamster Combat (HMSTR) is showing clear accumulation and distribution patterns based on whale activity and technical indicators. Accumulation is ideal between $0.0045 and $0.0055 , where whales and long-term holders are buying in. The distribution zone begins around $0.0065 , with selling pressure intensifying near $0.0070 due to whale outflows.
Key technical indicators, such as the MVRV Ratio (signaling undervaluation) and the NVT Ratio (reflecting network growth), support a bullish outlook in the short term. However, risk management is essential, with stop losses recommended at $0.0047 for conservative traders.
Actions Explained: :
- 📉 Accumulation (Buying) : This is when you want to enter at lower prices, like the $0.0045 to $0.0055 range, because the market sees value here. The price is supported, and there's more buying pressure.
- 📈 Distribution (Selling) : Here’s where you take profits as the price hits $0.0065 - $0.0070 because whales are selling, creating resistance.
- 🐋 Whale Activity : Whales are big players who can move markets. When they accumulate, it’s a bullish signal, but when they sell at $0.0070 , it creates resistance .
- 💰 Take Profits and 🛑 Stop Losses : Set take profits at key resistance points to lock in gains and use stop losses to protect yourself from market drops.
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This detailed plan, backed by on-chain data and whale activity, offers a roadmap for navigating the HMSTR market. 📊 Follow the price zones and manage your risk , and you'll be set up for a successful trade... TradeGod_1111...