ALT
ALTUSDT.1DThe ALT/USDT chart analysis presents a detailed view of the current market scenario, emphasizing various technical indicators and their implications on the potential market movements. Here's a thorough examination of the displayed data:
Trend Analysis:
The chart exhibits a general downtrend with the price currently at $0.1556, a slight increase by 1.43% from the previous session. The descending resistance line delineated on the chart suggests continued bearish sentiment, restricting any bullish momentum from sustaining.
Support and Resistance Levels:
R1 at $0.1161: This initial resistance level suggests a near-term target for any bullish reversal.
R2 at $0.3048 and R3 at $0.4534: These represent more substantial resistance levels, providing potential future targets should the price momentum shift significantly to the bullish side.
Key Support (S1) at $0.1161: Coinciding with R1, this level acts as a critical pivot area. Its role as both support and resistance emphasizes its importance in upcoming sessions.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The RSI at 28.31 indicates an oversold market condition. Typically, this suggests that the market might be due for a reversal or at least a temporary relief rally as sellers might have exhausted their momentum, and buyers could start to see value.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):
The MACD line is marginally below the signal line and very close to zero in the histogram. This configuration implies weak momentum with a bearish bias but also suggests that the market is not experiencing strong downward pressure at the moment.
Volume Analysis:
While specific volume data isn't shown, volume is a critical factor in confirming any potential trend reversals or continuations. A pickup in volume alongside a price rise could confirm a bullish reversal, whereas low volume may indicate lack of conviction in the move.
Strategic Trading Advice:
Considering the oversold RSI and the current pricing near a critical support/resistance level (S1/R1 at $0.1161), traders might look for signs of stabilization or a bullish reversal pattern before entering long positions. If entering trades based on this level, setting tight stop-losses just below S1 could help manage risk, especially if the downtrend resumes.
If the price begins to rise, approaching R2, the strategy could shift towards capturing gains at higher resistance levels, particularly if accompanied by increasing volume, indicating a stronger bullish sentiment.
In conclusion, the ALT/USDT pair shows potential for a bullish reversal given the oversold conditions and the critical pivot at $0.1161. However, traders should remain cautious and look for confirmation in price action and volume to support any trading decisions. Always consider the broader market context and adjust strategies dynamically as conditions evolve.
XRP - Increase Possible after THIS LEVELXRP - it's possible that the bottom may be near, and we're going to use a technical indicator to look for the bottom.
It should be noted that I am NOT a fan of XRP BUT, I understand tat all coins are tradable despite whether or not I like them.
So let's dive into the SIGNS of the times:
Looking at the RSI below the chart, historically XRP bottoms are close when the RSI hit's the yellow line (34). It could trade lower for a few ore weeks to come, but ultimately this low RSI signals the bottom is either in or close.
It is also worth noting that the M-Pattern should be finished playing out, or close to finished:
Either way, if you MUST trade XRP, buy low and sell high. Bag holders gets burnt!
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BINANCE:XRPUSDT
SHIB Flashing a SELL (⊙_⊙)I've been bearish on SHIB since the failed pennant pattern:
We just got a "SELL" alert from the technical indicator in the weekly timeframe. The higher the timeframe, the more significant the pattern / alert.
Watch the BTC on what w need to see after a "SELL" alert to consider this situation turning ack to the upside:
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BINANCE:SHIBUSDT
ETH/BTC ratio signalizes 'Alt Season' soonMany see this ETH/BTC price ratio as the ignition for the Alt Season
Price is flerting with a long multi-year resistence, since 2021! A strong break out here will signal the so waited Alt Season, but first there must be a retest of the lowest purple line, the Beam Band bottom line
Also here, we are still waiting for a local bottom blue tag from Hodlfire indicator
As another indicator to watch is the bottom panel indicator, the Detornator C, as it is still red, almost crossing the zero line
So... 3 points of confirmation of Alt Season:
1- Retest of bottom Beam Band line
2- Hodlfire buy tag
3- Detonator C above zero line
What is interesting here, is that the upper Beam Band coincides with the target of the Cup & Handle formation when ETH/BTC price will reach a staggering 0.735 ETH for each BTC! If this ratio would be today, ETH price would be 45k!
Time will tell!
Solana - TWO Bearish IndicationsSolana has lost a longstanding trendline that acted as support since October 2023. The price has been unable to bounce back, and we're seeing a steep decline as bears are outweighing buyers:
A Technical Indicator (which I use mainly to determine trend swings from a macro perspective) has just flashed SELL in the weekly timeframe. Now based on previous instances, this took us MUCH lower. These alerts happen in real time when a certain conglomeration of parameters are met (based on Strength, Trend, Averages, Real Time) and so naturally, the higher the timeframe the better the result:
The only way we will be safeguarded against a steep incoming drop, is if the price can reclaim the green trendline in the Weekly Timeframe. From a candlestick analysis perspective, seeing Three White Soldiers in the daily could be a step in the right direction ( which is UP ).
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COINBASE:SOLUSD
BTC dominance is about to be rejected from the cycle topBTC Price Perspective:
As of now, the dominance of Bitcoin (BTC) in the crypto market is quite close to the cycle top at 56%. Based on previous trends and current market observations, I am anticipating this to reach around the 57-58% mark before experiencing a rejection, much like the last two cycles we've seen.
In the first cycle, BTC dominance was at its peak around 96%. Following this, it experienced a significant crash to 35% in 2017. Interestingly, it was during this period that BTC hit its all-time high price for that specific cycle.
In the subsequent cycle, a similar pattern was observed. The peak dominance for BTC was around 73%, and this was followed by a sharp fall back to 38% in 2021. This was the period when BTC reached a new all-time high.
ALT Coin Perspective:
Given these patterns and the cyclical nature of the crypto market, we expect to see a similar trend in this current cycle as well. We predict that BTC dominance will touch around 58%, before crashing back to the 40% range in 2025.
Furthermore, based on these projections and market analysis, we anticipate that BTC will hit a new all-time high in 2025. This is indeed positive news for altcoins. Historical data shows that whenever BTC dominance takes a hit, the alt season comes into play.
Therefore, with the 2025 bull run's alt season yet to start, we believe this presents a favorable opportunity to invest in altcoins.
Invest in ALTs now and HODL
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GreenCrypto
BTC/Bitcoin - 62K Before 72K ? Ascending Triangle PatternIt seems that BTC is forming an ascending triangle pattern. The price is currently moving towards the support zone, around 62K. If this support remains intact, we can anticipate the next target for the price to be in the 71K to 72K zone.
Considering the expected bull market after the recent bitcoin halving, it's highly probable that the support will hold, causing the price to rebound from the support zone.
If the support from the ascending triangle breaks, we could see the bitcoin price drop to the 60K zone.
We'll see how this develops. Stay tuned for more updates.
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GreenCrypto
What's next for altcoins ? TOTAL3 analysisAt present, the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 , which excludes the Bitcoin and Ethereum Marketcap, is navigating through a critical phase. 'total3' has now come into contact with its short-term support level, a zone that has repeatedly demonstrated its strength and sturdiness, having successfully held up multiple times in the past.
This support zone is of paramount importance for the performance of alt-coins. In order for these alt-coins to see an uptick in their values, this support needs to prove its strength once again and hold firm. Moreover, the total market cap needs to experience a bounce back from its current position in the 600B zone. If these conditions are met, it could potentially lead to a significant price boost for the major alt-coins in the market.
However, there's always the possibility that this support fails to hold up. In such a scenario, the ensuing support is situated around the 500B mark, which is also a robust support level. Should the total market cap hit this support level, we can anticipate a bounce back. But it's crucial to note that if this support level is indeed tested, it could lead to a considerable number of alt-coins losing their value.
As of now, it remains to be seen which of these scenarios will play out. Personally, I am hoping for a rebound from the current support around the 600B mark, as it would bode well for the state of the market and the alt-coins in particular.
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Cheers,
GreenCrypto
Altcoins Still In A Bear Market? This Indicator Says YESIn this analysis I want to take a look at an indicator that is not often mentioned, but can say a lot of interesting things about the current state of the market.
Note: we only have a population of 2 (N=2) to look at and deduce information from, so take it with a grain of salt.
The indicator in question is the value of TOTAL3 (total crypto marketcap minus ETH and BTC) divided by the price of Bitcoin (BTCUSD). This indicator measures the strength of altcoins compared to BTC.
In other terms:
Indicator goes up = altcoins outperforming BTC, often during altseasons.
Indicator goes down: BTC outperforming alts, often during bear markets.
In the last 6 years there have been 2 strong alt seasons, which occured at a later stage during the Bitcoin bull-market. The indicator touched the bottom support and shot all the way up towards the top resistance. This caused a massive bull-run in alts, where many did a 10x or more in a matter of weeks.
Looking at the past, it seems that there's still more value to be lost in alts relative to Bitcoin. Assuming we have to touch the bottom support, of course.
Furthermore, nothing about this chart suggests that altcoins are a good investment at the moment. They're only losing more value against BTC, even during the latest move from 30k > 70k.
For now, I'd put an alarm around the bottom support. Once the indicator touches that area it's historically an AMAZING time to switch your Bitcoin to alts.
Happy to hear your thoughts!
BNB : NEW ATH !! What's NEXT FOR BNB ??BINANCE:BNBUSDT
Binance coin / BNB has recently made a new ATH 💥🚀 And the price doesn't seem to be ready to turn around just yet. How can we gauge the next possible targets AND retracements for BNB SHORT TERM?
1) Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Band Strategy is excellent to use on lower timeframes, especially when combined with Fibonacci zones. The yellow dot basis (20d Moving Averages) is a common zone to watch for retracements, as well as bounces. As long as the price is bullish, the basis will hold and act as support. The Fib lines up until the basis can be watches for bounce zones:
Notice that periods of contractions is followed by expansion - watch the upper red and purple lines for near term targets (price labels on the right).
2) Fibonacci
Trend based Fibonacci can be helpful to identify key zones that could likely act as resistance, for example:
If we can't close ABOVE the 2.618, we stand a risk to form a nasty M-Pattern, which could indicate the end of the bullish cycle.
3) Moving Averages
The price often corrects towards the moving averages in the daily timeframe. This could be a potential re-entry zone for a swing trade (not accumulation as the price is at the peak of the bullish cycle). Understand that you risk is HIGH if you're looking to buy here. If we lose the 50d (green trendline) that could mean the bullish cycle is coming to an end. You can see the bounce is slightly smaller every time it touches, indicating the end is potentially near:
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Let's hope ETHEREUM DOES NOT do THIS 😨BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Ethereum is looking bullish after a strong bounce and a successful retest of the support zone at 2800.
According to all Fibonacci logic, we SHOULD be hitting the 1.618 zone SOON. But we're not out of the woods just yet. There's a risk of a very bearish pattern forming IF we cannot close the daily ABOVE our previous resistance zone. This would form a nasty M-Pattern that could takes us back to 2800 and even lower.
Technical indicators are extremely bullish right now, but this does not guarantee that sellers aren't waiting for us around the corner at 4000.
Naturally, we can expect ETH to keep on following BTC closely over the next week. If Bitcoin makes another leg up, Ethereum will soon follow a day or two later.
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PEPE jump and hold? Elliott wave If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow!
All about the level.
It looks like a 3 wave move down, and up, atm.
Could count it to fit so other sideways variants.
But this would be the most dramatic.
All depends on if this is a Liq grab or continuation.
AERO, take off! Storm ahead. If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow!
Took off out of area of interest and headed up to the next area of interest for me.
Going to be watching HOW, the price action reacts around this level.
If the level breaks I need to see it hold above.
Arrows indicate the price action I want to see.
DOGE - $0.30 Next Target, Elliot Waves📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
Dogecoin was one of my TOP altcoins to watch for 2024. (Find the others here):
The DOGE fractal I've been following has played out extremely well, and so I will continue to follow this fractal:
Since we have now completed Elliot Wave 2-3, we are seeing the corrective phase of 3-4. This means we have yet another impulse wave upwards to look forward to after the correction is completed.
Fibonacci Ratio is useful to measure the target of a wave’s move within an Elliott Wave structure. Different waves in an Elliott Wave structure relates to one another with Fibonacci Ratio.
Fibonacci Ratio Relationship
• Wave 2 is 50%, 61.8%, 76.4%, or 85.4% of wave 1
• Wave 3 is 161.8%, 200%, 261.8%, or 323.6% of wave 1-2
• Wave 4 is 14.6%, 23.6%, or 38.2% of wave 3 but no more than 50%
• There are three different ways to measure wave 5. First, wave 5 is inverse 123.6 – 161.8% retracement of wave 4. Second, wave 5 is equal to wave 1. Third, wave 5 is 61.8% of wave 1-3
Therefore, if wave 3-4 does not retrace beyond wave 1 our next target price is around 0.33:
The GOOD NEWS though, is that this could very well be a small part of a MARO cycle. I've previously explained that Elliot Waves can be like branches of broccoli - each wave makes up a part of a smaller or bigger wave, including ABC corrective waves in each impulse wave, as demonstrated by the front page chart.
Previous DOGE idea where we first look at the fractal:
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BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
BITCOIN CASH - To finally gain back some ground v #BTCBCH has been a one way trade since those heady post fork in 2017
But at this point time
there is an argument to be made in having a punt
u got a fairly low defined risk --- where u must exit and call it a loss
but there is upside potential , that suggests the risk may indeed be worth it.
Higher low ,
excellent pull back into a fib reload zone
gotta Risk it for the biscuit!
🔥 ALT Bullish Channel Signal: Patience!In this analysis I want to take a closer look at ALT and the bullish channel it appears to be trading in.
To maximize potential gains (and chances for a bullish reversal), I'm going to wait for the price to reach the bottom support. If BTC reverses in the near future it might be the case that the entry won't be hit, which is fine.
Entry is placed at 0.52 for now, but will be around the bottom support when it's reached.
ETH: BEGINNER FRIENDLY ✅ Methods for Predicting Ahead For those who have been following me here for the past three years, you'll know that I usually never miss an opportunity at a April Fool's prank. However, today's post is NOT one of them. Instead, I'm going to take a turn and do a post that may be of real value to many investors and speculators at this point in the market cycle.
We'll specifically use ETH for this example but these methods can be used across ALL MARKETS.
Understanding the crypto/stock/forex markets can feel like stepping into a vast ocean of numbers, trends, and predictions. As an investor, you might wonder which pricing information is truly crucial: is it the current price or the future selling price? Interestingly, many investors look beyond these immediate numbers and delve into historical pricing data to guide their decisions. But does recent pricing history actually provide reliable insight into future market movements?
Let's explore four perspectives on this topic and dive into the academic research supporting each viewpoint.
❕1. Momentum: Riding the Wave
Picture yourself on a surfboard catching a wave. Momentum in the stock market is somewhat similar - it's about riding the wave of market trends without fighting against them. Think of it as the market's way of saying, "Go with the flow!" Behavioral finance tells us that investors tend to flock towards rising stocks out of fear of missing out or driven by greed.
Academic studies, like the one by Narasimhan Jegadeesh and Sheridan Titman in 1993, suggest that stocks which have performed well in recent months are likely to continue outperforming in the short term. However, this momentum effect seems to reverse over longer periods, hinting at something called mean reversion.
❕2. Mean Reversion: Finding Balance
Experienced investors often preach the gospel of mean reversion - the idea that over time, markets tend to return to an average value. This phenomenon isn't limited to stocks; it can be observed in various economic indicators like GDP growth or interest rates. While some studies support mean reversion in certain datasets, it's not a universal truth. It might take years, even decades, for these subtle shifts to become apparent.
❕3. Wyckoff Method : Planning WAY ahead
The Wyckoff Method is a technical analysis approach to trading in financial markets, particularly stocks. Developed by Richard D. Wyckoff in the early 20th century, it focuses on understanding the intentions of large institutional players, such as smart money, through the analysis of price and volume.
The method emphasizes the principles of supply and demand dynamics, as well as market sentiment, to identify potential trends and trading opportunities. Traders using the Wyckoff Method typically study price charts, volume patterns, and market phases to make informed decisions about when to buy or sell securities. Overall, it aims to provide a framework for interpreting market activity and making more effective trading decisions.
ETH is clearly in profit release phase atm:
❕4. The Search for Value: Digging for Diamonds
Value investors are like treasure hunters scouring the market for undervalued gems. But this method also accounts for knowing when the price is over- or under valued at its current level.
Valuation Metrics include:
Market Capitalization (Market Cap): Compares a crypto's total value (price x circulating supply) to similar projects. A high Market Cap relative to peers might indicate overvaluation.
Network Value to Transaction (NVT) Ratio: Divides Market Cap by daily transaction volume. A high NVT suggests potential overvaluation, while a low NVT might hint at undervaluation.
Both ETH (436 at time of writing) and BTC (417 at time of writing) have a relatively high NVT ratio, which could be an indication of overvaluation.
❕Long-Term vs. Short-Term Investing:
Investors should consider their investment goals and time horizons when formulating strategies. Long-term investing typically involves buying and holding assets for an extended period, while short-term investing focuses on capitalizing on immediate market movements. Each approach has its advantages and risks, depending on individual circumstances and preferences.
The long and short of the matter here is buying low and selling high.
Two methods for TECHNICAL PRICE PREDICTION:
1) Fibonacci
Fibonacci can be helpful to speculate future price targets by using it on a macro scale:
2) Logarithmic Analysis
Find more information on ETH LOG here: