btc skimming the wall of the eve bottom forming bullflagBTC is once again pressed itself up against the side wall of the eve bottom with not much room to spare this time doing so by forming a bull flag right along the same price point as the breakout target from the falling wedge we broke out of yesterday. Odds are good within the next 2 candles we will break upward and the projected upward target of this flag will take us just under the projected upward target of the bear flag we also should have broken up out of as long as it was valid(which I think it was but it's just taken its time reaching the target) Right now we have a very strong double reinforced support of both the 4hr t line(in yellow on this 4 hr chart) and the 1 day charts 100MA(not shown here) . big support lines from 2 seperate timeframes converging as double reinforced support...just above that though at the 50% fib extension level (in green) we are currently holding support of the candle body and simply throwing bottomwicks underneath it. I anticipate this will most likely hold support for the current 4hr candle and expect our following 4 hr candle 2 hours from now will be a green one. One other very interesting thing I'm noticing on a fractal nature has got me making a very wild and currently unsubstantiated hypothesis about where the price action will be going after we break the neckline of the double bottom. Stay tuned as I will be getting into that theory. In my next idea and it is indeed a very exciting prospect. Thanks for reading **DISCLAIMER: Not Financial Advice**
Adam
Nearing the neckline; being squeezed between 4hr Tline & 50MAPrice action is currently being squeezed between the 4hr buy/sell line(50ma) and the 4hr tline(8 EMA) and should shoot one way or the other soon enough. I expect a break upward even though it's currently forming a bear flag(which usually breaks down). A break below the bearflag could take us as far down as $7938 but if we go up then we could hit the neckline of this double bottom pattern by the 29th of April. Even though the bearflag(in red) which tend to break downwards has formed, that bear flag has formed inside a falling wedge(in tannish green) which have a tendency to break upwards. Often times these patterns become bear patterns cloaked in bull patterns or bull patterns cloaked in bear patterns. A break up from the wedge would only result in a projected uptrend target of $9238 which would continue skimming along the top surface of the eve trendline(in pink)'s current trajectory....however breaking up from the bearflag could have enough momentum to take us to $9874. It all depends on which pattern is more valid. They may both be valid. If either pattern breaks up the trajectory of the Eve line does not change and we would have a current projected date of April 29th as when we could reach and test the neckline of the Adam & Eve double bottom...If we broke downward, that would put us under the 4hr buy sell line and also give us a lower low which would mean a shorting opportunity, taking us all the way down as far as $7938 and significantly changing both the trajectory of the Eve trendline, and also which date it would reach the double bottom's neckline. As long as one is prepared for both potential outcomes, both outcomes can be a solid opportunity and fortunately neither will nullify our double bottom pattern. For a multitude of reasons I think probability favors a break upward, once the 50ma and the t line are done squeezing the price action I anticipate the 50ma teams up with the eve trendline and should have enough combined support to shoot the price action above the t line. So for now I am still long, but I will be ready to short should the opposite outcome occur. You of course make your own decisions as this is only my personal strategy and in no way meant to be taken as financial advice. Good luck and thanks for reading!
BTCUSD - The Anatomy of an EveOf all patterns, the Adam and Eve reversal in a bearish trend is fairly significant. It indicates a period of consolidation with building faith in the market after the speculative money has permanently left the market - your grandma is not buying Bitcoin here for a reason.
In my opinion, this is a fairly likely play - a rejection off the Daily kijun for a temporary pullback and clean breakout.
BTC Target - $15,650 upon 'Adam & Eve' confirmationHello traders! Here we have a daily BTCUSD chart where we might have a possible Adam & Eve Double Bottom Formation.
Potential target for the Adam & Eve formation calculation goes as follows:
$11,780 + ((11,780 - 5,920) x 0.66) = $15,647.60
TARGET (in Red): $15,647.60
Break above $11,780 serves as a Pattern confirmation (in Pink).
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rising wedge reaches apex at same time dbl bttm reaches neckline P rice action is still stuck inside the 4hr charts rising wedge(in blue) and judging by how strong its top trendline's resistance is, plud the crazy coincidence of where the rising wedges trajectory crosses paths with the eve bottom trendline(in pink)'s trajectory, we have very high probability of being stuck inside this wedge all the way up the double bottom until wedges very apex. At it's apex , we can see is where it crosses paths with the Eve trendline, which coincidentally enough happens to be Eve's apex as well(the neckline of the double bottom). It would make sense that it would wait until the apex of both to finally break...reaching a boiling point with both the bears and the bulls who would both be in a complete fit of hysteria if the price made it to that crossroads before breaking out of the rising wedge. Bears would be in hystrics because a rising wedge typically breaks bearish and is therefore a bearish chart pattern, and bulls would be in hstrics because we had made it all the way up to the neckline of the Eve Double bottom and just about to trigger it. Both bears and bulls would likely be too blinded by FOMO, FUD, and their own biases at that point for the bears to consider the double bottom, or for the bulls to consider the rising wedge and you would likely see a massive bear and bull fight ensue (more intense than we have seen yet) with several bear trap and bull trap fakeouts as a giant candlestick tug of war would begin.
W hether we make it to that apex crossroads or not before this rising wedge breaks down. . .one thing I think will happen sooner or later regardless is an inevitable breakdown from the wedge. I side with probability and probability favors a breakdown from big rising wedges....also, the top trendline of the wedge has already proven several times that it is an extremely strong resistance. It would be healthiest for the uptrend if when therising wedge does finally breakdown, that it does so well before the crossroads of the 2 patterns' apexes.
O ne good spot I've found where a breakdown could occur is on the 26th of April. You'll notice that I have drawn two dotted breakout trendlines around this time one breaking bullishly upward from the rising wedge(in green), and the other dotted trendlinee(in red) breaking bearishly downward. The reason I think April 26th is the optimal place for a bearish breakdown is because the projected bearish breakout drop target would take the price just down far enough to halt bear momentum on the eve trendline(in pink) which could then act as strong enough support that it rebounds the price action with a bounce so big that it sends it all the way back upward finally breaking above the rising wedge....which then the upward price breakout target would reach the top of the double bottoms neckline. The symmetry with the projected breakout target line is astounding to me that a break up or a break down will send us exactly to an extremely important trendline on the double bottom. They appear to be equidistant with this rising wedge cutting right smack dab through the dead center of them during that date...and chart patterns seem to really crave symmetry at times..
S o for these reason I can see the rising wedge breaking downward by the 26th then bouncing all the way back up and then some...but if that doesn't happen then I anticipate that we may see a breakdown right at the crossroads of the do patterns' apexes which could be disasterous and complete negate the double bottom pattern potentially if it fell too deep. THis means that for the good of the bull market we would prefer the breakdown to happen around the 26th of April if one is gonna happen.
BTC about to break major downtrend!BTC shows the same pattern from October 2017, also the stoch RSI signals a strong support which will very likely break the major downtrend at around $8500 and end the bear market!
If it touches the A&E neckline we have a confirmation and can expect BTC back in the $15000 range.
But I expect that it will fall down to $8000 first in the next couple of hours which would make a good entry for a long
LTCUSD SHORT TRADEHi guys,
Adam & Eve double bottom on the hour-chart for LTCUSD. Just wait the confirmation. We are also in an ascending triangle and RSI shows a hidden bullish divergence.
First support is $157 where we had a rejection yesterday. Then, we could reach $162 if the double bottom doesn't fail.
Have a nice day !
Bitcoin Adam and Eve Double Bottom - 20k by JulyBitcoin is making an Adam and Eve Double bottom which can be read about here thepatternsite.com . This is just about our last hope of bitcoin recovering in the short term, if this pattern fails, It will strengthen my belief that the cartel exists and is in-fact suppressing the price of bitcoin through the use of futures markets. This can be read about here steemit.com . Credit to both authors. Let's see how this plays out.
2 Patterns from 17kWe are only two successful patterns from 17k!!
In the next week:
First, I expect a rejection to retest today's log breakout:
9000 is a strong resistance for 3 reasons:
- Round number effect
- Fib 0.5 will encourage shorts
- On level of March 22nd high.
There were very strong bullish signs in the last week, and we can expect a battle for control at 7800-8000.
In the coming 2-3 weeks:
Obviously nobody knows where the market is going but sentiment is that the bulls are clawing back control. I am inclined to say we are heading towards the formation of an IH&S, once again retesting 9000.
If this formation is successful we can expect to revisit 11400, forming an Adam & Eve pattern from this entire year's action. There will be a lot of sideways action around key resistances but the confirmation of today's log breakout will embolden bulls and intimidate bears.
In the next month:
As price continues to rise and bears adjust to the prospect of an incoming bull market we will see greater momentum. If the A&E is a success we can expect 17000+.
Disclaimer
From Bulkowski's Encyclopaedia of Chart Patterns, the IH&S would have a 74% chance of success and the A&E 66%. Combined, we have a 50% chance of reaching here IF the price rebounds from the log support. I am not making any buy/sell recommendations, but I will be following this as a basic plan. Play carefully until the formation of the H&S, and place conservative stops before each point of interest. Always wait for pattern confirmations and it's always better to take no action than to place a trade if you're not certain.
We are only two patterns away from success, let that sink in!
Any suggestions or commentary are welcome! You might save me some money. Cheers!
[BTC] Bullish Fractals on Collision Course with 200-D SMA?My last BTC post mentioned the running triangle formation signalling continuation just after price rocketed upward on 4/12. That continuation eventually reversed at the dark red resistance line.
I've noticed the same running triangle pattern may be forming on the larger consolidation we're going through right now. FRACTALS!
Just for education purposes, the running triangle is essentially a symmetrical triangle (continuation pattern). The difference is that wave B ends higher than the beginning of wave A. The rest of the pattern looks the same as an ordinary symmetrical triangle.
I noticed that this pattern is the same that occurred during the reversal of the low of $6000 on 2/6. Eventually this continuation run exceeded target price by a little. Another note, I remember that the consolidation back then was crazy and frustrating for traders gauge, just as is it is now.
Now, the real kicker is that the target price zone between the 1.618 and 2.0 fib extension (green box) is right where the 200-day MA is about to meander through. That makes an ideal top and target price to shoot for, if this running triangle formation does in fact breakout.
HOWEVER, this assumes that price will breakout of both the bright red downtrend resistance from the ATH and the thin dark red resistance. That's going to be a feat and a half. So take precautions, wait for the breakout before initiating longs , reduce your risk.
This also aligns with ongoing idea of a long-term Adam&Eve reversal formation, quite nicely actually, the lines that I've kept on this chart since the $6400 lines aren't based on anything but forward-looking visualization of the pattern. Coincidentally though, the rounded "Eve" bottom is filling out quite well, but anything could happen in crypto!
WABI - Adam & Eve double bottomWABI/BTC formed an Adam & Even double bottom and broke out. It's currently facing resistance on the 0.786 Fib retracement level from its ATH. If it breaks that level, we might see it rise until 0.618 Fib level at around 20k sats.
LTCBTC: Almost formed an Adam & Eve!LTC has broken the downtrend channel, and almost formed an Adam&Eve (or you can say another type of double bottom). If formation completes, the target would be 0.0205 BTC.
On the other hand, while most of the alts jumped up, LTC hasn't moved its play yet. Therefore we may see a bigger move.
Not an investment advice, please do your own research.
Why I think BTC will get HIGH on 4/20So many reasons to be bullish right now. First and foremost, is the current bull flag we have been forming on the 1day chart. 2nd is that the projected trajectory of the eve trendline's ascending curve(in pink) continues to be validated. Third, we still haven't reached the projected breakout target of the descending triangle we broke out of(in purple) and we also haven't yet veered away from that target but are still well on the path and direction of the uptrend to reach that price target. In order to reach that target we must break upward bullishly from the current bull flag. 4th not shown here are the 4hr charts T-line and 50MA both are up inside the current bull flag and both are currently acting as support and just below them we have the eve trend support line and the bottome trendline of the bull flag so lots of support to keep it from breaking down. The one thing the bulls currently ave in their favor is the 1 day 50MA(in orange) is currently blocking the bullish exit on the bull flag. However I think by tomorrow the support lines will all converge closely enough together to create so much support that they will be able to squeeze btc above the 1day 50MA, and shoot it upwards where it's next big challenge will be the 1 day 200MA and just above that the 10,000 psychological resistance. I may take small amounts of profit if we see the 200ma or the 10,000 psych resistance swat the price back down..but if I do it will only be a fractional amount since being above the 4hr 50ma tis long has put us in a buyers market where its wiser to buy dips than try to accumulate more through shorting. If the bullish breakout allows us to close 5 consecutive 1 day candles aboe the 1 day buy/sell line(50MA) then we will be in a serious buyers market and I will likely not do too much shorting while we are above it but rather only buy dips....The last big thing to mention is that we are in a massive descending triangle pattern on the weekly chart. If we break upward from the current bullflag by 4/20 that will give us 2 days before the weekly candle closes which will likely close it above the weekly descending triangle which could send us all the way up to 18,000 eventually. I think if we see a bullish break upward from the 1 day bull flag(which probability favors) it will greatly increase the probability of a break above the weekly descending triangle..and create a bullish domino effect which could give us a bull run for the entire 2nd quarter potentially and even a chance at a new all time high. Of course these are simply my hypothesizations and not meant to be taken as financial advice. I prescribe that you make your own decisions this is simply the path I will be most likely expecting to unfold. Thanks for reading!
Adam Eve Bottoms with flag for upward move6K Bottom was nice Vshape 6.5K grind was slightly less deep but much longer time spent. Handle is forming now? I think if it is the next move is most likely UP in dramatic fashion. I set it to the Order blocks we I believe we will have hardest time to overcome near 9700-9800.
BTCUSD - The forbidden Fruit? Adam & Eve reversal possible.A lowly long term bull in a forest of aggressive short term bears.
Levels, confluence, pattern rec.
thepatternsite.com
Adam & Eve Double Bottoms Overview
Adam is a term that describes how the bottom looks, in this case, a narrow, pointed bottom, perhaps with a one-day downward spike. Eve bottoms are more rounded looking and wider. If they have spikes, they tend to be more numerous and shorter. Many times the difference between Adam and Eve is the width of each over their entire height. Adam bottoms tend to remain narrow but Eve bottoms widen over their height. When trying to decide which is which, ask yourself if the two bottoms appear different or similar. With Adam & Eve, the two should look different (the first narrow and the second wide).
The Adam & Eve double bottom is a chart pattern that performs best in a bear market. In a bull market, however, it's just an average performer. Before trading, wait for price to close above the peak between the two bottoms, confirming the Adam & Eve double bottom as a valid chart pattern.
When compared to the other Eve and Adam combinations of double bottoms, the Adam & Eve double bottom places second only to Eve & Eve in the average rise category. The throwback rate occurs just over half the time (59%) so recognize that price may double back and continue lower than you would like.
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Note:
I do wonder how much influence analysts have on the market as a whole, could it be that the utter bearishness of the TradingView top authors is holding the market back?