#Bitcoin_Update : Exactly As We Predicted.#Bitcoin_Update
All our setups on our Bitcoin trading from June 28 is doing exactly as we predicted and looking forward to test the 9300 USD - 9500 USD area. Hope you all did a good profits from this setup.
Drop your likes if you agree with our ideas and follow us for more. Stay Tuned for more detailed updates.
With Regards. Team TWA.
ABC
BITCOIN WARNING: Optimal Whale Play Will Hit You! Lets jump right into it - we dont have time to waste, because you might once again be caught by the whales. D4rkEnergY is the master when it comes to Market Psychology, and have warned you many times before, when there were risk of being Stop Hunted.
Let me start to say, that Bitcoin is extremely bullish if we zoom out, and take a look at the Daily or Weekly chart. BTC is in a Bull Market, and your job is to spot where its likely we will have a pull back, so you can buy the dips.
Let me also stress, that it is likely, that we will go down right away to my ORANGE Trend line - but this post serve the purpose to give you an idea about another very likely scenario, which will be the optimal Whale Play.
335 Irregular/Running Flat ABC Correction
This correction is not unlikely, and we have seen it play out before - not long time ago - on the 4th wave in the extrension inside the 3rd wave extension.
Take a look at the Long vs Short indicator. We have a huge disproportion between Longs vs Shorts, which give the whales a good incentive to go up straight away. In this correction we will go ABOVE the 3rd wave (123.6% of wave), which will kill tons of Shorts. Hereafter we will go down again, which then will kill all the Longs who believe that this an impulse wave.
And lastly the Shorts will once again be fooled, when we make a super short retracement on C (61.8% of AB), which is normal in an irregular/running flat ABC correction.
I hope it helped you. Please be aware of this likely scenario - and remember that LIKE!
- D4 Loves You! <3
Bitcoin Price Action Update (day 350) Disclaimer: If you are primarily interested in copying other people’s trades then this is not for you. However, if you are willing to put in the work that it takes to learn how to trade for yourself then you have found the right place! Nevertheless please be advised that you can give 10 people a profitable trading strategy and only 1-2 of them will be able to succeed long term. If you fall into the majority that tries and fails then I assume no responsibility for your losses. What you do with your $ is your business, what I do with my $ is my business.
Sawcruhteez Strategies: Comprehensive Trading Strategy - Consensio | Comprehensive Trading Process | How to BUY THE DIP | Advanced Dollar Cost Averaging Methods
Consensio: Testing 4h 50 EMA
Horizontals: R: $11,400 & $12,400 | S: $10,500 & $8,900
Trendline: See below
Parabolic SAR: W: $9,395 | D: $13,858
Futures Curve: Contango with 4.3% spread. Great article about this recently from Ugly Old Goat!
Funding Rates: Longs pay 0.3159%, has been persisting over 0.1% over the last couple days
BTCUSDSHORTS: Long short ratio doesn’t look bad but I trust the funding rate
TD’ Sequential: Daily G8 | Weekly G3
Ichimoku Cloud: Weekly recently turned bullish and is acting as support
Average Directional Index: Looks ready to roll over soon on the daily:
Price Action: 24h: -13.18% | 1w: +10.67% | 1m: +31.95%
Summary: This market was overdue for a correction at $5,800. Even moreso at $7,500 - $8,000. Now it looks like it will finally happen. I have exited my margin longs and will be looking to sell spot on this bounce.
A 15m falling wedge with a $12,400 target recently confirmed. I do not usually pay attention to patterns on lower TF’s but will when the market is really moving.
If that target is reached I will be watching for ABC correction on 4h:
That is the most likely outcome in my opinion, but we will have to wait and see what happens. I am very intrigued by how this trendline has held as support:
That is intriguing but I do not expect it to hold. I recently posted an update with buy signals from the Ichimoku Cloud and TD Sequential. If that entry was taken I would be looking to fully exit, or set a breakeven stop at a minimum.
Right now it is time to control risk and / or hedge. Take some profit while it is still on the table and then keep a significant amount of exposure. Taking profit will improve the cost basis and will protect from the downside. If it continues taking off then great! If not then you will be ready to buy the dip.
I outlined my major areas of support where I will be planning to buy the dip in today’s podcast on Youtube so give that watch if you want to know where I’m looking!
Bitcoin Trash roadmapBitcoin Trash at ~450 support zone - not the strongest one but it worked out twice already. If Bitcoin won't dump (which is the biggest question of all), it may start bouncing from here. IF the King falls hard, which is also a possibility, ABC will fall down to the next support at 430 and maybe lower to 410. Last seem to be the strongest one.
Trade setup: GBP/USD analysisThis trade setup is very simple and justifiable due to numerous confluences, the short term target is 1.26555 which is alignment with the 61.8% fib level as well as a potential right shoulder. 1.27000 proved to be a key barrier which candle couldn't close above, 4HR candle created a huge spike but then closed below to attract a potential short order with a tight SL and maximum reward.
Weekly Market breakdown: USD/JPY analysisprice has demonstrated a lot of bearish pressure, however, we have reached a key area of institutional demand and dynamic area of support as previous price action showed that 108.000 was an area of accumulative orders. If price closes as a Doji candle then the price could reverse to the key psych zone of 110.000 candles on smaller time frame must demonstrate a break above-counter trendline to then form a new lower high. On a longer-term perspective, the price could show further downside due to heightened tension between China and the US.
BTC 30% drop incoming if we fail to breakBTC just completed the 5th wave. Looking at the previous ABC corrections we could expect a ~30% drop to point A. This will happen fast if we fail to break the current levels. I'm placing buy orders throughout this area to catch the ride up to wave B. If we break $9000 the 5th wave extends, at that point we can relocate the A correction, but a 30% drop from that point seems the right thing.
Let me know what you think!
Weekly Market breakdown- EUR/GBPThis is a potential setup that has definitely interested me, this is because the price has overextended as we've seen many consecutive bullish weekly candles, however, the price has approached monthly resistance and key liquidity region meaning there may be some profit-taking by institutions around this region, but to a lot of traders price may be easily displayed as a liquidity pool zone. Therefore, wait upon signs of rejections around this zone that conveys exhaustion in buying power before taking possible shorts. Medium targets maybe 0.8000-0.7000, this is in confluence with the 50% fib retracement zone as our point C area of the pattern.
BTCUSD - Ending Diagonal TriangleIs this the correction everybody is looking for? The best pattern I can put together to make their wishes come true is an Ending Diagonal Triangle. Inside the triangle there is supposed to be a 5 wave count that I won't attempt to draw. Suffice it to say it should touch the top line of the triangle one more time before heading lower. Then perhaps an A B C pattern out the bottom of the triangle maybe with wave B touching the underside of the triangle before continuing to point C. If this does play out then I would have to guess that point C would touch on or near the multi-year trend line on the chart (baby blue line) There is much support building around this area. By this time all of the oversold indicators will have calmed down and the Perma-Bears will be calling for $1,200 to $3,000 again. (lol) But instead we get a 12G rocket shot off the blue line and continue our journey to the moon.
If any or all of this plays out as I have described I will try not to break my arm patting myself on the back. Otherwise I will just keep my mouth shut. :0)
I'm still long and will remain so even if I do try to scalp a few bucks at the top of the triangle. Win or lose, 80% of my long position is staying in cold storage and will not be available for trading.
Good luck everybody. Next week, and the new month, should prove to be very interesting.
For more information on the Ending Diagonal Triangle pattern see: thepatternsite.com
If you think this idea has any chance at all to play out as described remember to hit the thumbs up button.
Thanks!
Is the big ABC finally over? [BEAR MARKET CONTINUATION]Well, I was not expecting this 5th wave to extend all the way to 8k, however there was a liquidity pool by the looks of it - 11,000 BTC worth of shorts were closed at that level.
Regardless, my outlook has not changed - only slightly prolonged. I'm expecting a big move on the 25th of May, and very likely it will be to the downside.
FOMO is picking up, and the masses don't see an end to this rally.
The alternative to this ABC, is that we just finished wave 3 / 5, will have a correction to $5,400 and go on to make a double top at 8k, or even surpass on to 10k.
Just putting this alternative out there, however I'm still in favor of the ABC with a target of $2,500 - $2,800
-Hawk
ABC - Very nice but...Very nice signal with good potential.
Buy if 5300 breaks. A confirmed break above 5300.
Targets
6050
6500
8000
9000
Stop loss 5300
Bitcoin from Jan 2019, to Keep Bears Objective and Bull Hopeful I posted this chart a few times the past month and started to post it in Jan at the 3400 low. Back than the market was once again so bearish, that i tried to give another objective perspective to where we might be at that point. I know most crypto people have not seen enough charts in their live to know this, therefore i made this post to show several other markets. In this case all FX charts, but i could have shown others as well, no matter which market. I's just how markets work. When a low a set, we just usually see a re test of that support/low. You have to see it like, the market knows it's weak and bearish, but it wants and NEEDS to test again if there are still more sellers than possible buyers in the market at the same lows. With this i mean the Dec low, the rally that followed and than testing the 3350/3400 lows again to see how the market will respond.
As mentioned in Jan, i could not say if it would be a simple ABC to like 4200/4600 or that we would see an impulse wave (12345) to 5K/6K prices. You just can't know upfront, whoever tells you they can, is simply making an subjective assumption. What i mentioned back then and in my normal Bitcoin analysis, we need to see how the market will perform during the way up. If we would see a big rally straight through the 4600ish (which was my key level between bear and bull market on the mid-term), an impulse wave would be much more likely. If we would see a slow rally through 4200 and see it slow down until like 4600, than an ABC would be much more likely.
You just can't know this upfront, because you can't know what the markets intentions are at the start. But you can make a good/decent assumption when seeing certain rallies. Based on those signs, you can judge how strong or weak the market is. With those facts, you can still not be sure of anything, but at least your assumption will have some real foundation.
A part of the previous analysis:
There have been so many people telling me that a break of the 4200 was almost impossible the past weeks and to be honest, it was taking a lot of time to break up so it was far from easy to think it will break the 4200. Again, all had very compelling reasons even towards me. Each time i would simply look back at these charts and would look at them and think okay, they are right, volume is crap, moves are slow, taking a lot of time, no conviction, bearish indicators and many more. But then when looking at the game plan i had prepared 2 months ago and the charts and movements, i would simply tell myself okay:
A) Did something weird happen since the Feb low? No, we got rejection again at 4200 as suggested simply to make a higher low and attack the 4200 again. Of course the past 2 weeks it was not easy to to think the 4200 would break, but the past days before the break up, there were several signs indicating the chances were increasing, as mentioned in my BTC' analysis.
B) How is sentiment, bearish or bullish? What i could see on TV and from comments and my own groups, it was mostly bearish , so that was actually even perfect.
C) I can continue with more of these things but i won't, think you get the picture.
If you find this interesting, i recommend to read the previous chapters as well of the: Bitcoin long term ABC examples. You can find them here below.
Don't forget to like if you appreciate this :)
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