EURJPY: Undecided Yet !On EURJPY, price has invalidated our previous analysis by almost reaching the top of the A-corrective wave, so here are our 2 possible scenarios:
1. Up then Down: Price can reach the resistance (130) then dive downward and break the down trendline.
2. Wave Respect: Price can still validate our previous analysis if the A-wave isn't reached by the B-wave and thus the price would break the down trendline and when the price reaches the support have a new Long position there.
Until then, Trade Safe and Best of Luck !
ABC
BTC Traders: Fasten Your Seatbelt BTC has successfully retraced 61.8% in the corrective waves (ABC) and we can consider this phase to be done. An overview on the H4 timeframe will tell us that BTC is in its 3rd wave (bullish) and longest. Round numbers are our next targets. Will it be able to reach the 60K by the end of the week ? Supply and Demand will tell, that's why you should fasten your seatbelt as we are heading to the moon with BTC.
Best of Luck !
MacroForex
GBPUSD: Corrective Waves !OANDA:GBPJPY
This one is sitting around a very strong resistance and a bullish trendline has been formed with more than 3 touches.
Moreover, on this one, price is into corrective waves , adding more confirmation into a short position.
Waiting for our trigger to sell this one. GET READY SHOOTERS !
Trade Safe !
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MacroForex
GOLD (XAUUSD) - NEW SWING IDEAAfter we reached the target at 1740 and 1720 (1740 - 1680 area ) from my previus idea (attached here), I would say that a beautiful wave 4 made of an inside ABCDE ( 3 3 3 3 3 waves) strucure might be in competition (or already completed), in that mentioned area.
But looking at the formation of this last leg down I would say that this could looks also as a wave 3 (wave 3, YES!! :D ), so I'm starting to play around this new exciting big idea and i drawed the extensions and retracements aaaaand...
here is the idea: a formation of 3 3 5 waves in wich we are into the wave 3!!!!!
This wouldnt have any impact in the bull count of the gigantic wave 4 before the last up move, so would be completely possibile in a bull scenario. Enjoy!
XRP ABC Correction May NOT HappenBITSTAMP:XRPUSD
Till now i have been expecting an ABC correction to happen with XRP. That would also be the time when BTC has a major correction. The first sign that an ABC correction may not happen for XRP is that we had a daily candle close above 0.618 fib level on a shorter time frame (last dump). Price did correct a bit today but is climbing up again. Second sign is the BTC price. Before a correction with BTC will happen, it still could most likely move up a bit ($52000-55k) before bigger pullback which would ultimately effect XRP price, it is just that the XRP price could by then be in a $2 area respectively.
I could b completely wrong about that, as the price could go down any time, as BTC decides to do a correction.
I am not a financial advisor so don't buy anything that a say. Have a nice bullish day everyone. BYBIT:XRPUSD
PLTR performing the ABC correction in a rather neat pattern I've linked the prelude to this chart, slighty adjusted here to take into account the ABC correction. This in my opinion is a healthy correction, healthy movement before finding it's feet onto wave 5 (hopefully)
Remember, analysis is one thing. Not trading advise.
Bitcoin - another rally ahead of us?In our previous analysis, we have mentioned that bitcoin may have ended the ABC simple correction. We assumed that because of the shape of the ABC pattern and the larger volume at the end of wave C.
Currently, the market got a boost from Elon Musk, who changes his bio on Twitter, putting in the bio just #bitcoin. It led to a huge spike with over 4000 USD appreciation. As a consequence, the trendline has been broken and the market has tested its first potential target at 37857 USD.
However, if the moment will be continued and the top of wave B is broken, the market may move to the ATH and could try to make another rally to 45000 or 50000 USD.
________
Daniel Kostecki, Chief Analyst Conotoxia Ltd.
Materials, analysis and opinions contained, referenced or provided herein are intended solely for informational and educational purposes. Personal opinion of the author does not represent and should not be constructed as a statement or an investment advice made by Conotoxia Ltd. All indiscriminate reliance on illustrative or informational materials may lead to losses. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
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We're ready to launch EUR/CAD is in the last corrective wave before the continuation of the trend. We are expecting the market to provide to us a last impulsion to the upside. From a COT perspective the smart money added more long than short on EUR which aligns perfectly with our vision and give us more probability for a successful trade.
I hope you enjoyed this analysis , Like and share if you did. If you have a different vision please leave a comment below.
Thank you and have an amazing trading week. Trade safe !!!
ABC analyses Hello dear traders, ABC IS GOING TO BTC of the year, we are now havinf a massaive bullish trade, so better to keep position and double it when we reach the price +118e ,
GOLD (XAUUSD) - ABC of the bigger (B) - 30m ChartAccording with my main Indea of the big ABCDE into the Cycle's Wave 4 I think that we stay into the relative (B) of wich the green inner ABC may be a potential path. Also looking at the potential Bat Pattern that is forming. I will look at the marked levels for a reversal up to 1880 - 1910 area.
NZDJPY LongNice expanding flag. Wait for price to reach the 78-88%. price should be in ABC corrective phase. It should be in wave C. If the ABC correct will reverse with this pattern it likes to reach the 78-88% and sometimes 100% or slightly more then reverse. For extra confirmation be very patient and wait for the W/double bottom to form or an inverse head and shoulders. The W/inverse should be proportional to the flag pattern. Avoid taking tiny reversal patterns.
#PG Long!PG looks like a good long if it can hold support or bounce off my next fib if not i see this dropping to the area I have marked up before making another impulsive move higher, overall i see this following Eliot wave nicety don't miss this one you can ride the top or ride the bottom your choice!
Adbri - Ascending Triangle - Approx 17% upsideNot my fav set up here but looks a fairly high probabilty trade.
Technicals - Ascending triangle formation, entry on triangle break with bullish candle confirmation.
Fundamentals - materials sector is expected to get plenty of activity from various government stimuli, plus, low interest rates environment is beneficial. Additionally, the market expected a much weaker outcome as a result of the coronavirus pandemic, and as a result a further bounce in share price is a decent probabilty.
Bull or bear?Hi there,
I obviously messed up something in my previous counts, I'll all check it one more time tomorrow though everything was going surprisingly well till say, today.
Did we reach the end of today's retracement? Perhaps. We'd have retraced a clean 50% of a cycle begun on January 4 and would be now in a new impulsive trend which wave 1 is done and wave 2 being done: it reached 38.2% so far and may well go a bit lower until 50% ($37,060) or 61.8% ($36,600). If we got once more under $35,100 I would move my A and B wave to respectively today's bottom and what I'm so far calling wave 1 at 39k, and C objectives would have to be either 100% ($32,760) or 161.8% ($28,900), which would happen to correlate with much bigger light blue wave IV's targets around 38.2% retracement.
Let's see what BTC says, it's pretty stimulating to see what interesting trade opportunities are coming to light.
EURCADEURCAD had a nice impulse up with an ABC correction.
This could be a good buy opportunity as our correction should now have finished and as the EURO strength has some more room for another push up.
Driving factors:
Brexit trade deal
Covid19
Vac news
Inflation rate
Small buy for 220 pips from this level seems worth the risk. However large volume will resume again now we are out the festive period so this could be invalidated easily.