EURUSD → The triple top is in the 1.1200 zone. Falling?FX:EURUSD is facing strong resistance forming a reversal pattern relative to the 1.1200 sideways range boundary. The bulls are not yet able to continue the trend. The dollar is bouncing....
On the back of unpredictable economic data confirming the problems in the US economy (manufacturing, banking sector), the markets are rebounding. DXY strengthens after the market held 100.0 support.
EURUSD reverses course amid sentiment changes. Price forms a triple top reversal pattern and faces a strong sell-off, within which breaks trend support. In the short-term, we may catch a correction to the imbalance zone (with the aim of retesting the previously broken channel boundary), after which the decline may continue to 1.100, 1.095, 1.089.
Resistance levels: 1.11, 1.1125, 1.115
Support levels: 1.107, 1.104, 1.100
ADP NonFarm ahead and before the news, the market may quiet down and form a correction. In case of EURUSD, the zone of interest is 1.11 - 1.113. The fall may resume from these zones....
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A-flat
WIFUSDT → A reversal set-up. Breakdown 2.100BINANCE:WIFUSDT changes the market structure to bearish. Traders are moving into the phase of profit-taking after the rally. The market is not ready to go up yet.
The rally stops at the strong resistance zone at 2.639. A local false breakdown is formed relative to the extreme upward movement, indicating that buyers are not ready yet and sellers have come to the market (profit-taking). At the moment the market is testing 2.100 and is ready to break this support. A pullback is possible before breaking down.
BUT, if the buyers now enter this zone and consolidate below 2.100, the prospect of further decline will come very quickly.
Resistance levels: 2.15, 2.2
Support levels: 2.100, 1.96. 1.95
A breakdown and consolidation below 2.100 will activate strong selling amid a general bear market. If the price further enters the flat channel, it may cause a decline to 1.45
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EURO - Price can rise a little and then bounce down to $1.1010Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price bounced from mirror line and made upward impulse, thereby breaking $1.1010 level.
Then price started to trades inside flat, where it at once rose to resistance level, which coincided with top part of flat.
After this, EUR turned around and in a short time fell to mirror line and then bounced up again.
Later price reached $1.1200 level again and some time traded near, after which turned around and started to fall.
Euro fell to mirror line and recently broke it, so, now it trades very close to this line inside flat.
I think that price can make a move up, higher mirror line, and then continue to decline to $1.1010 level.
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GOLD → MA-200 False Breakdown. Will the growth continue?FX:XAUUSD is testing the support of 2625 forming a false break of SMA-200 as part of the correction. The range boundaries are confirmed and the market, after retesting the support, changes its target...
Globally and locally the trend is bullish, this is facilitated by the situation in the Middle East, which is becoming more complicated every day.... In addition, US dollar buyers took a breather before the news, and US Treasury yields reversed the previous rise amid deteriorating risk sentiment, which limited the decline in the gold price.
Traders await PMI from ISM, and JOLTS survey data, which could signal a further cooling of the US labor market
Yesterday Powell said:
- Fed in no rush to cut rates quickly, will be data-driven. If the economy is as expected, two more 0.25% cuts are possible. Accordingly, the course of interest rate cut st
Support levels: 2643, 2634, 2624
Resistance levels: 2659, 2673, 2685
Gold still enjoys huge interest. Buyers are defending key support zones. A change of sentiment is forming and I would expect a continuation of the rise from the key support zones towards the zones of interest at the moment. The news may increase volatility and form a shakeout....
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BITCOIN → False breakout of $ 65,000. What's next ↓ ?BINANCE:BTCUSD entered a strong buying zone (above 65K), but the bulls failed to realize the potential. The price returned in the channel boundaries, eliminating the positively-minded... A false breakout is forming relative to 65K.
After the liquidation and strong impulse, a small correction is formed, directed to the imbalance zone. The retest may end with the bears holding the defense below 65K, in this case the price may start a gradual decline due to the lack of opportunity to break through 65K (in this case the all-time favorite pattern “Head and Shoulders” may form here). The focus is on the support 62745, below which an ogrom pool of liquidity is formed, if the price enters this zone, the market may spill down.... The global range of 65K - 55K is still relevant. It is not excluded that the resistance can be broken quickly, but for the moment the fight for 65K is still going on... Bears will be able to confirm their victory provided the price consolidates below 62800.
Resistance levels: 65K, 66K
Support levels: 62745, 61320
As the fight for 65K continues, the bulls may make another attempt on the background of the retest. If they will be able to consolidate above the 65-66K zone, the price will head to the global resistance - 68-69K, where a more serious, fierce struggle will develop...
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GOLD - Price can bounce up from support area to $2710 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price started to trades inside flat, where it bounced from support level and rose to almost top part.
Then Gold made correction to $2475 level and then bounced up, reached top part of flat again, and exited.
After this, price continued to move up inside rising channel, where later it made a correction to support line.
Next, price bounced and in a short time rose to $2620 level, broke it, and reached resistance line of channel.
But a not long time ago, XAU turned around and started to decline, so, I think it can fall to support area.
Also then, price can turn around and bounce up to $2710 resistance line of a rising channel.
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GOLD → Is it time for a correction? Retest of 2650 supportFX:XAUUSD is cooling down. Earlier the price updated local highs. Now the metal is testing 2650 as a support level. At the moment, the price is entering the panic zone, which may provoke profit-taking before Powell's speech.
Technically the market is bullish, but after the formation of ATH 2685 the price is not ready to test and update these highs. The influence of the interest rate cut has cooled down and traders are starting to focus on the incoming actual data. But we should not forget about the situation in the Middle East. Chicago PMI and Powell's speech at 17:55 are ahead. Everything depends on his comments and the tone he will give to the markets.
Based on the overall technical situation and technical overheating of the syuatation, we can assume that the price may extend the range and test the support at 2634-2623-2613 before the market returns to recovery.
Resistance levels: 2660, 2675
Support levels: 2634, 2623
I am waiting for a correction with a possible retest of the key support zones. Most likely we should count on the confirmation of the range boundaries and the formation of a flat between 2600(2615) - 2685
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NZDUSD → Resistance Retest. Fed meeting ahead... FX:NZDUSD is set to go higher. The price is breaking the local resistance within the uptrend. There is an important event ahead, which can affect the price quite strongly...
On D1 the market is hinting at bullish prospects, a retest of the global resistance is forming, which divides the market into 2 parts...
Traders are waiting for the FOMC and FED meeting at 18:00, where officials will decide on the interest rate cut. The main question is 0.5% or 0.25%. The first will be a strong bullish signal for the currencies, the dollar will accelerate its downward movement on this background. The second value may slightly disappoint traders and the market reaction will be ambiguous. In any case, the general course of rate cuts sets the main tone in the market, it remains to wait only for specific numbers.
Support levels: 0.61528, 0.61244
Resistance levels: 0.62095, 0.62544
Technically, the bullish trend continues, as hinted by the local situation on the chart. Traders believe in the favorable background. I believe that the Fed's decision will strengthen the general market trends and in this case the currency pair will head towards the upper boundary of the channel....
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GBPJPY → A sideways range is forming. Emphasis on resistance...FX:GBPJPY is strengthening after forging a double bottom at 184.0. It is also favored by the JPY correction on the back of the dollar correction after the unpredictable reaction to the US interest rate cuts...
The currency pair may continue its decline from the resistance zone 192-193.5. This is facilitated by a number of nuances: Japan still holds the course for further strengthening of interest rates in order to save the value of the national currency. The dollar may continue its fall after traders come to their senses after the US interest rate cuts....
Overall, this tandem can have a strong impact on the JPY strength and on the currency pair as a whole, allows to form a medium-long term strategy on the currency pair.
Technically, I am waiting for a false breakdown or bounce from the mentioned resistance zone with the subsequent decline to the liquidity zone....
Resistance levels: 191.4, 193.48, 193.97
Support levels: 190.5, 186.7
BUT! If the bulls manage to consolidate above 193.97, then an upward impulse may be formed, because at the moment the environment (technical and fundamental background) is still tense...
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EURUSD → Bounce from 1.1200 before further growthFX:EURUSD has been rallying since the beginning of the Asian session and is reaching the key resistance at 1.1200. The psychological level has quite a strong weight on the market and it will be difficult to break this area from the first time....
A rebound is forming on H4-H1. On D1, a rather wide range of 1.120 - 1.105 is forming in the market but after the price exits the descending wedge, which is a rather promising bullish premise. Due to the strong distribution to 1.1200 the market has no potential to break through this zone, accordingly, in the short (mid) term I expect a pullback or consolidation in the range 1.12 - 1.114 ( 1.111) and the subsequent retest of the upper boundary of the range with the aim of breaking through and further growth to 1.127 - 1.135.
Resistance levels: 1.120
Support levels: 1.114, 1.111
There is a huge pool of liquidity above 1.12, which will not allow buyers to overcome this obstacle so easily. We are waiting for a correction and a further breakdown, which will be followed by growth.
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DOGE → Another manipulation or growth? What to expect next?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT in the distribution phase is aiming for a strong resistance at 0.11546. The global and local trend is bearish and there are no hints of breaking it yet. A contrend rally is forming....
On H4, the sideways range plays a relevant role. The last time we tested 0.11546 at the moment of its formation - exactly 1 month ago. There is no potential for breaking the level and further growth on the background of such a strong movement. The most probable scenario in this case is a rebound or a false breakdown, which may lead to a correction.
BUT! The structure may be broken if there is no pullback or the coin will start to form consolidation near 0.11546 with further signs of resistance retest and readiness to go higher....
Resistance levels: 0.11546
Support levels: 0.11099, 0.107, 0.103
DOGE does not enjoy any strong interest from traders due to the high level of manipulation by big players. At the moment, on the background of the global bearish trend it is worth looking for strong resistance levels with the purpose of catching bounces
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GOLD → The safe asset continues to be bullrun ↑FX:XAUUSD does not react properly to the growth of the dollar. The metal continues to renew highs and seeks upward. There is no resistance ahead and the geopolitical backdrop is blowing a favorable wind....
Gold is holding near an all-time high as buyers refuse to give up amid recent Fed comments, China's stimulus (China's Central Bank today announced an unprecedented blitz of support for the economy) and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
China is the world's top consumer of the yellow metal
The gold price tends to benefit from geopolitical tensions due to its traditional safe-haven status.
Also, the Fed will continue to hint at another 0.5% rate cut
Resistance levels: 2634, 2640
Support levels: 2623, 2614, 2602
The general background hints at an active continuation of the growth. If gold will consolidate above the maximum of the previous day, then in the mid (short) term we should consider the continuation of growth to 2650-2660-2675. It is not excluded that there may be a correction before further growth due to the approaching important news...
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BITCOIN → There's a conglomeration of resistances ahead: 65-69KBINANCE:BTCUSD is forming a bull run amid a 0.5% cut in US interest rates, but investors' fervor may be cooled quickly enough by new economic news. The situation is not as simple as it seems....
It's also the most likely scenario
We need to be careful as the price is approaching a conglomeration of strong resistances. Pressure could come from both the 65K area, which is still untested, and the area above - 68K - 69K. Let me remind you that globally bitcoin is in a descending channel. Globally ( D1-W1 ) the asset looks good for continued growth, but locally ( D1-H4-H1 ) I don't see any signs that the market is ready to overcome the resistance zone above.
Trades may get nervous ahead of next week's new news: SP PMI, DGP, DGO and Fed chief's speech. If the indicators become sharply unpredictable, all the speculators' bullish fervor may cool down very quickly and in that case we may meet the correction phase amid profit taking....
Resistance levels: 64K, 65K, 68K, 69K
Support levels: 62750, 61300, 59400, 57730
Now, above 62750 a consolidation is forming. If the price does head towards 64-65K, we should keep an eye on the global resistance. But, if bears sell the price down and bitcoin consolidates below 62750, then an impulse to the nearest liquidity zones may be formed.
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GOLD - Price can bounce from resistance line of channel to $2580Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price traded inside flat, where it reached $2530 level and then bounced down to bottom part of flat.
Then price rose back, some time traded near $2530 level, and then started to decline to $2472 points.
Gold exited from flat and started to grow inside a rising channel, where it soon reached the $2530 level again.
Price broke this level and continued to grow until it reached resistance line of channel, after which made a correction.
After correction, Gold turned around and rose to resistance line again, but recently it started to decline.
I think that XAU can rise resistance line and then start to decline to $2580 support line of a rising channel.
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USDCHF → Dollar rebound changes the local situationFX:USDCHF after a shakeout returns to range resistance amid the current downtrend. The dollar index is rising and many don't realize what's going on....
DXY failed to overcome the critical and psychological level of 100.0. The yield on 10-year US government bonds did not fall after the rate cut, but even rose to 3.74% from 3.6%. Strange divergence between currency market expectations of rate cuts and debt market expectations of rising yields. The expectations of traders/investors on the background of interest rate cuts did not come true and in the future we should expect a deeper rebound of the dollar considering the fact that GDP data and Powell's speech are ahead.
The currency pair is currently forming a local resistance at 0.8517, the breakdown of this zone will give an impulse to the trend resistance, which will determine the further situation. Either the rebound or the price will go higher, to deeper zones of interest.
Resistance levels: 0.8517, 0.856, 0.8616
Support levels: 0.843, 0.837
The trend can be considered broken and confirmed bullish after the price fixation above 0.875, currently bearish. It is worth forming your strategy on this fact
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🧈 GOLD MACRO FLAT 📈Hey guys,
FXOPEN:XAUUSD Has created a macro regular flat structure with a lower degree impulse/correction and has broken out.
Now this may take a long time to play out but I definitely see this being very high probability.
I personally won't be holding on to one position for that long, but I will be taking smaller time frame positions that are bullish riding the trend/current.
GOLD → Testing the highs. News ahead. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is getting shaken on the background of dollar growth on Monday. A false breakdown is forming relative to last week's high. The trend is bullish, but before the strong news there may be a minute of panic....
Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds are rising on the back of falling interest rates, boosting the U.S. dollar. This is an unpredictable scenario, because something is not going the way everyone was expecting. Further movement depends on the Euro and US PMI data. If the PMI will again cause fears of recession in the world, the recovery of the US dollar, will change the local structure of the markets, which will cause a new correction in the price of gold from record highs. Also the focus on the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East...
Resistance levels: 2625, 2631, 2650
Support levels: 2614, 2602, 2589
Technically, a correction may follow from 2625 as locally there are preconditions for panic on the background of approaching news. Traders may resort to profit taking, which will contribute to the correction. BUT, if gold continues its active recovery, a break of 2631 will open the potential for a rise to 2640-2650.
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GOLD → The shakeup after the rate cuts... What's next?FX:XAUUSD updates high to 2600 and then experiences a shakeout. Traders held the 2550 area and are currently trying to recover losses by testing the upper end of the range....
The Fed announced a 0.5% rate cut, bringing the interest rate to a range of 4.75%-5.0%. Why 0.5 and not 0.25? The Fed chief said that 0.25 poses threats to the economy that can no longer be allowed to...
The gold price failed to capitalize on the sharp Fed rate cut, updating the ATH to 2600 the price headed down to the 2560 - 2550 liquidity zones. Traders are waiting for data on jobless claims and existing home sales to assess the state of the economy as a whole, the news may set the course for a correction or strengthen the general background, which will affect further growth
Technically, the price approached the resistance rather quickly, which increases the chances of a bounce or a false breakout. The focus is on 2588- 2585. If the bears hold this area, the price may decline to the area of interest before rising.
Resistance levels: 2585, 2588, 2600
Support levels: 2566, 2559, 2550
The overall bullish market structure is clearly visible on D1. Traders, after the rate cuts, need to take a breath and wait for additional confirming signs.... For today, the focus is on the trading range indicated on the chart...
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GOLD - Price can make small move up and bounce down to $2540Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price moved up inside the rising channel, where it at once fell below $2500 support level, breaking it.
Later price grew to resistance line of channel, but then declined back to support line and soon repeated movement up.
Gold broke $2500 level and later rose to next support level, and when it reached this level it broke it and exited from flat.
Next, price started to trades inside flat, where it rose to top part and after some time traded near it made correction.
Recently XAU bounced back and now tried to grow higher and I think it can rise a little more and then bounce down to $2540
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GBPUSD → A change of sentiment. What happened?FX:GBPUSD is moving into a flat phase, possibly into counter-trend correction on the background of locally changed sentiment, formed by the fundamental background of Thursday / Friday, the dollar is growing on this background.
The currency pair is forming a bull market wave on D1-W1. On D1, a clear transition from bear market to bull market is formed, which is confirmed by the breakdown of the structure and smooth confirmation by the subsequent impulse.
The fundamental background is (temporarily) negative, there is no news for the next two days, respectively, the sentiment from last week remains.
Technically, the zone of interest for MM is the support from D1 at 1.3044. On H1 we have a strong liquidity zone ahead, which may trigger a primary pullback to the equilibrium zone before a subsequent decline to the key support and liquidity zone.
Resistance levels: 1.314, 1.3163
Support levels: 1.3088, 1.3081, 1.3044
Buyers decided to refrain for the time being, shorts on the currency pair are increasing on the background of the dollar growth. Ahead is an important event - CPI, PPI, as well as the Fed rate meeting on September 18. By this time the market may be neutral
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EURCAD → One step away from a rally. High chance to break 1.5100FX:EURCAD exited from the accumulation of the “descending triangle” format, which is a favorable signal for the continuation of the trend.
A promising bullish structure is forming on W1.
Euro, despite the ECB interest rate cuts, is growing and the growth is mostly related to the dollar, which is falling after Friday's news of PPI and Initial Jobless Claims. Now it is not the fact of the action itself that is being discussed, but how much it will be cut...
Technically, the currency pair is consolidating in front of the global resistance at 1.51000. The strong level has been holding the market in the bearish zone for several years, but the fundamental background gives a chance to break and move into the realization and growth phase.
Resistance levels: 1.5051, 1.51000
Support levels: 1750238, 1.4935
The primary reaction at 1.505 may end with a rebound, but most likely the bulls will manage to keep the defense above 1.5023 - 1.505, which may have a very favorable impact on the further growth of the trend.
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GOLD → Lower interest rates are ahead. A stalemate... ↑↓FX:XAUUSD is consolidating between 2588 - 2562. But, buyers are not yet out of the game in the hope of continued growth. Then everything depends on the Fed. Welcome to the casino :)
At 18:30 the FOMC & FED will meet to decide whether to cut rates. 0.25% or 0.5%. A 0.5% Fed rate cut could send a mixed signal about the state of the US economy: the Fed's concern about the economy, and that a “soft landing” may not turn out to be so soft, but it would be a strong bullrun signal for gold. A weaker policy, could provoke an unpredictable reaction, which would temporarily disappoint investors. In such a case, a correction to 2550-2525-2500 may form (price may bounce from any zone shown on the chart) before a further global rally, as the general tone of the market is set by the global Central Bank's interest rate cuts....
Resistance levels: 2575, 2588, 2600, ...
Support levels: 2561, 2550, 2530
It is difficult to say about expectations, as the uncertainty is high due to the fact that the overall situation is stalemate, either this way or that way. I recommend to refrain from trading on the news and wait for the volatility to decrease . The trading range for today is very wide....
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AUDUSD → A reversal set-up. Rebound before the fallFX:AUDUSD is breaking the bullish market structure amid the counter-trend dollar correction related to fundamentals. The currency pair is bumping into a strong liquidity area...
It will be difficult to pass the zone 0.6695 from the first time, because below this area there is a zone of high density of limit orders. Accordingly, as a reaction we see a false break of the support at 0.6699 (H4) and a rebound. Earlier there was a change of market character to bearish, rebound from the support may lead to recovery to 0.5-0.7 Fibo, from which further decline may resume to the key support from which 2 scenarios may develop. In a weak market the movement may continue, but if the general background starts to change (the dollar is in a bear market) the currency pair may start a recovery phase.
Resistance levels: 0.674, 0.676
Support levels: 0.6699, 0.6686
Technically, we are waiting for a pullback to the specified zone (0.5 - 0.7 Fibo), further it is worth watching the price reaction to the specified zones. A price retest of the support will increase the chances of a breakout and further decline, but strong bulls may continue to resist the bears, which may lead to growth
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