GOLD → Previously untouched terrain. Correction or growth?FX:XAUUSD is a pioneer. The price is testing new highs in a new, previously untouched zone. High interest in the metal, rumors and crisis leads to the fact that the growth of gold outpaces the growth of the dollar.
Dollar Index (D1) Breakout of resistance and news
The dollar is also rising. The price of the index has been supported by regulators for an extended period of time. The price is moving into a new range. What is interesting is that against the background of USD appreciation, gold is also rising in price. But this has its own reasons: the expectation of a rate cut, according to Powell, 3 rate cuts are expected in 2024. High interest to gold as a hedge asset, as well as the huge buyout of metal by central banks, which only fuels the price to strengthen.
Gold (H1). Key levels and technical situation
Technically, gold is at its highs. On D1 the price is testing the exit from the existing price channel. The closing of the session on Friday indicates that the market will try to move higher.
The only thing that confuses me is the price going outside the global channel on the background of distribution, the metal, from the technical point of view, has no potential to overcome this boundary from the first time. A pullback or consolidation is possible.
It is worth paying attention to two price levels: 2235 and 2222. A breakthrough of the upper boundary with the subsequent consolidation of the price above this level will continue the growth. The expected target in this case could be 2250.
A break of the lower level may activate the liquidation of buyers, which will form a correction to 2212, 2200
Regards R. Linda!
A-flat
AUDUSD → Price is getting ready to break support FX:AUDUSD is forming a downtrend amid the growing dollar index. The currency pair is under pressure from sellers.
Support level 0.64039 is forming on D1, which continues to hold the market. But, the buyers' urge may be broken, as the price continues to squeeze to the support and is gaining potential for this. On the background of the rising USD and weakening Aussie, the sellers have high chances. The target in this case will be the area of 0.6443 and 0.6352.
Resistance levels: 0.6540
Support levels: 0.6504, 0.6443
Technically, the currency pair has a negative background and most likely the decline will continue. A break of this support will give a bearish impulse.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Buyer imbalance within the range. Liquidation?FX:XAUUSD is testing resistance once again very slowly and gradually, protecting local support zones, below which a huge pool of liquidity is formed. What to expect from the market maker?
On the background of growth and retest of the range resistance we see low volumes. The range is narrowing and technically this could indicate a willingness to break resistance. But I stick to the format that the market maker is gathering all buyers to further liquidate. The chart shows localized areas of liquidity and none of them have been tested in the last 2 weeks. The market will never let the crowd make money. A retest of the far resistance is possible before further liquidation of all buyers inside the range.
Resistance levels: 2195, 2212, 2222
Support levels: 2186, 2180, 2166, 2150, 2144
Technically, there is a huge imbalance of buyers inside the range, clearly, the market maker has a "liquidate buyers" item set on the checklist. Price is still in the range, and I am still waiting for a retest of the lower liquidity areas, which for many on the current chart may seem unacceptable. Let's see
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1!
Regards R. Linda!
🇬🇧 GBPUSD 🇺🇸 - Sellers' liquidation before further decline GBPUSD is preparing to test the support. The price has been forming consolidation since the opening of the session. Most likely, local resistance may be tested with the aim of liquidating sellers with further decline to the potential target of 1.28.
Reasons for further decline:
1) Dollar rises on news, this is negative for GBP
2) False breakdown of 1.28 forms a potential for a decline
3) The target is the accumulation of orders below 1.25.
4) Neutral trend, range. Resistance is tested, target is support
GOLD → Trading inside the range. Target is support FX:XAUUSD is trading inside the range. The markmet-maker is liquidating sellers relative to the 2180-2200 area, after which it forms a false breakdown of 2195 and returns to the range again.
On D1 everything is the same. The market continues to form a sideways range. There are no reasons for the price to leave 2195-2144. After testing the upper part of the range, the market still has targets below 2166, especially the area of the lower boundary of the flat, as there is a huge amount of liquidity hidden there, which is clearly of interest to traders. Consolidation below 2180 may favorably influence the price down to 2166. A break of 2166 will send the price to 2150 and 2144.
Resistance levels: 2180, 2186
Support levels: 2166, 2150, 2144
Technically, the local trend is neutral. It is acceptable to trade both buying and selling. But the market has an unclosed gestalt within the range trading: liquidity area 2150-2144
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1!
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD - Price can turn around and start decline to support areaHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price declined to mirror line, thereby breaking $2020 support level, which coincided with support area.
After this, price started to move up between this line and soon broke support level one more time.
Soon, Gold declined below mirror line, but then price made upward impulse to $2155 level, breaking this line again.
Next, price broke this level and started to trades in flat, where later reached mirror line one more time.
But then Gold turned around and a little declined, after which a not long time ago started to move up.
Now, in my mind, price can reach top part of flat and then bounce down to $2140 support area.
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GOLD → Range trading. What is the importance of the 2144 area?FX:XAUUSD is trading inside the global range, forming a small flat inside. Consolidation continues and at the moment there is no reason for the price to leave the 2195-2144 channel.
On D1 and H4 we see a sideways channel, a range. The market is clearly bullish, but at the moment the price is standing still. On the left side of the chart we see local liquidity zones, which the market maker will gradually reach. But, the most interesting thing is that the main gestalt is not closed yet: the strong support at 2144 has not been tested yet, and neither has the liquidity in this zone. On H1 we see an upward movement. The target of such a move could be the 2180-2185 area, or range resistance with a subsequent decline to targets below. A standard trading situation inside the range is being formed.
Resistance levels: 2186, 2180, 2195
Support levels: 2166, 2150, 2144
Within the mentioned flat, the price is trading between the zones, levels, forming consolidation. There is an important area inside the range, which has not been tested yet, hence, the market may head from the resistance to the indicated liquidity zone below
COMEX:GC1! TVC:DXY COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Resistance pressure on the bearish trend FX:EURUSD is testing the support of the range formed inside the bearish trend. There is resistance pressure in the market.
Bostic ( Fed ) stated that he now expects only one interest rate cut this year, thus this comment can be read as a hawkish attitude of the regulator. Bostic is often aggressive in his comments after Powell's speech
The dollar index are in a bullish phase, which has a negative impact on the euro. On H4, the price is bouncing off the support and may test the nearest resistance before further declining on the trend.
Resistance levels: 1.08597, 1.08975
Support levels: 1.07958, 1.07030
Technically, against the background of bearish trend, the resistance may affect the price accordingly, which may lead to a retest of the support with a subsequent breakout and decline.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Trading within the range between levels FX:XAUUSD is forming a correction after a false breakdown of the resistance of the range. Against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar index, pressure from resistance appears in gold.
The market is starting to bet that the Fed will not cut rates this year. At the same time Bostic (Fed) said he now expects only one Fed rate cut this year following Powell's comments about a pledged 0.75% cut in 2024.
Gold on D1 in the 2195, 2148 range. The candlestick setup is bearish and most likely inclined to see the decline continue. The target in this case is the area of 2150-2145. On H1, the market is forming pressure from sellers on the background of strengthening dollar index.
Resistance levels: 2172, 2177
Support levels: 2166, 2156, 2150, 2144
Technically, within the range gold may test the liquidity area 2150-2145 as it is a tidbit for both market maker and traders at the moment
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1!
Regards R. Linda!
HelenP. I Euro can break support level, exiting of consolidationHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some time ago price rebounded from the trend line and rose to the 1.0800 support level, which coincided with the support zone and soon broke this level, after which it started to trades in consolidation. In this pattern price some time traded near the support level until it reached the trend line, after which EUR rebounded and started to rise to the 1.0935 resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and top part of the consolidation. After this movement, the Euro broke the resistance level and a few moments traded in the resistance zone, after which turned around and fell back to range. Price declined to the trend line, broke this line, and fell below, but later it made movement back to the resistance level, after which the Euro made impulse down to the support level, where continues to trades near to this day. As well, the price one more time breaks the trend line and I expect that the Euro will break the support level and make a retest in the support zone. After this, the price can rebound and continue to decline, therefore I set my target at the 1.0745 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BITCOIN - Price can continue to move up to top part of flatHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A not long time ago price traded below $68700 resistance level, which coincided with resistance area.
Soon, BTC broke this level, formed a rectangle, and later turned around from $73850 points and started to decline.
In a short time, price declined lower $68700 level, breaking it, and started to trades in flat, where fell to $62500 level.
After this, price turned around and rose to resistance line, after which bounced back and recently started to rise again.
A few moments ago, Bitcoin reached resistance line, broke it, and now trades very close to this line.
In my mind, BTC can make a small movement down and then continue to rise to $68700 level in flat.
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GOLD → Retest of liquidity area before further growth FX:XAUUSD corrects after testing $2222. News on Thursday shook the market after Powell's dovish statement on Wednesday, which spurred a false breakdown and a 2.5% fall
Yesterday the market met a bullish wave of news for the US market: Initial Jobless Claims down, PMI up, overall this is a locally positive scenario, but today at 13:30 Powell speaks, who can probably remind some of the things he said on Wednesday.
Technically, gold is forming a retest of the 2166 support, which prepares us for a continuation of the decline that could happen before the news to test the strong liquidity area. But, Powell's speech may refresh traders' memory again. In this case, the market may resume the growth phase again, as the general fundamental background for gold is favorable for further growth.
Resistance levels: 2172, 2183
Support levels: 2166, 2152, 2144
Now on H1-H4 a range is forming and price is heading towards support - a classic trading strategy inside a range is to trade from its boundaries. Pay attention to today's speech of the Fed Head. His words can both cheer you up and shock you ;)
CAPITALCOM:DXY CAPITALCOM:GOLD COMEX:GC1!
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → New Horizons. Price opens a new rangeFX:XAUUSD is getting a good medium-term signal on Powell's words yesterday. Metal is trampling its way into new horizons and probing new highs. Today the market is waiting for Initial Jobless Claims and PMI.
M1 timeframe is pointing us to the approximate medium term potential which is capped at $2380-2400, price has entered a new bullish range. Yesterday's news from Powell gives the market the realization that the overall situation is improving and the time when the dollar will start to slacken on the back of rate cuts is getting closer. On the background of the news, investors continue to buy gold even more, as well as central banks of many leading countries of the world, which only favorably influences the price.
Resistance levels: 2212, 2222
Support levels: 2200, 2195, 2175
Technically, the gold may test the support before rising further. The trend is strongly bullish. The liquidity area at 2195 plays an important role at the moment on the background of today's news, which is published at 12:30 GMT
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Waiting for the news. What are the odds of a fall ↓ ?FX:XAUUSD is trading under resistance pressure. The market is still forming a downward correction channel after a strong rally. Ahead of important news that will determine the medium-term outlook.
The price is testing the correction resistance, but at the same time sellers are still holding the market back. Buyers do not let the price go beyond 2145-2150, thus a bearish pattern like a descending triangle is formed on the chart. The market still has a chance to break the support and this set-up has a high probability.
The news is coming and everyone is waiting for what Powell has to say about the rate and inflation. His words may determine the medium-term outlook for the market.
Resistance levels: 2160, 2163
Support levels: 2152, 2144, 2125
I am still inclined to believe that we have a fall ahead of us (globally - false breakdown of 2145-2150). Before that, on the background of news, the price may retest the resistance. The main prospective target is the price decline on the background of strengthening of the dollar index.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Correction + bearish set-up. What to expect from XAU?FX:XAUUSD is being held very tightly within the downward correction channel. The fundamental background on the market is weak, at this time the dollar is growing, which in general negatively affects the price of metal.
Set-up on H4 shows us a strong resistance on the market. In general, this is due to the negative fundamental factor because of the economic news, which generally supports the dollar index. There is a pattern forming on the chart that could break the support formed in December 2023 (2145-2150) In this case a false breakout could occur. Statistically, the strongest moves occur after a false breakout. A breakout and consolidation below 2145-2150 may initiate a strong decline to the liquidity areas indicated on the chart.
Resistance levels: 2156, SMA
Support levels: 2144, 2125, 2100, 2075
I expect a retest of 2145-2150 with a bounce. If the price quickly returns to this support, the chances of a breakout will then increase. Fundamentally and technically, the gold market is showing weakness, so we should expect a negative scenario at the moment
TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! MCX:GOLD1! TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
AUDUSD → The Bears continue to dominate. Waiting for the fall FX:AUDUSD continues to form a downtrend in the medium term. There is no way the Australian dollar can change the trend against the backdrop of a consistently strong US dollar.
Global and local trends coincide and have a downward trend. The dollar index continues to trade on the wave of positive economic news. Most likely in the future the currency pair will continue its decline. On H4 we are interested in the level of 0.6535. Consolidation of the price below this zone will form the potential for further decline. Medium-term targets in this case will be 0.6443 and 0.6352.
Resistance levels: 0.6535
Support levels: 0.6443
The bearish trend formation is likely to continue. The dollar is strong and is not going to give up its positions, which generally has a negative impact on the currency pair.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPJPY → The bullish trend may continue for a long time. Why?OANDA:GBPJPY has been forming a bullish trend for 4 years. This trend may continue its growth as the national currency of Japan is not going to strengthen.
On W1 we see a clear trend within the global range. The target in the medium and long term could be 195.844. On H1 there is a beautiful price channel and flat. Within the flat price is trading between levels, earlier there was formed a capture of liquidity from the support at 188.83 (false breakout), which in this case formed a sufficient potential for further growth, as the key liquidity, which is now interested in the market, is located above 191.33.
Resistance levels: 190.08, 191.33
Support levels: 188.83, 187.96
In the near future we expect a breakthrough of resistance at 190.08 with further consolidation of the price above this area, which will form the potential for growth to the target
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Weak fundamental background and trend change FX:EURUSD is testing the local channel support. The probability of a breakout attempt is quite high, as the currency pair is trading on a negative fundamental background.
The dollar is strengthening after a wave of positive news, at the same time EURUSD is hitting a strong resistance at 1.0949 on D1. A bearish candlestick is being formed with the session closing at the low point. Based on the candlestick pattern on Thursday, we can assume that the negative fundamental background is favorable for further decline, and the market is not finished moving yet. Consolidation below 1.08975 and breakout of 1.0880 will form a potential for further fall.
The zones of 1.07958 and 1.0724 could become a target
Support levels: 1.0880
Resistance levels: 1.08975
I expect a retest of resistance followed by a breakout of support. The market is trying to change the local trend and with a high probability it can do it
Regards R. Linda!
Ethereum can rebound up from support line to resistance lineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Ethereum. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago entered to range, where it first declined to the resistance level, which coincided with the bottom part and resistance area, after which ETH turned around and started to rise. Later, the price rose, after which made correction back to the 3720 level, and at once rebounded up to the top part of the range. After this ETH turned around and started to decline back to the 3720 level, and when it reached this level, the price broke it, thereby exiting from the range and continuing to decline in a downward channel. Some time the price trades near the resistance level, but later it rebounded and little declined, after which the price rose to the resistance line of the channel. Then Ethereum rebounded from this line and in a short time declined to the support line, where at the moment, the price continues to trades near. So, I think that ETH can fall to the support line again and then turn around and start to move up to the resistance line of the downward channel. For this reason, I set my target at the 3480 level, which coincided with the resistance line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BNBUSDT - Price can fall little more and then bounce up to $562Hi guys, this is my overview for BNBUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price has grown in rising channel, where it reached resistance line, after which it made correction.
After correction, BNB bounced up from support line to resistance level, which coincided with resistance area.
Soon, BNB broke this level, exited from channel, and started to trades in flat, where it two times reached top pattern.
Later, price turned around and in a short time declined below $562 level and also soon broke it, thereby exiting from flat too.
Also then, BNB continued to fall and now I think that Binance Coin can fall a little more and then bounce up to $562 level.
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GOLD → The correction continues. Test of strong support FX:XAUUSD continues to form correction. Price has been breaking through support since the open and is testing the key liquidity area formed on Dec. 4 $2,145 - $2,150
Overall, the price is not ready to go above the made high. Yes, there was an earlier breakout of the resistance level from December 2023, but there seems to be pressure from the resistance side of the market, this could be due to a strong seller or still no buyer. The candlestick setup indicates that the market is getting ready to go back beyond 2145-2150 and head towards lower zones like 2125, 2100, 2075.
On H1, a bounce is forming within the descending channel, the price may test the moving average zone or even the resistance zone of the channel before resuming the decline.
Resistance levels: 2156, 2162, 2172
Support levels: 2144, 2125
I expect a retest of resistance or moving averages after which the correction will resume. But the breakthrough of 2145-2150 may turn into a change of the local trend
TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Setting and background foreshadowing the decline FX:XAUUSD is updating the global maximum. The distribution stops. The market goes into correction state. But, what is also interesting, a setup is forming on the chart, foreshadowing a support breakout.
Let's briefly discuss the current situation in gold, without a long rant. The upcoming week is full of news. FED & FOMC meetings and Powell's speech are the ones to pay attention to, as inflation, interest rate and other nuances that determine the medium-term outlook may be discussed.
Technically, gold is entering a correction phase. If we take a closer look at H1, we can see a descending triangle pattern. The character of the pattern is "support breakout, reversal and decline". This pattern can be interpreted as the presence of a strong seller or the absence of a buyer.
Resistance levels: 2160, 2166, 2173
Support levels: 2155, 2147, 2100
The market is waiting for a correction, which is evidenced by the fundamental background, technical analysis and candlestick patterns. There is a high probability that the support may be broken with the subsequent correction towards the mentioned liquidity areas
CAPITALCOM:DXY MCX:GOLD1! COMEX:GC1! TVC:GOLD
Regards R. Linda!