S@P 500The S&P 500 rallied 4.8% last week. Great reports from tech companies and liquidity injections by central banks to stave off a global economic downturn have pushed stocks up significantly.
In the short term, the SP500 will reach a psychological resistance of 4,000 points and I believe at this level, profit taking and exit from risky assets will begin. I also believe that we will have high volatility at 4000.
Continuous injections of liquidity from central banks to stave off a global economic downturn have become one of the main drivers of market growth and the growing discrepancy between the current value of shares and their fundamental value. At the moment and with today's factors, I would prefer to wait for a clear confirmation of the shorts from the border at 4.000.
You can see for yourself how overheated the market is. On the left side of the chart, you see Live Nation Entertainment (LYN) stock rallies from its March low to date of 250%. Despite the fact that there have been no concerts in the last 10 months.
Over the next week, investors will be looking to focus on strong P&L, financial stimulus expectations. Important earnings reports await that will definitely impact the index ( Twitter , General Motors and Disney).
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500
SP 500 STILL ON TARGET 3948 4050 WAVE 5 PEAK FEB 9 I am st a 75 % net long from last weeks post .AND HAVE REMAINED NET LONG Long call in CAT DE SPY AND NOW IYT DOW TRANS ONLY AS WELL AS NET LONG US$ still from 89.50 to 89.75 as Well has net long inTLT 158.50 and added at 151.50 I also caught the low in BITCOIN AT 29500 i HAVE SOLD THAT OUT AT 36000. I will post details weekly wave count this weekend in all markets a new world wide event is very near
GBP/USD : BEARISH DRAGON PATTERN DAILY - POTENTIAL R/R 3.00 % 🔔Welcome back Traders, Investors and Community!
Analysis of #GBPUSD
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Strategy: Bearish Dragon pattern With potential Max over R/R 3.00% - We will be waiting for all the confirmations to enter this trade.
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EUR/GBP: PRICE ACTION ON BULLISH CHANNEL 🔔Welcome back Traders, Investors and Community!
Analysis of #EURGBP
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Strategy: Price action on bullish channel - We will be waiting for all the confirmations to enter this trade.
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GBP/AUD : BULLISH BAT+ CYPHER PATTERN IN DAILY TIMEFRAME 🔔Welcome back Traders, Investors and Community!
Analysis of #GBPAUD
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Strategy: BAT+CYPHER Bullish Harmonic Pattern. We will be waiting for all the confirmations to enter this trade.
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SPXTF: 12 Hr
Looks like it will fill the wick and possibly retest the trend line /trade around it for a little bit. RSI has some room to move north before being considered overbought; however, some bearish divergence may be building on the 12 hr TF, I will have to see how it plays out.
The big fat light blue line is a large moving average, note how it found support last Monday and we saw a strong bounce, overall we may see some more sideways trading, but all moving averages are now moving up showing some bullish momentum. It will also be interesting to see how markets take the recent US election. I somewhat leaning bullish, not because Sleepy Joe possibly won or loud mouth Trump possibly lost, but because the election is close to being over and a possible coronavirus vaccine. To me that signals a slight bullishness from a fundamental view.
On a bearish side we could see price drop to the bottom of the sideways play at $3,200. If that breaks than we may see greater downside.
Day trading for Nov 2nd 2020 in ESZ2020The action is gotten long after a soft open in the overnight session so will be leaning long unless both of the buy lines get aggressively taken out. Looking at a possible long targets of ES 3350 and 3390. Now this may not even come close to happening and we may just chop because of the election tomorrow.
SPXTF: 4 Hr
Looks like we got an interesting set-up on SPX.
Taking the fixed volume ranges of the recent downwave (~$3590 to ~$3220) upwave ~$3220 to ~$3550) shows that most of the volume traded for both ranges is between $3558 and $3775. Taking a fibonacci retracement on the recent upwave shows that the two range POCs are within 0.50 to 0.618 retracement golden zone ($3379 to $3334).
Based on that, I think price will move down into these levels and I think we will get a good price move from there. Could get a little dicey with the upcoming US elections
SPX/USD {cup and handle} analysisHi every one
chart is speaking it self .
As you can see,
the market has created a pattern of cup and handle, but the handle have not yet been formed.
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Gap close in Custom ES/VIX Spread ChartThe current S&P 500 monster rallye is actually starting a correction, when divided by its volatility. TVC:VIX
Also note how the gap from march panic sales is now closed.
We are seeing increased volatility paired with higher prices, which should be seen with at least some caution...