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GBPUSD 4H EMA SHORT TRADING STRATEGYExponential Moving Average Strategy (Trading Rules – Sell Trade) Our exponential moving average strategy is comprised of two elements. The first degree to capture a new trend is to use two exponential moving averages as an entry filter. By using one moving average with a longer period and one with a shorter period, we automate the strategy. This removes any form of subjectivity from our trading process. Step #1: Plot on your chart the 20 and 50 EMA The first step is to properly set up our charts with the right moving averages. We can identify the EMA crossover at the later stage. The exponential moving average strategy uses the 20 and 50 periods EMA. Most standard trading platforms come with default moving average indicators. It should not be a problem to locate the EMA either on your MT4 platform or Tradingview. Step #2: Wait for the EMA crossover and for the price to trade below the 20 and 50 EMA. The second rule of this moving average strategy is the need for the price to trade below both 20 and 50 EMA. Secondly, we need to wait for the EMA crossover (20 ema below 50 ema), which will add weight to the bearish case. By looking at the EMA crossover, we create an automatic buy or sell signals. Since the market is prone to false breakouts, we need more evidence than a simple EMA crossover. At this stage, we don’t know if the bearish sentiment is strong enough to push the price further after we sell to make a profit. To avoid the false breakout, we added a new confluence to support our view. This brings us to the next step of the strategy. We refer to the EMA crossover for a sell trade when the 20-EMA crosses below the 50-EMA. Step #3: Wait for the zone between 20 and 50 EMA to be tested at least twice, then look for selling opportunities. The conviction behind this moving average strategy relies on multiple factors. After the EMA crossover happened, we need to exercise more patience. We will wait for two successive and successful retests of the zone between the 20 and 50 EMA. The two successful retests of the zone between 20 and 50 EMA give the market enough time to develop a trend. Never forget that no price is too high to buy in trading. And no price is too low to sell. Note* When we refer to the “zone between 20 and 50EMA,” we actually don’t mean that the price needs to trade in the space between the two moving averages. We just wanted to cover the whole price spectrum between the two EMAs. This is because the price will only briefly touch the shorter moving average (20-EMA). But this is still a successful retest. Now, we still need to define where exactly we are going to sell. This brings us to the next step of the strategy. Step #4: Sell at the market or a limit order when we retest the zone between 20 and 50 EMA for the third time. If the price successfully retests the zone between 20 and 50 EMA for the third time, we go ahead and sell at the market price inside the zone with a bearish candle close or limit order at 50 ema line. We now have enough evidence that the bearish momentum is strong to continue pushing this market lower. Now, we still need to define where to place our protective stop loss and where to take profits. This brings us to the next step of the strategy. Step #5: Place the protective Stop Loss 20 pips above the 50 EMA After the EMA crossover happened, and after we had two successive retests, we know the trend is down. As long as we trade below both exponential moving averages the trend remains intact. In this regard, we place our protective stop loss 20 pips above the 50 EMA. We added a buffer of 20 pips because we understand we’re not living in a perfect world. The market is prone to do false breakouts. Step #6: Take Profit once we break and close above the 50-EMA In this particular case, we don’t use the same exit technique as our entry technique, which was based on the EMA crossover. If we waited for the EMA crossover to happen on the other side, we would have given back some of the potential profits. We need to consider the fact that the exponential moving averages are a lagging indicator. The exponential moving average formula used to plot our EMAs allow us to still take profits right at the time the market is about to reverse.
Short
by Tradingstrategyguides
2
SPY - 4H Short term Analysis - Don't Trade1. Looking at the RSI, it shows oversold conditions at 44, we need to take into account that it needs to tests 50-60 RSI to understand the forward pattern before it can reach 30 RSI or 70 RSI. We call this a dead cat bounce if bearish. Based on the current situation, the idea is to wait until 50 RSI and do a Strangle in options. 2. It's testing the 50 moving average, it is able to break the 20 moving average then we could say with confidence is bullish. If it fails then it will test the 100- and 200 AT THE PRICE $295. This statement could be supported by the support at level 294 starting from March 2020. 3. There is a gap between $311 and $318 that has to be filled in the future. Stay out of the trade until any of these conditions meet, then you can freely trade safer. Have a good day guys.
AMEX:SPY
by Winallday310
1
BTCUSDT 4H | Bitcoin market overview: ShortHello, dear subscribers! Yesterday the price of bitcoin dropped below $9,350, which indicates that the downtrend has begun. MACD and RSI indicators confirm that the price has fallen. On the daily chart of the MACD we can see an increasing force of downward movement. The RSI value is below 50 and is looking down. The first target of this movement is $8,600-$8,800. Further targets for sellers are $6,800-$7,000. The current price is $9,280. If you have a long position, the right decision now is to exit it and wait for the cheaper price to buy. Subscribe to the channel and follow the news from the bitcoin market!
Short
by CatalystsFinance
EURUSD 4H PIN BAR SHORT TRADE STRATEGYBasic Guidelines: Timeframe – ANY Market – ANY Indicators – NONE OTHER – Trend lines, horizontal lines, support resistance lines (anything to help you find these areas). Step 1: Find a Pin Bar On Your Chart. *Note This is a stock price action strategy, and a forex price action strategy. I will use a currency pair as an example. Price action charts are with any market and timeframe. First, identify a pin bar that has formed. In the example, this is considered a bearish pin bar because of the long wick above the body. As you can see, the pin bar “wick” is above the body, which is considered a bearish pin bar. In this case, we are looking for a downtrend bounce of the top of the range. This is a 4 hour time chart EURUSD currency pair. You can see the Bears tried their hardest to stop this uptrend from occurring. The Bears were too strong, which is why you see the pin bar form. This is a perfect example of a pin bar price action reversal setup. Step 2: Look for Past Price Action to Determine Why The Pin Bar Formed. Why did the reversal suddenly hit a price, and then continue to the downside? We can see price has been in a range pattern for quite some time. Note** you can either look at the current time frame you are on, in this case, a 4-hour time period. Or you can bump up or down one or two periods to gather information. Resistance in the past can mean support in the future. What happened is the price hit this level but failed to break through it. Since the long bullish wick formed, we decide it is time to enter this trade based on what we learned from the prior days. This is what Price Action is all about. No two trades are the same. However, we can take what we’ve learned from the past. Then make the best judgment as to where the price is going in the future. You are essentially like a detective when you trade price action. The point is to gather many pieces of evidence to back up your conclusion. You are trading with confluence. Sometimes simple is best. Study the charts and form an educated conclusion as to where the price will go. Step 3: Trade entry You just enter the trade 2-3 pips from the break of the nose of the pin bar. Step 4: Stop loss Place the stop loss 3-5 pips away from the wick. The end of the wick will be a support area. So if this is broken the trend may continue downward. Which is why you place your stop 3-5 pips away from this. Step 5: Exit Strategy Your exit strategy is when you hit the first level of support or resistance on your chart. As you can see, the price hit a point then stalled out. Once we see the price action stalling out, we exit the trade immediately. Conclusion – Price Action Pin Bar Strategy Price action is another fundamental element to learn when trading the market. There are thousands of strategies you can use with price action. It is important to find something that works for you. These pin bars are hard to miss. They are relatively accurate when you learn why a pin bar formed. Pin bar candles are shown in any time frame. The rule of thumb is, the higher the time frame, the stronger the signals. But that does not mean that this will not work on a five-minute time frame. Do not trade every pin bar you see that forms. Gather up key information from the charts. Then form the best conclusion to determine if you should enter the trade based on the rules.
Education
by Tradingstrategyguides
5
USDCHF 4H DOUBLE TOPStep #1: Identify the Phase of the Market. The Double Top reversal needs a uptrend. Just because you can spot the reversal it doesn’t mean you have to jump in willy-nilly. Remember, we need the right context and everything needs to line up for a trade-able setup. So, the first step is to identify the phase or market condition. At any given moment the market can be trading either up, or down, or it can go sideways. Establishing the phase of the market aka identifying the trend is probably the biggest ingredient that can determine the success rate of double bottom pattern technical analysis. Step #2: The historical precedent. An A++ Double Top Reversal is composed of 2 Rounded Tops The second step of the Double Top is to find what we call the historical precedent or a chart pattern. We don’t want to make a trading decision without price confirmation, and in our case, we use the reversal pattern. You need to identify two rounded tops in order for the pattern to be considered trade-able. But, what is a rounded top? In technical analysis, a rounded top is simply a price formation that typically occurs after an uptrend, prices move upwards and then quickly rallies creating a rounded top. Now, of course, that depending on the structure the rounded top will vary in size and magnitude. But the idea is that we need a quick move up followed by a quick move down to define a rounded top Note* A valid double top reversal has two rounded tops. Step #3: Allow a maximum of 10 pips variation between the two tops. Don’t seek perfection, because in trading you need to get rid of your idealistic mindset as the pattern will not look perfect all the time, so be flexible. This is the reason why we need to allow a maximum of 10 pips variation between the two tops. The probability of two tops happening at the same exact price level is almost impossible. Now, we to determine an entry technique for our chart pattern strategy. Step #4: Sell when Double Top breakout candle closes below the neckline. After we identify the phase of the market and the characteristics of a good reversal we need to wait for confirmation that momentum is shifting. The breakout candle is our signal that the momentum has shifted and it’s what it confirms and validates the double top pattern. You’ll see the double top breakdown happen over and over again, but it’s important to analyze them within the context of the market trend. The next logical thing we need to establish for the strategy is where to take profits. Step #5: Take Profit at the same price distance as measured from the highest peak to the Neckline The minimum profit target for this type of trade is approximately equal to the same price distance as measured from the double top to the neckline. If we project the same price distance to the downside we obtain our first take-profit zone for the strategy. The double top pattern can produce a major reversal so we advise you to be very flexible with your profit target not to miss any big profit opportunity. Step #6: Place the protective stop-loss slightly above the resistance created by the Double Top reversal The Double Top chart pattern strategy gives you a simple way to quantify risk because you can place your protective stop-loss slightly above the double top pattern. The double top pattern really gives you the opportunity to also trade with a tight stop loss, which is great as we always want to keep losses at a minimum. Note*** The above was an example of a SELL trade… Use the same rules – but in reverse – for a BUY trade, but this time we’re going to use the double bottom pattern. Conclusion There is no other chart pattern that illustrates the trend reversal. However, despite the high success rate you still need to use a protective stop loss and to wait for the breakout when trading with the double top chart pattern strategy. You can also trade with the breakout triangle strategy. The bottom line is that you still need a plan to successfully trade the double top breakout. Our double top chart pattern strategy should answer all your questions in regard to how to make money with this simple pattern.
Education
by Tradingstrategyguides
2