2022
🚨🚨🚨 SPX Black Swan Event 2022: Hidden MACD Indicator 🚨🚨🚨Technical Analysis comparing MACD histogram and structure of historical black swan events with today: 2018 - 2022.
Each historical Black Swan Event share 3 simple indicators, that are in play today;
1. Incremental pullbacks of increasing % that ultimately lead to the crash
2. MACD histogram micro contractions and macro expansion that ultimately lead to the crash
3. A Trend Line of Lower Lowers followed by Higher Highs on Recovery that ultimately lead to the crash
Historical Black Swan Events;
1965 - 1975: Build Up to 73/74 Crash
1986 - 1988: Black Monday Crash
1998 - 2009: Dotcom Bubble/Subprime Crash
Today;
2018 - 2022: Black Swan Event / Crash?
Hidden MACD Indicator & Analysis
As you will observe, in each of the major black swan events / crashes since the Great Depression, all three of the indicators play out.
Most significantly is the clear contraction and expansion of the MACD that is only visible on daily or weekly timeframes depending on the crash and how it played out:
1965 to 1975 saw the build up to the 1973 Crash and thus the MACD on a weekly timeframe over 10 years expresses the contractions and expansion.
Likewise, the Dotcom bubble to subprime crashes also last around 10 years and can be observed only on the weekly timeframe.
Comparatively on a daily timeframe over the course of 2 years, Black Monday crash displays the MACD contractions and expansion
Meanwhile today in 2021 we can observe over the last 3/4 years a similar expression of the contractions and expansion.
Conclusion:
History tends to repeat itself and three major historical indicators of crashes are playing out today. We know the FED can just keep printing $$$, but regardless, the house of cards will collapse again, as it has done time and time again.
Will 2022 be the next black swan event?
Share your thoughts and interpretations!!
Capital Formation Died Long AgoWe can see the effects of the Monetary and Fiscal Policy Failures
during the 2006 - 2009 crisis.
The blame was reported on you, good citizen consumer.
The collapse of the housing market, fueled by low interest rates,
easy credit, insufficient regulation, extensive leverage and
Toxic subprime mortgages led to the economic crisis of 06-09.
Does this sound familiar?
In reality, what caused the Financial Crisis was deregulation
of the Financial edifice.
Degenerate Gambling @ the Casino, whereby Private losses were
backstopped with Public Funds.
$34 Trillion from the US Central Bank to Global Financial Institutions.
The problem currently, it is orders of magnitude worse.
Buy STONKs, close your eyes and Buy everything.
It'll be okay, we promise...
BTC Long-termTF: W
I think BTC price action could play out in a few different scenarios over the longer timeframe (1-2 years) outlook.
Scenario 1: BTC is currently approaching a broken level of support around $44,500, this also aligns with the 1.382 extension from the move from $~20k to~$3.1k correction. If this rejection occurs and acts like a ceiling and holds below these current levels, then I think price could visit the ~$17k to ~$21k before pushing it up to 2.0 extension. If price breaks out at that level, then I think price could move to the 2.382 or higher to test the trend line.
Scenario 2: BTC breaks out and breaks through the ATH and holds above (dashed line). I think price could move to the 2.382 extension levels.
TRANS - Trannies struggling in Trade WarsWith Containers hitting $35K for Transportation, an all time high...
Index of Global Real Economic Activity plunging...
All is well, move along.
Building a Container home?
Better buy a sailboat, it moves.
WEI has been cut on ONE HALF since April...
What is WEI ya say?
Weekly Economic Index - cut in half nearly in 4 months.
All is well... Move along.
GANN's 90 year Cycle, I believe, ends in March of 2022...
Ricky times ahead.
DEXE ETH Invest strategy on 2021 yearDEXE ETH Invest strategy on 2021 year - bay 1000 coins for 1000000$ on New Year 2020!
XRP update! MUST READ! Hey everyone!
Hope you are all staying safe. I would like to begin by saying DAMN MAN FR where did the love go?
Anyways, I still would like to provide content of which I believe can genuinely help whoever is looking to grow in trading.
After taking a look at the first RIPPLE VS SEC court session, it was evident to me that this case may be over sooner than expected. First I would like to speak on the perspective of the SEC and basing it on the fact that they are looking to focus on the marketing enacted by RIPPLE over the sales of XRP. This is quite unusual as if they were to have a stronger case, they would have focused on the contracting aspect of the sales of XRP but seems there incapable of providing that as evidence to the court. In my opinion, this seems to me that the SEC is going after who is able to sell XRP and how are those "sales" being enacted. With this being said, I believe it is the question the SEC is asking the judge for regulatory clarity for they are not pleading for exposure of fraudulent activity nor will the penalties include jail time. The SEC did heavily condemn the actions of Garlinghouse, Larsen and company. The judge did mention the currency in both terms, currency and security and this this not mean anything as judges are to be impartial. There was more to be said on the half of the defendants than the SEC, I believe the explanations of the defendants gave the Judge a lot more to think about than the SEC which seemed to have a lack of strong foundation other than a speaking on to the events of 2013. Ripple was apparently approached by the SEC in the past regarding the sales of XRP. My question is if they knew that this was not a currency but a security, why not do your job then? During those years, how many warnings of statements did the SEC issue to Ripple either publicly or privately. The timing of this lawsuit needs is impacting the current PERFORMANCE of XRP and we have SEEN this.
In my opinion this is the reason why XRP has suffered a correction based on the uncertainty of the outcome this case in the US and as I said in my previous report XRP will range at the 0.50-0.60USD!. This correction has brought an opportunity for retail and institution investors to accumulate XRP and a very low price however, it is the regulatory unclarity that is stopping or slowing down the institutions from buying XRP. Therefore, I believe with that once this case has been resolved in such a dominant market like the US, the world will follow as it usually does in a economic manner.
I believe that we are building structures to the 0.60-0.70 and this level will play as a "determiner" level, meaning that if we are to break above this level we just may be able to the same peak levels we have seen back in 2017.
***I am not a financial advisor nor am I legal counsel however, I do believe the content I provide can genuinely help those who are looking to grow in the aspect of trading. I advise you all to DYOR always!***
SEND THAT LOVE BACK!!!!
be careful with big dreamsHello everybody. I want to issue a warning
The marketcap has doubled, but the purchase was / is so strong that the real price increases fundamentally do not remain
this project will not yield any real big gains. even if the chart is promising for the possible moon.
The coin is extremely dumped
look at this chart! mindblowing! 1 million dollars imminent!Now we are in the consolidation face and the next pump will be around 130 percent! Buy now and hold for long! The real Bullrun started now! Gains of thousands of percent are coming! Invest only 1000 dollars with 10x leverage and then you have around 50000 dollars!
bye your analyst Henrik M.S!
Long GE Through 2022 In The ChannelGE is potentially working on it's third bull channel here thanks to their CEO; Henry Lawrence "Larry" Culp, Jr.
Larry had a fantastic history at Danaher corporation before moving into his current role.
Larry is highly incentivized to raise GE's stock price... He will net $47m for a 50% increase in price, and $300m for a 150% increase. I would expect him to figure it out...
Things get interesting past ~2022. If Larry is incentivized to hit ~$18, then what happens after he does so? I wouldn't expect a test of the last peak at ~$31.75. Will GE keep making lower lows?