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High Mortgage Rates Taking a Toll in the Housing Market
Toll Brothers, Inc.
Short
High Mortgage Rates Taking a Toll in the Housing Market
By syy891013
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Sep 27, 2023
1
Sep 27, 2023
Comments on Quantitative Analysis Sector Comparison
Homebuilder sentiment dropped to a five-month low in September as higher rates push prospective buyers out of the market
Revenues from land sales are little.
Comments on Business
Continuous hike in interest rates and high-cost environment are concerning.
There was a reduce in headcount, causing SG&A spending to be reduced.
KPI’s driving Revenue and Earnings
Home deliveries expected to decrease from united delivered in the prior-year quarter.
Adjusted home sales gross margin is expected to decline from the year-ago period.
SG&A estimated to rise from the year-ago period.
For fiscal 2023, home deliveries are anticipated to decline from fiscal 2022.
By extrapolating nine months ended data, company is highly unable to meet the targeted home deliveries for the quarter and fiscal year of 2023.
Catalysts
Earnings not meeting targeted home deliveries.
Trade Structure
Dec 75/65 Bear Put
Trend Analysis
syy891013
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