The chart demonstrates the price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) with significant levels, volume spikes, trendlines, dark pool prints, and pivot levels. NVDA has experienced notable price fluctuations, forming a broader pattern of higher highs and higher lows, but it is now testing critical support levels after a pullback.
Key Observations Trend Analysis: Primary Trend: The long-term uptrend is intact, with the green ascending trendline providing consistent support. Short-term Trend: The recent candles suggest a pullback within the uptrend, with price action consolidating near the S1 support ($129.07) level. The price remains above the long-term ascending support line, maintaining its overall bullish structure. Dark Pool Prints: Key dark pool levels are marked, showing significant institutional activity: $136.71 (most recent dark pool print): The price recently rejected this level, which could act as near-term resistance. $124.65 and $119.37: These levels represent potential downside support if the price continues to fall. Support and Resistance Zones: Resistance: The price is struggling to reclaim the $136.71 dark pool level, which aligns with the R1 pivot ($140.76). Above this, the next major resistance is R2 ($162.07). Support: Immediate support is at S1 ($129.07). A breakdown here could lead to a retest of the $124.65 dark pool level or the S2 pivot ($119.39). The long-term trendline and S3 pivot ($102.98) are critical for maintaining the bullish bias. Volume Analysis: The chart shows high volume near support levels, indicating significant activity. This suggests either strong buying interest or institutional distribution. Potential Reversal Zone: A clear head-and-shoulders pattern might be forming. If the neckline around $129.07 breaks, it could confirm a bearish reversal, targeting levels near $119.37 or lower. Trade Plan Bullish Scenario:
Entry: A confirmed breakout above $136.71 (dark pool level) with increased volume. Targets: First Target (T1): $140.76 (R1 pivot). Second Target (T2): $152.89 (mid-resistance). Final Target (T3): $162.07 (R2 pivot). Stop Loss: Below the ascending trendline and $129.07 (S1 pivot). Bearish Scenario:
Entry: A daily close below $129.07 (S1 pivot) with momentum and volume confirmation. Targets: First Target (T1): $124.65 (dark pool level). Second Target (T2): $119.37 (dark pool level). Final Target (T3): $102.98 (S3 pivot and trendline support). Stop Loss: Above $136.71 (dark pool resistance). Additional Considerations Dark Pool Reactions: The $136.71 level will play a crucial role in determining near-term direction. Watch for rejections or sustained price action above this level. Head-and-Shoulders Risk: A break below $129.07 could lead to a measured move lower based on the head-and-shoulders pattern. Market Context: NVDA is heavily influenced by the tech sector (QQQ). Broader market conditions will provide context for whether this pullback is temporary or part of a larger correction.
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