BTCUSDT Long Idea with Take Profits
I have placed this long on Binance Futures -
On the 4hr/Daily timeline, one can draw a downwards channel that Bitcoin has been ranging in for the last 4 weeks. Past week it's been in the upper half, and the 2nd to last 4hour candle had a big bounce off the bottom region to close on the median line. To me, that implied strong bullish momentum, albeit it still closed as a bearish candle. It was followed by a bullish candle, not as powerful as the first, but still with an average amount of volume for the past 20 4hr candles.
This could easily turn down and continue further to 37700, hence I only risked 1% instead of my usual 2-3%, but seeing as the fall down from the upper region of the channel down to the middle stemmed from big news and extended by liquidations of futures and other derivatives, I believe that people will be buying up this discounted BTC in the coming couple days. Hence, the long TP 4.
TPs 1 and 2 - indicated by the purple lines - stem from my bias towards the upside in the short run. Even if the overall trajectory is down, I feel the short-run (couple days) is upwards. The Adam and Eve pattern on the 15 min is a bullish sign, the neck of which we broke with strong bullish candles. TP 1 and 2 are at basic resistance zones, with TP2 being just below the technical target for the Adam and Eve pattern. TP2 is also just before the 50% retracement of the Fib taken from 19th September (before the massive drop) to the trough from 12 hours ago. Another sign we could reach TP2 in the short run without too many problems from the technical perspective.
With TP2 being touched, that would take out a total of 75% of my position; only 25% will be left to ride out to my TP3 and 4, or hit a SL that I will move to break even when price hits TP1, or to TP1 when it hits TP2.
On the 4hr/Daily timeline, one can draw a downwards channel that Bitcoin has been ranging in for the last 4 weeks. Past week it's been in the upper half, and the 2nd to last 4hour candle had a big bounce off the bottom region to close on the median line. To me, that implied strong bullish momentum, albeit it still closed as a bearish candle. It was followed by a bullish candle, not as powerful as the first, but still with an average amount of volume for the past 20 4hr candles.
This could easily turn down and continue further to 37700, hence I only risked 1% instead of my usual 2-3%, but seeing as the fall down from the upper region of the channel down to the middle stemmed from big news and extended by liquidations of futures and other derivatives, I believe that people will be buying up this discounted BTC in the coming couple days. Hence, the long TP 4.
TPs 1 and 2 - indicated by the purple lines - stem from my bias towards the upside in the short run. Even if the overall trajectory is down, I feel the short-run (couple days) is upwards. The Adam and Eve pattern on the 15 min is a bullish sign, the neck of which we broke with strong bullish candles. TP 1 and 2 are at basic resistance zones, with TP2 being just below the technical target for the Adam and Eve pattern. TP2 is also just before the 50% retracement of the Fib taken from 19th September (before the massive drop) to the trough from 12 hours ago. Another sign we could reach TP2 in the short run without too many problems from the technical perspective.
With TP2 being touched, that would take out a total of 75% of my position; only 25% will be left to ride out to my TP3 and 4, or hit a SL that I will move to break even when price hits TP1, or to TP1 when it hits TP2.
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