Long

"Navigating the Smart Money Zone"

Updated

I’ve identified a Smart Money Camping Zone, represented by a contraction ray trendline—a crucial area where the big players consolidate before their next move. To enhance clarity, I’ve also added a breakout yellow trendline, signaling potential opportunities.

In this setup, I’ve entered two long positions, each protected by carefully placed stop losses. But traders, heed this warning: the market is unpredictable. It’s not a straight path upward. Expect fluctuations—the trend will ebb and flow, testing your patience and resolve.

To add precision, I’ve incorporated a True Range ATR set at an impressive 783.3 pips, projecting a calculated price target of $101,047. Remember, while the setup looks promising, navigating these waters demands caution and discipline. The journey isn’t for the faint-hearted, but for those who understand the dance of the market. Stay sharp and trade wisely!

Note

Don’t fear the trend—it’s being influenced by dark pool activity on the daily timeframe. These hidden trading venues are where institutions execute massive orders without affecting the public markets directly. That’s why the volume looks manipulated.

Right now, we’re seeing a decrease in activity, which often means they’re setting up for a larger move. A spike is coming, and dark pool volume often signals these shifts before the public markets catch on. Stay sharp; this is where the opportunity lies.

Note

Prices will recover.

Note

Traders, gather around and listen closely! Forget my earlier remarks about dark pools—this is something even more formidable. Beneath the 4-hour candlesticks, smart money is stirring, crafting a contraction zone that’s building momentum.

This isn’t just noise; it’s a calculated move, a bullish structure taking shape right before our eyes. Soon, the candlesticks will awaken and ignite a relentless bull run. Seize this moment—align your positions with the flow of power, for fortune always favors the fearless!

Note

At the moment, I’m unavailable. I’m in a rural area with spotty data coverage. I’ll provide an update as soon as I can.

Note

Right now, Bitcoin’s trading volume might be low, but smart money—those big institutional players—are making moves behind the scenes. Funds like Millennium Management, Capula Management, and Tudor Investment have been quietly building up their positions in Bitcoin ETFs. For example, Millennium doubled their shares in the iShares Bitcoin Trust, holding nearly $850 million worth now.

This kind of activity usually signals that they’re anticipating something big—a major price move on the horizon. When smart money starts accumulating like this, it’s a clear sign they’re laying the groundwork for a significant shift in the market.

For that reason, I’ve set my ATR target above 101K. The signs are there; the low volume is just the calm before the storm. It’s all about being ready for the breakout when it hits.

Note

Smart money seems to have slowed down a bit, but it’s clear they’re still making plans to keep moving the market up. What we’re seeing now is a gradual shift—altcoins are starting to move up slightly, which often signals the next phase of the market cycle.

Here’s what’s happening: Institutional investors, or “smart money,” have been heavily accumulating assets, especially through Bitcoin ETFs. For example, funds like Millennium Management have significantly increased their positions. This accumulation phase typically sets the tone for the market, creating upward pressure on Bitcoin prices first.

Now that Bitcoin’s momentum has slightly cooled, it’s common for altcoins to start catching up. This is a classic pattern in the crypto market—Bitcoin leads the way, and once it stabilizes, altcoins begin to rise. The small movements we’re seeing in altcoins suggest the start of broader participation in the market.

This could be the beginning of a larger trend, so it’s important to watch how smart money continues to position itself. If the upward momentum sustains across both Bitcoin and altcoins, we might be entering a new bullish phase. For now, the market seems to be building up steam for what could be an exciting run.

Note

Bitcoin on the daily timeframe is setting the stage for a Smart Money Contraction—a critical phase that has been steadily forming since yesterday. The pattern is still under construction, but all signs point to a decisive move on the horizon. Two scenarios are likely:
1. A subtle dip for a classic bear trap: This move would shake out weak hands before a sharp upward spike catches the market off guard.
2. A direct breakout: Smart money could ignite momentum, propelling Bitcoin into a bullish rally.

The anticipation is palpable. As the contraction tightens, every trader is watching for the spark that could set the next major trend in motion. Stay sharp—smart money doesn’t wait for permission to act.

Note

Bitcoin’s low volume is painting an intriguing picture, signaling a calm before the storm. With retail traders stepping back, the stage is perfectly set for institutional players to seize control. These heavyweights thrive in moments like this, where low participation allows them to move the market with precision.

I’ve often been told that low volume is a bearish sign, but I’ve always had a different perspective. To me, low volume isn’t a red flag—it’s a signal of preparation. It reminds me of a moment in the past when I was warned to watch the volume because it was “too low” and Bitcoin was supposedly set for a crash. Yet, against all expectations, Bitcoin defied the warnings and surged upward instead. That experience taught me a valuable lesson: low volume doesn’t always mean weakness—it often means smart money is preparing to act.

This time is no different. The low volume suggests a buildup—smart money is positioning for a decisive strike. What’s next? A spike. Whether it’s a sharp upward thrust or a calculated fake-out, institutional traders are primed to exploit this lull.

Don’t let the quiet fool you. This is where the real game begins, and the next move could redefine Bitcoin’s trajectory. Remember, the market loves to surprise those who stick to the obvious narrative.

Let me ask you this: does Bitcoin truly have low volume? Are you still holding onto the idea that it’s heading for a correction? Time will tell, won’t it?

Yesterday, a trader inquired about entering an Ethereum position. I emphasized that Ethereum has a set target of $4,020. There was a situation of 3M’s recent performance: despite low trading volume, 3M’s stock surged. The catalyst? Institutional investors stepping in. Similarly, Ethereum’s current low volume could be the calm before a significant move, potentially driven by major players.

Note

Altcoins are quietly positioning themselves for what could be the next major bull run. After a period of consolidation and declining trading volume, the signs are beginning to align for a potential breakout.

Historically, altcoin bull runs are preceded by a few key factors:
1. Bitcoin Dominance Weakening: As Bitcoin stabilizes or its dominance decreases, capital tends to flow into altcoins, fueling their growth.
2. Low Volume Accumulation: Smart money often accumulates during periods of low volume, setting the stage for explosive moves.
3. Market Sentiment Shifting: With renewed interest in the crypto space, altcoins become the focus for investors seeking higher returns.

Right now, many altcoins are trading near key support levels, with patterns suggesting accumulation. Indicators of market strength, such as institutional involvement and blockchain development activity, are increasing across several major projects.

This isn’t just another hype cycle—it’s the setup. Altcoins are gearing up, and when the stage is set, the bull run could catch many off guard. The question is: Are you ready to act when the opportunity strikes?

Note

Stand firm in your positions—this is the time to hold steady. Let the weak hands get shaken out by the volatility. Patience is key, and conviction is your edge.

This is where the market tests resolve. Smart money doesn’t flinch; it strategizes and acts with precision. If you’re prepared, the noise of the shakeout becomes an opportunity, not a threat. Hold your ground and let the market do what it does—your actions will speak louder when the dust settles.

Note

Dominance has been manipulated by smart money through spoofing—a tactic used to create false market signals and temporarily shake out weak hands. Spoofing involves placing large buy or sell orders to influence market sentiment without the intention of fulfilling them. This tactic creates an illusion of strong buying or selling pressure, tricking traders into reacting prematurely.

On the 30-minute timeframe, repeated instances of spoofing have been observed. This manipulation often follows a predictable pattern:
1. The Spoof: Large orders appear on the order book, creating the illusion of a significant move. Retail traders react, either buying into the “momentum” or selling to avoid anticipated losses.
2. The Pump: After the spoof, prices are artificially driven higher as the smart money executes their real trades. This creates a short-term rally that attracts more buyers.
3. The Crash: Once their objectives are achieved, the spoof orders vanish, and the price collapses, leaving retail traders trapped.

This cyclical behavior is a hallmark of smart money tactics. While it may appear like dominance is increasing or decreasing significantly, these moves are often temporary and engineered to exploit retail traders’ emotions. Understanding these patterns helps you stay one step ahead, recognizing the manipulation instead of falling victim to it.

Note

I’ve strategically placed two long positions with meticulously calculated stop losses, both based on precise ATR (Average True Range) measurements to account for Bitcoin’s natural volatility. Each stop loss serves a specific purpose, balancing security with opportunity while leveraging the true range of price action.

First Stop Loss: $97,696

This stop loss is aligned with Bitcoin’s current price range, which it has consistently respected. By setting it within this zone, I’m safeguarding the position while allowing for minor fluctuations. This level is designed to accommodate the typical ebb and flow of Bitcoin’s movement, ensuring the trade remains active while avoiding premature exits due to noise. It’s where Bitcoin should remain if the upward trajectory holds.

Second Stop Loss: $95,308

This stop loss is calculated for a longer-term position, providing a wider safety net. Positioned below the first stop loss, it accounts for deeper retracements while still remaining within the bounds of calculated true ranges. This ensures that even if Bitcoin experiences a sharper pullback, the position stays secure unless the broader trend truly shifts. It’s the ultimate safety net for more significant moves, offering flexibility while managing risk.

Behind the Strategy

By layering these stop losses, I’ve accounted for multiple scenarios:
• Short-Term Fluctuations: The $97,696 stop loss protects against minor volatility without overreacting to small dips.
• Long-Term Trends: The $95,308 stop loss secures the trade against larger market shifts while preserving the potential for major upside moves.

The inclusion of ATR ensures these stop losses aren’t arbitrary—they’re tailored to Bitcoin’s true price range dynamics. This dual-layered approach not only minimizes risk but also maximizes the trade’s longevity and profitability potential.

There is a safe exit calculated at 783.3 pips, equating to $101,047. Every pip and price level has been meticulously analyzed for precision and protection. While pips and ATR have different dynamics, they can work almost the same depending on the timeframe, aligning closely in certain market conditions.

Note

Let me clarify: the first long position with a stop loss at $97,696 was indeed calculated using ATR (Average True Range), reflecting overall market volatility and providing a dynamic safety level based on price fluctuations.

The second long position, however, with a stop loss at $95,308, was measured using ADR (Average Daily Range). This approach focuses on the average daily price movement rather than multi-period volatility, making it a more straightforward and static calculation.

This distinction highlights the strategic use of different tools:
• The ATR-based stop loss allows for flexibility in volatile conditions.
• The ADR-based stop loss provides a more stable reference, suited for longer-term positions.

By combining ATR and ADR, I’ve tailored each stop loss to its respective trade, ensuring both precision and adaptability. This adjustment justifies the methodology behind each level and corrects any earlier misinterpretation.

Note

Hold your positions—do not let fear shake your resolve. The trend is your ally, and patience will soon be rewarded. Stay steadfast, and the market will crown you with a golden medal of perseverance and triumph.

Note

Hold steady—soon, smart money will step in, handing out generous donations to those who stayed the course. This is the moment where patience and strategy pay off, and the rewards flow to those who understood the game.

Note

Who is going to put an end to this constant manipulation—this “money pollution”—affecting all coins? Who’s going to stop falling into the same trap laid by smart money? Time and time again, we see these minor dips, and traders panic, rushing to sell for whatever short-sighted reason. This cycle is exactly what smart money thrives on, and every time we fall for it, we play right into their hands.

If we could collectively resist this tactic—stop feeding into these calculated shakeouts—the sooner we could see the market stabilize and the altcoins begin to rally. But as long as we allow ourselves to be baited into these fear-based decisions, the altcoin market will remain stalled. It’s time to break the cycle. Smart money’s plan only works because it preys on predictable reactions. By staying disciplined, we can turn the tide and unlock the potential for the long-awaited altcoin pump.

Note

The 14-day timeframe is currently in the process of forming a second wave, a critical phase within the larger market cycle. My analysis has identified a hidden divergence several days ago, which I’ve already highlighted as a key factor in this progression. This divergence is not just a minor signal—it’s a powerful clue hidden within the price and momentum dynamics.

What is a Hidden Divergence?

Hidden divergence occurs when the price action suggests a continuation of the existing trend rather than a reversal. It’s often seen as a signal of strength in the prevailing trend, whether bullish or bearish, and is typically confirmed by indicators such as RSI or MACD.
• Bullish Hidden Divergence: When price forms a higher low, but the indicator (e.g., RSI) forms a lower low, signaling strength in the uptrend.
• Bearish Hidden Divergence: When price forms a lower high, but the indicator forms a higher high, indicating weakness in the downtrend.

Hidden Bullish Divergence in Volume

In addition to the general hidden divergence, there’s also a hidden bullish divergence on the 14-day volume timeframe. This is significant because volume, often referred to as the market’s “fuel,” confirms the strength behind price movements. A bullish divergence in volume suggests that even as price consolidates or retraces slightly, buying pressure is building beneath the surface, signaling a potential continuation of the upward trend.

My Analysis and Market Cycle Alignment

Based on my analysis, this hidden divergence—both in price and volume—aligns with the main developments within the cycle, suggesting that these signals are not occurring in isolation. Instead, they reinforce the broader structure of the second wave.

The critical question is whether this divergence is bullish or bearish, and in this case, the evidence leans toward bullish, given the volume divergence. It indicates the second wave may be gaining momentum, setting the stage for a breakout in line with the existing trend.

Let’s Unveil It Together

This hidden divergence, particularly the bullish signal in volume, is the key to understanding the market’s next move. It’s not just about recognizing the divergence but interpreting it within the context of the larger cycle. The clues are in the price action and volume data, and together, we can decode what it means for the days ahead.

Note

Be prepared for a potential $1,000 drop—a move that could ignite panic among retail traders before the inevitable spike. Such a drop is often engineered to flush out weak hands and set the stage for a significant upward move. The question is whether today will become a battle between smart money and retail traders, a rare but notable phenomenon. When it does occur, the market dynamics shift dramatically.

Retail Traders vs. Smart Money

Retail traders, often considered the weaker participants, tend to react emotionally to price movements. However, there are exceptions—retail traders who behave like sharks in the market. These individuals act with precision and cunning, mimicking the strategies of smart money, which can add unexpected power to trends.

Sharks Among Retail Traders

Retail sharks can be divided into two types:
1. Good Sharks: These traders operate independently, seeking to capitalize on market opportunities without intentionally manipulating others. Their actions align with the broader trend, often accelerating it.
2. Bad Sharks: These individuals exploit the market, using tactics like spoofing or creating artificial pressure to manipulate retail sentiment. Their actions contribute to the confusion and volatility that smart money thrives on.

Smart Money vs. Killer Whales

When I refer to smart money, I’m talking about institutional traders and market participants who operate strategically and methodically to control trends. However, I do not include killer whales in this category. Killer whales represent the most severe and dominant forces in the market, capable of massive moves that dwarf even smart money’s influence. In this case, I anticipate that whales will step aside, allowing the battle between smart money and retail traders to play out.

The Role of Smart Money and Whales

• Smart Money: These players will likely take advantage of the panic caused by the drop, positioning themselves for the spike while retail traders scramble to make sense of the moves.
• Whales: Unlike smart money, whales are likely to stay out of this battle, observing as smart money and retail traders engage in a short-term struggle for control.

Conclusion

This rare dynamic of smart money versus retail traders, with sharks playing a pivotal role, creates a unique market scenario. The $1,000 drop could serve as the spark that sets this battle into motion, with the aftermath determining the next big trend. Retail traders must remain vigilant, recognizing the roles of smart money, killer whales, and their own kind within this complex battlefield. Understanding these layers can provide an edge, even in the chaos of such rare market conditions.

Note

Many thoughts are swirling as the market heats up. Trust in your analysis—you’re not alone in this journey. Every trader here is part of a battlefield, and each of you is a warrior fighting to secure your place.

Keep a close eye on the action and stand firm. Don’t let the market’s tricks or manipulation bully you out of your position. This is your investment, built with the sweat and hard labor you’ve poured into earning it. Remember the effort it took to get here, and let that drive you to protect what’s yours. Stay sharp, stay strong, and fight for your goals.

Note

For those who entered an ETH trade and are currently in profit, it's important to protect your gains. Set a stop-loss to secure your profits and exit the trade if the price hits it. There's no need to stay in the trade hoping for further upward movement if the market starts to turn. You can always re-enter once ETH stabilizes and shows a clearer direction.

I’ve already mentioned the target of $4,020. This is ideal for long-term traders who bought at a super pivot low, but if you're trading short-term, stay focused. Don't freeze or hesitate—manage your risk, lock in gains, and remain adaptable as the market develops.

Note

Approximately 20% of retail traders have already been shaken out of their positions.

Note

Let me clarify this:
________________________________________
Patience—this phase is almost over. The current dominance downtrend is actually fueling Bitcoin's pump. As dominance decreases, it creates conditions for Bitcoin to rise, driven by capital shifting away from altcoins and into Bitcoin.
However, when dominance tries to move back up, it’s being suppressed through dark pool manipulation. These hidden trades are preventing dominance from recovering, ensuring that Bitcoin continues to gain upward momentum.
Here’s what I’m learning from this:
1. Dominance and Bitcoin Relationship: The downtrend in dominance is directly supporting Bitcoin’s pump. Lower dominance suggests that Bitcoin is benefiting from the current market dynamics, likely absorbing liquidity from altcoins.
2. Dark Pool Suppression: When dominance attempts to reverse and move higher, dark pool manipulation is stepping in to suppress it. This strategic activity is preventing dominance from stabilizing or rising, keeping Bitcoin in a favorable position to continue its rally.
3. Outcome: As dominance is artificially held back from climbing, Bitcoin gains further room to move higher, driven by the conditions created through manipulation.
In summary, the dominance downtrend supports Bitcoin's rise, while dark pools are actively suppressing any dominance recovery, maintaining conditions for a Bitcoin pump. This insight highlights the role of hidden market forces shaping the current trend.

Note

Approximately 40% of retail traders have been forced out of their positions, likely due to market volatility, stop-loss triggers, or emotional decision-making. This often happens during sharp price corrections or periods of manipulation, where large market moves are designed to shake out weaker hands.

Such events are common tactics in markets to reduce the number of participants before a major price movement, often leaving only more seasoned or institutional players in control. For those remaining in the market, this reduced retail participation could set the stage for less resistance and more decisive moves, whether upward or downward.

Note

Dominance is currently stalled at 4.08%, and a 5-candlestick pattern indicates a likely downtrend for the next 31 minutes. This pattern suggests continued bearish momentum in dominance, signaling potential market shifts during this period.

Note

I'm developing an idea that explores how retail panic can negatively impact traders who have carefully researched their positions. This happens when inexperienced retail traders, who entered the market without proper research, realize their mistake and exit in panic. Their actions drive prices down, devaluing well-researched trades in the process. This created an opportunity for smart money to step in and shake the weak retail traders out, capitalizing on the resulting market inefficiencies.

Note

**Traders:** I’ll be sharing a truly inspiring real-life story about success in trading—because sometimes, we all need a reminder of what’s possible.

Note

The 12-hour chart has formed a Bullish Harami candlestick pattern, signaling potential upward momentum. Even if it rejects, Bitcoin is likely to push higher with buying pressure, forming a lower long wick and snapping back into the original Bull Harami structure. This rejection could even evolve into a Bullish Engulfing pattern. Stay prepared.

Note

Bitcoin appears to have stabilized, creating a symbolic moment in the market where some altcoins are reacting positively. However, the reality is that Bitcoin will eventually require a true correction. This current movement could mislead the masses into a potential smart money trap. The outcome remains uncertain, and further confirmation is needed. Many, including myself, are eager for clarity, but smart money recognizes that a correction is inevitable. First, we might see a false impression suggesting altcoins are ready to rally—when they might not be. Stay cautious.

Trade active

Consider maintaining a long position with a stop loss at $95,308, based on the ADR calculation. Don’t let the trend shake your confidence—it’s likely a shakeout.

Note

Last night, I developed a Fibonacci Auto Detector and integrated it with an ATR (Average True Range) for added precision. Using this setup with a short position, the analysis suggests that the downward movement has likely concluded, signaling a potential reversal to the upside soon.

Additionally, I’ve now incorporated human psychology into the Fibonacci analysis, which currently identifies a key level at $95,578. This level could play a significant role in the market’s next move.

For the short position, I’ve applied a 2% risk-to-reward ratio, which aligns closely with the Fibonacci levels and ATR calculations. This synergy ensures a well-balanced and calculated approach, minimizing unnecessary risks while optimizing the potential for profit.

Note

For those curious about how far the price might drop, I’ve strategically identified and measured two key stop-loss levels, outlined right here.

Note

Do not panic over the downward move—there’s no sign of a crash. Hold your position and stay composed while others around the globe make impulsive decisions.

Note

With access to dark pool data, it’s clear this move was orchestrated. The dominance chart reveals a planned downtrend, signaling that Bitcoin is poised to move upward. The volume patterns confirm deliberate manipulation, aligning with smart money strategies. Stay sharp and interpret this for what it is—a calculated setup.

Note

As the new wave of investors rushes in, convinced it’s the perfect time to buy, they are unknowingly stepping into a battlefield. The whales, masters of the market’s tides, will soon begin their shakeout, reclaiming control and reminding all who truly rules this domain.
As for those who follow this channel. Remain calm!

Note

Bullish engulfing on the 2-hour volume time frame

Note

New traders are encouraged to remain cautious and avoid entering positions across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins at this time.

Note

"Loyal traders, gather close and lend me your ears! Who among you carries the banner of the bears? Let us speak of this: the winds of the market whisper a great shift—Bitcoin prepares for another mighty move upon the horizon. As your ForexX in this arena of coin and trade, I bid you exercise caution before stepping forth into the battlefield of Bitcoin. Prepare your minds, steady your strategies, for the market favors neither the bold nor the fearful, but the wise and the watchful!"

Note

"Be warned: smart money has skillfully set a retail trap at the $98,295.02 level. This trap is a deliberate move designed to manipulate market sentiment and exploit retail traders’ predictable behaviors. There will be struggle but my analysis reads to break through it after a few attempts."

Note

"The ForexX battle is underway. It will take time and determination to break through the smart money's carefully laid trap."

Note

"I've crafted (coded) breakout strategies rooted in price action. Remember, traders: the body of the candle reveals the undeniable facts, while the wicks whisper the truth of how the story might unfold.

Men lie, women lie, but the charts never deceive."

Note

"This Bitcoin trade now remains secure for entry. So far, this idea has stayed on track, aligning perfectly with its Fibonacci and ATR projections and do not fear the trend."

Note

I am moving forward with a significant change to my trading strategies, specifically regarding Fibonacci (Fib) levels, ATR (Average True Range), ADR (Average Daily Range), and pip calculations. These updates stem from a breakthrough I’ve achieved: developing a psychological auto-Fib system that mirrors human behavioral patterns in trading. This system is designed to analyze market movements—both institutional and retail—as if through a telescope, providing deeper insight into buying and selling dynamics.
________________________________________
The Design and Purpose of the New Auto-Fib
The newly coded auto-Fib system is built to reflect the psychological tendencies of market participants, focusing on how they approach decision-making. By incorporating global economic factors and behavioral insights, it uncovers patterns that traditional methods often miss. This system allows me to anticipate institutional and retail actions with greater clarity, offering a strategic advantage in predicting market behavior.
________________________________________
How the System Works
The system lays out four specific targets:
1. The Primary Target: This is the most accurate target, designed to pinpoint the first significant price movement—whether minor or substantial—before a correction or reversal occurs.
2. Secondary Targets: These targets are calculated using traditional pip and ADR (Average Daily Range) metrics. While these can also be reached, they typically involve navigating more price fluctuations and volatility.
Key Differences:
• Auto-Fib and ATR Integration: The auto-Fib system works in conjunction with ATR (Average True Range), calculating price levels based on pivot highs and lows. This provides a quick early-warning mechanism, highlighting potential drops or corrections before they occur. It emphasizes consistent profit margins by offering a highly precise calculation of price movements.
ADR-Based Targets: These targets are based on the market's typical daily price range. They provide a broader context for potential price movements but may involve more volatility, with price swings occurring before they are reached.
• Pip Targets: These traditional metrics remain valid but are less precise compared to the auto-Fib. They often require enduring market noise and ups and downs to achieve.
________________________________________
Why This Matters
This auto-Fib system represents a strategic evolution in how I approach the market. By combining psychological insights with technical analysis, I can forecast market behavior more effectively. Using it alongside ATR and ADR metrics, I can identify price levels with greater precision and adapt my strategy to both short-term fluctuations and broader market trends.
In practice:
• The Primary Target provides an early and accurate reference point for traders seeking quick, consistent profits before significant market corrections.
• Secondary Targets (based on pips, ADR, and traditional levels) offer additional opportunities but often involve greater market noise and risk.
________________________________________
The Bigger Picture
This auto-Fib system is not just a trading tool—it’s a framework for navigating the markets with foresight. It empowers traders to act decisively while considering both the market’s psychological underpinnings and its technical realities. With these updates, I now have the choice to prioritize precision and consistency with the auto-Fib or explore broader opportunities with ADR and pip-based strategies.
By combining these approaches, I can align trading strategies with the natural rhythm of the market while maintaining flexibility to adapt to both minor and major price movements.

Note

If you've entered the trade, remain calm—nothing has changed in the price action. Do not fear the trend. Before Bitcoin makes its next upward move, a shakeout is inevitable. Some retail traders will be forced to exit, as there’s only so much pressure they can endure. Stay disciplined and trust the process.

Note

Let me make this clear: my trend analyzer highlights bullish breakouts, neutral zones, and areas of consolidation, but bearish falls for something huge are not part of the equation.

Note

A bullish breakout label has appeared, signaling that a breakout is currently underway and confirmed. This is on a 15-minute timeframe, with higher timeframes indicating the potential for a new all-time high. The lower body of the 15-minute candle must close above $97,597.

Note

If the whales persist with their current tactic, I will expose their actions for all to see. I’ll dismantle their game and disrupt their strategy. This is not a threat—it’s a warning. They have 15 hours to undo the manipulative price action, or I’ll release an idea that reveals exactly what they’re up to, leaving no room for secrecy.

However, there’s no need to release what I’m seeing just yet, as there’s still time for the whales to undo their pattern otherwise I will cause major panic. If they don’t repair this by tomorrow morning, I will share my findings for everyone to see what they’ve been up to and follow up with an updated analysis.

To all new traders: hold back from investing for now. The battlefield is set, but until the whales retreat, it’s best to stay on the sidelines. Watch closely—what unfolds next will be a lesson in understanding the hidden moves of the market’s giants.

Note

Traders—I’ve repeatedly advised to refrain from investing in ALTS, though some may not have taken heed. Smart money has created a false impression by driving many altcoins upward, luring traders into a trap. Now, take a closer look—have these altcoins stalled? Where is the bull market everyone anticipated? It will come, but the time is not yet here.

What appeared to be a bull was nothing more than a donkey in disguise. Stay vigilant and don’t let these manipulative moves catch you off guard.

Note

Hold your positions.

Note

My shortest position was entered at $95,308, calculated using ADR. I’ll share later how this might play out, but for now, I strongly advise against reinvesting in Bitcoin or any altcoins. Based on the current setup, I have no doubt the market will recover before 4 PM Pacific Time. I already have ideas prepared to demonstrate how this scenario could unfold if it proceeds as expected. Stay cautious and watch for updates.

Note

To begin let’s just say this is a bear trap.

Note

No new traders should be entering the trades. This is a warning.

Note

Traders, who remembers last night’s update about the warning pattern? After closely analyzing the situation, it’s becoming clear that smart money is deploying a calculated tactic, manipulating the market in both directions. On one hand, they’re luring traders into buying the dip, creating an illusion of recovery. While I do anticipate the price may recover to a certain level, this move might not unfold as expected.

I understand the temptation to buy at lower prices—it’s natural. But after carefully studying the body of the candles and the wicks, I’ve identified signs of danger that could potentially lead to a crash. This is not something to take lightly.

I haven’t released updates yet because the picture isn’t fully clear. The outcome hinges on how one of the higher timeframes closes. However, before that closure, I will release updates if the candles confirm the danger I see. By then, you’ll be able to decide whether to hold your positions or sell.

Let me be very clear—this is a warning, not a prediction. I’m not saying a crash will happen, but the pattern I’ve observed raises serious red flags. While many traders remain silent in situations like this, I refuse to. This is about staying ahead, staying informed, and avoiding costly mistakes. Proceed with extreme caution.

Note

ETH—consider this your warning. If Bitcoin crashes, Ethereum will almost certainly follow. Protect yourself and ensure your stop-loss is in place to safeguard your position. The markets are interconnected, and a sharp move in Bitcoin could ripple through Ethereum, leaving those unprepared at risk. Take action now—better safe than sorry.

Note

“Bitcoin now has two warning signals. Once I confirm which of these two scenarios plays out, I will close this position idea and prepare to submit a concept for a potential bear crash scenario.”

Note

This is my conclusion based on what I’m seeing in the candle movement Because I won’t know until price action closes. They’re creating enough panic to force traders to sell their positions while simultaneously forming a false support zone. Meanwhile, others are buying in, thinking it’s a dip, but this will either rise temporarily or remain within its price range. However, in my view, this movement has already signaled a dangerous crash ahead.

My warning from last night may play out first, followed by what I’m observing right now. As Bitcoin rises, many will start buying again at these levels, hoping it won’t collapse—but it very well could. If that happens, we’ll face the worst-case scenario because no one knows how low Bitcoin might fall.

I’ll be submitting a short position soon, but I’m taking it slow, step by step, with precise calculations. This is your warning: I hope you’ve set your stop losses because I’ve been repeating this over and over. The signs are clear—lay your stop losses now. Ignore this at your own risk.

Note

I’ll wait for confirmation before making a move. In my view, aligning with the mindset of the whales is crucial. I’ll use their strategy to anticipate when to sell, ideally just before they take it all. Right now, the market feels like a gladiator battle in Rome’s arena, and we're armed with double-edged swords.

Dark pools are dominating, showing clear manipulation. Meanwhile, dominance reveals a bullish harami—a signal that if dominance rises further, Bitcoin could face a significant drop. This scenario doesn’t look promising. Although Bitcoin is rising as expected, don’t be deceived. The charts always tell the truth: the body of the candles shows the facts, while the wicks spin the stories—and I don’t like the story I’m seeing.

Note

Before I reveal the price action, which I’d like to do, it’s best not to until it’s confirmed. I don’t want to put anyone in panic-selling mode. But if this was well played by smart money, we’re not just looking at a drop—we might be staring at a 20K to 30K drop. Relax, though; we won’t know for sure until later this afternoon. If this goes against Bitcoin, as I’ve said, the facts won’t lie, and this won’t just be some bear trap.

It’s best to stay away from the news for now. By this point, many outlets are likely planting the worst fears, but don’t believe them. Trust your own analysis. For me, this will be an excellent way to test my new indicators for short positions. If the drop happens, it’ll be the perfect opportunity to refine my approach and prepare for the bear market ahead.

Note

Big announcement coming your way! A pre-prediction is on the horizon—stay tuned!

Note

Alright, I know many of you are filled with curiosity and questions right now, but let me be clear: do not sell at a loss. This is not a bear market—it’s still a bull market. This current downside is part of the process and will eventually push Bitcoin above 110k. As Bitcoin begins its upward move after correction, we should also see the start of alt season.

In the meantime, I’ll be sharing my private ideas which I prepared last night based on last night’s observations and today’s developments. These are not yet official, so don’t panic. Stay calm, focused, and patient—things are unfolding as expected.

Give me a few minutes.

Note

Since 11/24

Possible Hanging Man as whales push up the price.

How was this Hanging Man planned?

This was a deliberate smart money tactic designed to cap prices and prevent them from climbing higher. It was strategically executed on the 15-minute timeframe, creating the perfect conditions for a Hanging Man pattern. The precise formation of the top body, along with its shadow wick, ensured the pattern met all the qualifications to signal a potential reversal.

Today 11/25
Gravestone Doji in motion

We must stay calm and patient, as it’s unclear whether this is a psychological trap designed to make us believe Bitcoin is crashing. It might not be, as nothing has been confirmed yet. At this stage, it’s only a warning. We’ll have a clearer picture by today at 4 PM Pacific Time—make sure to check your time zones.

Long-term traders are generally safe in this scenario. For short-term traders, however, the situation will depend on the price level at which you entered your position. I cannot determine that for you; that decision is strictly yours to make based on your own strategy and risk tolerance.

Once this has been confirmed, then I will make it official.

Note

Bitcoin reads to print a bull run hot off the press by 1pm pt. Let’s see how this plays out.

Note

Delayed on price movement. Soon reads to start its way upwards.

Note

Too soon to react. This is where we can learn to control our emotions.

Note

Take a moment to control your emotions—pause, breathe deeply, or even step outside for a walk to clear your mind.

Note

I’m preparing an emergency update in wisdom!

Note

Smart money has set a trap at a dominance level of 4.32%. This indicates a sharp decline is imminent, followed by a strong upward move in Bitcoin shortly after.

Order cancelled

This will most likely close out in the next 30 minutes as a Gravestone Doji. Unfortunately, this idea needs to be closed. While my practice is to never close out ideas—because they are valid and never based on speculation—this time, due to market manipulation, it’s a necessary step. I’ve been alerting all of you since last night, which should have been enough to sound the alarm.

Moving forward, I’ll rely on my newly built indicator for guidance as the price begins to fall. However, don’t expect the decline to happen immediately. Smart money will give the impression that Bitcoin is moving up, but don’t be fooled—it’s another calculated setup. You have been warned again. Many of you may be tempted to buy, but a Gravestone Doji is no joke. The price will fall drastically, and I refuse to point arrows as if I know the exact destination—because no one does.

I’ll be using my latest Fibonacci Auto Detector combined with ATR for precision. We’ll take this step by step as the price moves downward. If the decline continues, we’ll see further price decreases until this phase ends. In my opinion, we could be looking at a 20k+ crash. This is the surprise crash I warned about months ago—a crash during a bull market. Here it is, but don’t panic. Refuse to sell for losses.
1. Why are alts stalled? This has to happen for them to turn bullish. Be ready—alt season is just around the corner.
2. Bitcoin’s next move: It may push higher, possibly above the Gravestone Doji’s wick or just before it, to deceive traders into believing this was all a false alarm. But it’s not—price action never lies. The truth is written in the charts, and this is what I’ve mastered through scalping.

Now, why do I say not to sell just yet? Because even with a likely crash confirmation, Bitcoin will pretend to be on a bull run. That’s when those who want to sell should act—at the right moment, not in panic. This is how we win battles in the market. Stay sharp and prepare for what’s ahead.

Note

Stay sharp and ready—prepare to hone your trading strategies. This gladiator battle is about to begin in this Rome arena against the market giants.

Thumbs up for battle.

Note

To all short-term investors, gather closely and listen up— remain patient and wait for the right moment to sell. Do not panic. Bitcoin will push prices back up, but this move is designed to lure in more unsuspecting investors. As prices rise, that’s your opportunity to exit strategically.

This is a calculated tactic by market predators—a snare to draw traders toward what appears to be Treasure Island. They promise a fortune, but to claim it, traders must follow them to the island, which, in reality, is a trap. Instead of riches, they’ll find deception and torment—a cruel reward for those who lack knowledge and foresight.

As for you, you are one step ahead. You’ve seen the game for what it truly is, and your wisdom keeps you from falling into their trap. Use this advantage wisely and stay prepared.

Note

Remember, traders—this is nothing more than a bull trap, no matter how high it may rise. Don’t be deceived by this upward price movement. I am now preparing a crash idea to outline what’s likely to come next. Stay cautious.

Note

We’re moving upwards slowly. My auto Fibonacci readings indicate the following possible targets:
• 3-minute timeframe: $95,354
• 5-minute timeframe: $96,525
• 7-minute timeframe: $97,990

These are potential price levels, but please note—I’m not sharing these prices as entry points. They’re intended for short-term traders who bought late and need an idea of where prices are likely headed.

Once the level is reached, I’ll reassess the situation. Let this serve as a warning: Bitcoin is poised for a massive crash. If you remain in the trade, convincing yourself with speculations, I wish you good luck. Proceed with caution.

Note

Traders—how can we turn the tables on these market giants? The key is knowing that we are one step ahead. They believe we’re unaware that Bitcoin is primed for a major crash, but what they don’t realize is that some of us stayed in the trade not because we fell for their trap, but because we saw through their bluff.

The current price move up is nothing more than a calculated ploy to lure traders into a false sense of security. They’re banking on fear and greed to manipulate positions in their favor. But by recognizing this tactic, we can take advantage of the situation instead of falling victim to it.

The strategy is simple: exploit the upward move to take as much profit as possible from their hands and step away before the crash occurs. This isn’t about fighting the market—it’s about playing smarter than the giants who think they control the game. Knowing when to exit is how we level the playing field.

It pleases me to also know that many of you resisted the urge to sell out of fear. Instead, you waited for their bull trap, positioning yourselves to take advantage when the time comes and strip away all you can.

Note

Traders—I’ve already calculated the safest price level Bitcoin is likely to reach as it moves up. Once this level is hit, I’ll release the details. From that point, it will be up to you to decide your next move as a short-term trader. This is in spite of the targets I’ve mentioned before, as this calculation represents the most reliable level based on current market conditions. Stay alert and prepared.

Note

Do not let the price trend intimidate you. I am closely monitoring the lower price ranges and analyzing the signals. Be aware—more fear will undoubtedly be injected into the market to manipulate behavior. While Bitcoin is moving upward, the exit point is drawing closer.

Through dark pool data, I’ve identified that whales have targeted a control level at 4.22%, where they are holding a trap as a checkpoint. This retention is giving Bitcoin the momentum to push higher temporarily.

However, Bitcoin’s trap has already been set—whales are preparing to ensnare retail investors at the peak. Your exit must come before they reach this checkpoint. Stay vigilant and act strategically. I’ll update soon.

Note

To clarify, the 4.22% I’m referring to dominance level.

Note

Traders—let me provide some reassurance for those who may be feeling constant fear in the current market. I’ll share with you insights from my trading algorithm, which has identified bull run prints. While shorter timeframes can make it more challenging to predict exact dates and times, these prints still provide valuable guidance.

For example, earlier today, I mentioned we’d see a bull run at 1 PM PT, but due to delays caused by market manipulation, it occurred after 4 PM PT instead. Let me emphasize this for your confidence: a bull run is currently in motion and could take off at any moment, allowing prices to move much higher.

This particular move is based on signals from the hourly timeframe, while the previous bull run print at 1 PM PT was derived from the 30-minute timeframe, though delayed due to manipulation.

As of now, besides the imminent bull run in motion:
• The next is scheduled for 2 AM PT.
• Following that, another is expected at 7 AM PT.

It’s important to note that Bitcoin cannot fall significantly until these bull run prints are filled. In the rare case that they are rejected—which I consider unlikely—I’ll assess the aftermath and provide clear guidance for short-term traders to close their positions.

Stay calm, focused, and ready. These prints are essential to watch, as they dictate the next critical moves in the market.

Note

Hold your position and stay patient—do not sell at a loss. Selling out of fear locks in losses and plays directly into the hands of market manipulators. Let’s wait for the market to stabilize.

Note

"Hold your positions and avoid selling at a loss. Smart money activity is currently under scrutiny, as this could have been a deliberate trap to force traders out for their own gains. I'm analyzing this gravestone doji to determine whether Bitcoin's corrective drop is imminent or delayed. If a significant correction does occur, it’s important to remain calm and avoid making the brutal mistake of exiting the trade, only to realize later that it was part of their scheme."

Note

**Traders,**

After thorough analysis, I want to share my updated perspective. While I initially considered dismissing this idea, I’ve reevaluated and refined my approach. My new method avoids relying heavily on chart structure, which I believe is often manipulated by smart money. The guessing game of predicting price movement—whether up or down—doesn’t align with my current strategy. While structure can offer guidance, my full reliance is now on **market data metrics** and **smart money movements**, as these hold more weight than chart patterns alone.

Here’s what I’ve found after deeper investigation:

1. The gravestone doji has indeed been manipulated by smart money. Evaluating dark pools and whale movements confirms this. However, **price action doesn’t lie**—a correction will come, whether sooner or later. For now, no clear indications of a correction have emerged since the doji’s closure.

2. My new approach integrates advanced trading tools that provide more precision. These include:
- **Net Positions & RSI**
- **Customizable Visualization**
- **Moving Averages**
- **Statistical Tables**
- **Volume Heatmap**
- **Divergences**
- **Profile Generation**

While I previously canceled this idea to protect traders’ entries, it’s clear that relying solely on price ranges is insufficient in today’s manipulated markets. The use of innovative trading technologies is essential to avoid errors and improve accuracy. This shift in strategy ensures I move away from outdated, speculative methods.

At this point, Bitcoin is holding its ground, and I stand by my earlier statement: **there should be no selling for losses.** For those who’ve entered positions, hold steady. My assessment of the market shows upward price movements are still active. For **new traders**, I reiterate: **no new entries into Bitcoin or alts until further notice.**

I remain committed to providing guidance rooted in data and precision, ensuring we navigate the markets with clarity and confidence.

Note

Traders, it’s crucial to understand this—based on my dedicated trading experience, Bitcoin is currently in a manipulation phase, exhibiting volatile behavior. This phase is deliberately designed to pressure traders into exiting their positions, as smart money knows most traders dislike sitting on a loss.

Despite the volatility, I have a clear view of Bitcoin’s direction. While it undergoes minor corrections, it will continue to trend upward for now. Regarding the Gravestone Doji, I’ve calculated a potential downtrend that will activate once specific conditions are met. Based on historical data, I’ve rarely seen Gravestone Dojis on higher timeframes fail to play out.

However, at this moment, there is no indication of an immediate move down. As I’ve stated before, my warnings are not immediate predictions of a sudden downfall but rather alerts to potential dangers in the market. Stay cautious, stay informed, and be prepared for shifts in momentum.

Note

It’s your choice, but I recommend holding your positions. The situation remains unchanged.

Note

It’s essential to grasp what’s unfolding here—many traders are unaware they’re being skillfully manipulated into exiting their positions, and smart money’s tactics are proving effective. As others fall for the trap and rush to exit, stay composed. Let them be the ones to abandon their positions while you hold steady.

Note

In the event it happens—not that I’m saying it will—we must be prepared for the possibility of 89K.

Note

The next five 1-hour candles are expected to trend upward, with Bitcoin currently forming the first of the series.

Note

Bitcoin continues to face a constant struggle. We need to allow dominance to drop to lower levels. As we’ve observed, it has made repeated attempts to push prices higher but continues to face resistance. Patience is key.

Note

"Who’s ready for Bitcoin to turn more bullish? If manipulation stays in check, the charts suggest dominance could be setting up for a bearish shift—exciting times ahead!"

Note

I’ll be creating an idea about this: how smart money has set a trap to make traders believe Bitcoin is doomed. The focus will be on how fear is being weaponized through negative news and market manipulation to drive prices lower, only for these big players to accumulate at a discount.

The idea will expose the tactics behind the headlines, showing how "They Lied" to shake out retail investors while positioning themselves for the next big move. This will be a deep dive into the psychology of fear, the power of misinformation, and how to see through the noise to stay ahead.

There is a bull run in the making. Who wants to hear about it?

Note

“Traders, let’s revisit the three targets identified two days ago as we continue our slow upward movement. My auto Fibonacci readings suggest the following potential targets:
• 3-minute timeframe: $95,354
• 5-minute timeframe: $96,525
• 7-minute timeframe: $97,990

I’ll reassess once these targets are reached. Stay vigilant and keep an eye on the gravestone doji—it could catch us off guard if we’re not careful.

Also, the next idea will be ready by today—apologies for the delay and thank you for your patience!”

Note

• 3-minute timeframe: $95,354– target reached

Note

“As Bitcoin continues to move up, I’ll reassess for any new smaller targets as they emerge. This is a reminder of what I mentioned two days ago, with added emphasis on the potential dangers ahead.

Remember, traders, the charts never lie—they always reveal the truth. Men lie, women lie, but the charts remain honest.

We’ve been warned of a possible bull trap. This is a classic whale tactic, a well-orchestrated maneuver to lure in unsuspecting traders. Pay close attention: the 2-day timeframe is showing an Evening Star, while the 5- to 6-day timeframe reveals a Gravestone Doji. These are clear warning signs.

2 days ago—

Traders—how can we turn the tables on these market giants? The key is knowing that we are one step ahead. They believe we’re unaware that Bitcoin is primed for a major crash, but what they don’t realize is that some of us stayed in the trade not because we fell for their trap, but because we saw through their bluff.

The current price move up is nothing more than a calculated ploy to lure traders into a false sense of security. They’re banking on fear and greed to manipulate positions in their favor. But by recognizing this tactic, we can take advantage of the situation instead of falling victim to it.

The strategy is simple: exploit the upward move to take as much profit as possible from their hands and step away before the crash occurs. This isn’t about fighting the market—it’s about playing smarter than the giants who think they control the game. Knowing when to exit is how we level the playing field.

It pleases me to also know that many of you resisted the urge to sell out of fear. Instead, you waited for their bull trap, positioning yourselves to take advantage when the time comes and strip away all you can.

Note

“The upward price movement is still unfolding.”

Note

“ETH traders—consider this a reminder: when Bitcoin falls, Ethereum is likely to follow. You’ve been warned before—stay prepared!”

Note

“I’ll be creating a warning crash idea to back up my analysis—this isn’t guesswork. You’ll see the candle patterns yourself, all aligning with Bitcoin still having bullish targets to hit, but only to lure in retail traders.

Smart money has already set up a bear trap, shaking out earlier positions. Now, they’re targeting the new wave of traders entering these setups. As I’ve warned before: stay away from alts and Bitcoin in this environment. The signs are clear—don’t ignore them.”

Note

“Instead, I’ll hold off on creating the idea until I can confirm that the bull trap has been contained. Many are excited right now, and the last thing anyone wants to see is a premature image of a crash.”

Note

“You hear the wind, but where does it go?”

Note

When Bitcoin pumps, the excitement is blinding—retail investors, who were planning to hold, often can’t resist the FOMO and jump in, thinking they’ll ride the wave higher. But this doesn’t end well. This cycle repeats until the market bleeds out the impulsive traders who forgot to stay cautious. Wake up! Every pump isn’t the beginning of a new bull run—it’s often a trap, setting the stage for what lies ahead: the inevitable pullback, the correction that humbles everyone who ignored the signs. Be vigilant, *amn it! Don’t let short-term euphoria cloud your judgment.

Note

I’m heading to the mountains now and will be out of range with no data in less than an hour.

Note

Targets predicted according to the human psychology with Auto Fibonacci
• 3-minute timeframe: $95,354 and
• 5-minute timeframe: $96,525- targets now reached

Next is • 7-minute timeframe: $97,990 or can be less. I might change it to a lesser target because there’s a smart money trap before it.

Note

The smart money trap has been identified at $96,774, which means the price is likely to stall or reverse sharply around this level due to heavy positioning by institutional players. As a result, I’m adjusting my previous target of $97,990 (set two days ago) down to this trap zone at $96,774.

Now, while the price action may suggest it could potentially push to $99,000, I’m not committing to that target. Why? Because these higher levels often serve as psychological bait for retail traders, drawing them in just before a sharp reversal or consolidation. It’s a classic setup—smart money is likely to exit around $96,774, leaving retail to chase a dream that won’t materialize.

In essence, I’d rather align my target with the trap zone where the real activity is happening than take unnecessary risks chasing speculative highs. Discipline over hype.

Note

Target of $96,774 reached. This is my risk management zone—anything beyond this is a red flag. Pushing further risks stepping into a trap, where the market lures in overconfident traders before snapping back. Stay disciplined; the reward isn’t worth the gamble beyond this level.

Note

Be advised once again: I am on the brink of releasing my Bitcoin crash idea. This crash will mark the rise of altcoins, but let me make one thing clear—if you’re asking whether you should sell, I cannot answer that for you. Why? Because, as we all know, crypto is an unpredictable beast.

Will altcoins lose value significantly before they rise? Yes, I am sure of it. The recent minor surge in altcoins has been orchestrated by smart money to give us a false sense of confidence. What happens next? Retail traders will fall for the bait. I’ve said this countless times—the chart, the price action, and the candles do not lie. They have already signaled a massive correction. At the same time, I have been pointing out for days that Bitcoin has a hidden bullish divergence on the 14-day timeframe.

What does this reveal? It means Bitcoin will fall, and during this period, many traders will get tangled in fear and confusion. They will amplify the narrative, declaring that Bitcoin is destined for a catastrophic crash. But I say to you: Do not believe them. Stay calm, even as chaos unfolds.

The whales are lying in wait, and they will exploit this moment to devalue altcoins even further, triggering widespread panic among retail traders. Many of you will want to react impulsively, but I urge you: hold your ground. This turmoil will not last forever. It is the signal—the very start of alt season.

Let your altcoins weather the storm, no matter what prices they show. They will recover, and this will be your moment. But remember, this is your choice. Will you panic like the masses, or will you stay steadfast like a Roman commander, standing firm as the tides turn in your favor? The decision is yours. Stay disciplined, for this is the path to victory. The market will bow to those who lead, not those who follow.

Note

Months ago, I warned—a storm was going to brew beneath the surface of this massive Tsunami bull run. I might have told some of you a huge correction was coming, and now, it’s closer than ever.

Picture the waves crashing higher and higher, pulling everyone into a frenzy of euphoria, but beneath it lies the undertow—a hidden force, waiting to drag the unprepared into the depths. This isn’t a warning anymore—it’s a reality closing in.

The market is teetering on the edge of chaos, and when the correction hits, it won’t be gentle. It will be brutal, swift, and unforgiving. Those caught off guard will be swept away, while the few who heeded the warning will stand tall amid the wreckage.

Maybe some of you were told this would happen—but didn’t take it seriously. This isn’t a game. Prepare now, or face the consequences.

I’m not saying this is happening right now—it could unfold at any moment, any hour, or any day.

Note

On the 1-hour timeframe, the trend currently shows a neutral reading at +33.81. My analysis, which uses a tool that functions like RSI but provides cleaner and more predictive curves, shows the 1-hour trend starting to push upward. Meanwhile, on the 4-hour timeframe, the curve displays a clear downward trajectory. Anything calculated above 100 and 200 is considered bullish, so we are still within a neutral zone here.

On the 1-day timeframe, the reading is at +45.47, and momentum remains to the upside. This indicates that smart money is still active and hasn’t finished its moves. The upward momentum suggests they are continuing to drive prices higher, potentially to trap more retail traders.

The 6-day timeframe reads an exceptionally bullish +150.66, signaling extreme bullishness. However, this is where it gets interesting: historically, this level often marks the beginning of ‘death row’ for Bitcoin. It’s at these elevated levels that the market becomes dangerously overextended, setting the stage for a significant correction.

So when does the crash happen? No one knows. Why? Because whales are the ones controlling the market. They manipulate prices, baiting retail traders into positions before triggering the inevitable collapse.

In my opinion, Bitcoin should have already crashed based on the data, but smart money is deliberately keeping prices elevated. Their goal is clear: they’re not yet satisfied with the amount of retail traders they’ve lured into the market. They’re waiting for maximum participation before pulling the rug, ensuring the correction is as devastating as possible. It’s just a matter of time.

Note

If many of you are trading altcoins, please work on your technical analysis (TA). I’m speaking specifically to short-term traders—those who bought in not too long ago or just recently.

Let me be clear: remove the mindset of clinging to a dream that your altcoin will somehow be the one to defy the odds and soar into orbit. Sure, it might happen, but if it does, it only proves you’ve treated crypto like a casino. I’m not speaking from a place of hope or “maybe.” I’m speaking from reality.

A perfect example is Dogecoin. A few weeks ago, I overheard conversations at a Ford dealership—people saying, “Bitcoin up means Doge up.” When one of the employees handed me the keys to my truck, I found out he was a Dogecoin investor. I told him plainly, “Things won’t go well. Bitcoin is scheduled for a huge correction soon.”

This was about 2–3 weeks ago, and I urged him, “Get out while you can and buy back at the pivot low.” But I won’t forget his face—he looked at me like I was mentally unstable, shaking his head left and right. My last words to him, if I recall correctly, were, “When Bitcoin corrects, you’ll remember me.” I imagine that, in the back of his mind, he probably thought, “What a weird wizard.”

Now, some of you have asked me, “Should I sell or hold?” I can’t answer that question for you. Let me remind you of a similar situation weeks ago. Someone asked me the same thing, and I said, “Suppose I tell you to sell, and Bitcoin suddenly shifts upward—then what? My conscience won’t be clear. I’ll live with that conviction. Is that the outcome you want for me?”

What happened then? Bitcoin did exactly that—it made a sudden shift to the upside.

So what’s different now compared to then? Let’s focus on the present: price action is clearly signaling a huge correction is imminent, and I’ve already explained why.

The choice is yours, but remember—the market doesn’t care about hope or dreams, only reality.

Note

If you’re asking whether Bitcoin will recover—the answer is yes, it will recover. Just give it some time!

Note

Traders—while we wait for Bitcoin to recover, take a moment to reflect on what we just experienced: Bitcoin falling nearly $1,500. Consider this a preview of what’s to come. When the real drop happens, it will catch many off guard, and yes, it will be unsettling. Even I found this recent dip alarming.

When the bigger fall arrives, stay calm. Breathe. Remind yourself: this is a bull market, not a bear market. Whatever you do, do not sell at a loss. The market will recover—it always does.

If you’re wondering how long that recovery will take, understand that no one can predict the timeline. It’s uncertain, but patience and composure will carry you through.

Now it’s time for me to eat ice cream;)

Note

Bitcoin isn't dropping—stay composed. There's no indication of a red zone or crash signal at this point.

Note

“If anyone’s thinking about investing, just imagine dragging your fingernails down a chalkboard.”

Note

“I’ll be diving into studying why Bitcoin is on hold, all while having a little fun teasing along the way.”

Note

**Quick Tip for Traders:** Never respond to unknown texts or emails, even out of curiosity. Whether you reply with profanity, ask “Who’s this?”, or say it’s the wrong number, scammers use that interaction to build a profile on you for future scams. Also, avoid clicking on suspicious email links. If you accidentally click one, immediately turn off your phone and update all your passwords to protect your accounts. Stay vigilant!

Note

Last comment-- above said has a lot to do with the Dark Web.

Note

"To those of you waiting for updates on my promised idea, my apologies for the delay. I encountered some issues with my trading system, but they have now been resolved."

Stay tuned

The_ForexX_Mindset

"You hear the wind, but where does it go?"

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.