Bears have had not had so much fun and confidence since 2008 as the Inflation/recession combo and aggressive rate hikes keeps the bad news for stocks rolling in.
Relief rallies will come from oversold conditions but also understanding the narratives driving the selling will help spot the reversal stories, we had one yesterday from large drop in Oil and inflation...
BTC has been consecutively sold for 7 days straight and tends to be flirting with major support... from an analyst's perspective, we look at how we can more safely trade the volatility and scale in with minor positions.
Support 1: weekly 200EMA (22,300)
Support 2: 19,500 (Major Support)
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets...
US CPI is going to set the tone for US markets and the USD for the rest of the month ahead of the next FED meeting.
A high inflation number will encourage the bond traders to push FED rate hike expectations higher and higher. US stocks would likely fall further under these conditions.
A weaker inflation number 5.9% y/y is forecast and this may be enough to see...
200 EMA has perfectly rejected the last 3 bear market rallies and is now a huge level for bulls to break to ease the downside pressure, otherwise further bearish price action opens up retest of May lows near 25k.
Key Pivot for this indicator is currently $31600 as of publishing.
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry...
Oil Volatility is driving multiple markets and in this video we explain the transmission mechanism of how Oil gets through to the markets you trade.
We look through US Yields, USD/JPY and US stock market relationships with Oil and provide the correlations you need to watch to trade successfully.
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine...
AUD/USD has led the relief rally but with inflation remaining high can stocks resume uptrend or are we just in a bear market bounce.
We will soon find out as AUD and EUR/USD and US Stocks have all run into resistance at the normal sort of bounce levels and we have stalled now for 2 days.
If we break down lower or higher here we have to respect the markets price...
EU Oil embargo on China and record German Inflation is a toxic mix that may short circuit the DAX short squeeze.
Sellers are worried about inflation and the EU news has seen Oil push up to $118 overnight so if the market wants to worry it has more than enough reason especially if it goes higher above $120.
Targets are 1-2 day down towards 14300-14200, a new high...
It is make or break for Crypto, but it won't be determined so easy! Tune in while we take a dive into the potential routes for MTC/USD, break down the psychological reasoning behind current price action, and let the trade come to us.
Entry Level Long: Break of Trend + 50EMA at 0.685-0.69
Risker Entry Level Long: 0.62
Last Hope Entry Level Long: 0.55
Entry...
Markets have been dreadfully negative in recent weeks but we have in recent days begun a relief rally in US stocks and most FX pairs.
AUD has led higher after new election and new China friendlier party in charge. On that note china made first high level contact in 2 years.
We like AUD to rally with stocks and sentiment alone but the kicker would be if US drops...
Oil is moving higher in a $10-20 channel for the past 3 months.
The respect of the downside trendline support in the past few weeks has led to a reliable rally if we hold lows.
The similar situation on the topside with multiple rallies above 110 failing in recent weeks. The current strategy is to follow Oil from downside to topside support and resistance and...
EUR/USD has taken the brunt of the USD strength since the Ukraine War and Russian sanctions soured the economic outlook of the Eurozone.
What happens with peace? Well obviously we rally but the argument is that with the ECB acting as well we will not just bounce but fly back above EUR/USD 1.10.
Now timing this potential outcome is the issue and we could rally...
Big levels on Bitcoin and Eth are being downside checked right now, with the key 28k-30k levels being tested and leading the whole Crypto complex up and down whether it holds or breaks.
A little oversold like US stocks and Nasdaq in particular the markets are all moving together right now, so its likely if we have a big rally tonight in Stocks that Bitcoin will...
Huge US inflation number tonight will make or break the market which is on edge.
Widely forecast to fall for the first time this year, this fall in inflation should help stabilize US stocks as fears of runaway inflation are downplayed.
If Inflation remains hot, all bets are off for how high US interest rates and USD can rally.
easyMarkets Account on TradingView...
USD is knocking on the dollar of a breakout extension of it record breaking run, we up against 104 on Dollar index which is the 2017 high and we have so far rejected a few attempts since last week.
Market could be caught a little long here if US CPI falls for the first time this year when its released Wednesday US morning. A fall should help sentiment and perhaps...
AUD/USD has been belted in recent weeks as the USD bullied every major FX pair. The selling is overdone and into major support ahead of the FOMC meeting tonight.
Yesterday the RBA raised rates by 0.25% to 0.35% and we have begun the rate hike cycle with the central bank refocused on inflation.
We look for buy the rumour sell the fact USD selling tonight after...
Major positive announcements from the CCP today say Chinese stocks soar and the big picture outlook improve dramatically.
Covid stimulus for those companies affected by the lockdowns, cheaper share trading fees, but the big one is the end of the clampdown on the Chinese Tech sector.
Alibaba and Tencent the two biggest tech companies soared and if the government...
We look at the USD/JPY and its driver the US Interest rate market. We talk about the key Y130 level that may Upset the Bank of Japan and Ministry of Finance.
Japan is historically one of the biggest FX interverners but the first step is always jawbowning (Official comments of concern about the Yen)
We looking for either that or data/comments from FED members to...
